The Free Analysis page Leans are now 1078-888-37 all-time.

 

The Leans were 6-5 in week 9 and are now 57-54-2 for the season.

 

The week 9 sides overall were 16-18-1 with the Leans (i.e 4 or more point differences between my predicted margin and the line) going 4-2. The totals were 20-20 overall, including 2-3 on specified Leans.

 

For the season the record on all sides is 173-166-5 ATS, including 45-36-2 on Leans, and the record on all totals this season is 191-171 with the specified Leans being 12-18.

 

The record on all Free Analysis sides is now 3315-3092-115 ATS since 2013, which is very good picking nearly every game 12-plus years. The Free Analysis sides in which my predicted margin was 4 points or more away from the line (i.e Leans) are a profitable 992-828-36.

 

Totals on the Free pages are now 3145-2955-61 in the 12 seasons I’ve been tracking them. Starting in 2022 I have chosen selected Leans on totals and those are now 85-59-1 in 3-plus seasons.

 

The spreads posted are the consensus lines at the time I posted each analysis.

 

2018-2025 College Football Results: 

Best Bets: 309-245-19 (55.8%) – 55.1% over 38 Years

Strong Opinions: 169-146-3 (53.7%)

College Football Rotation

UTEP @
Kennesaw State

Tue, Oct 28 5:00 PM PT

Rotation: 301, Odds: Kennesaw State -10, Total: 51

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Lean – KENNESAW STATE (-10)  35   Texas-El Paso  20

UTEP is improved offensively with Skyler Locklear at quarterback but I’ve been backing Kennesaw State in recent weeks and the Owls have delivered 4 straight spread wins. Kennesaw’s only two losses are to unbeaten Indiana and by just 1 point at Wake Forest and my math favors the Owls by 13.7 points even with the upgrade to UTEP’s offense. Kennesaw also applies to a 172-74-6 ATS home momentum situation and the Owls are a Lean at -11 or less.

James Madison @
Texas State

Tue, Oct 28 5:00 PM PT

Rotation: 303, Odds: Texas State +7, Total: 55.5

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Lean – James Madison (-7)  31   TEXAS STATE  20

Texas State had lost 5 consecutive games to the spread, including straight up losses as favorites of 13.5 points, 7.5 points, and 3 points in their last 3 games. My math model favors defensively stout James Madison (only 15.6 ppg and 4.4 yards per play allowed) by 9.3 points in this game and the weather should favor the Dukes too.

Winds in the high-teens with gusts into the 30 mph range are expected in San Marcos tonight and that’s going to hurt Texas State more given that James Madison likes to run the ball and is projected to be able to run it much better in this game (6.0 yards per rushing play to 3.7 yprp for Texas State). Texas State also applies to a negative 39-93-2 ATS situation that is based on their recent poor play.

Lean on James Madison at -7 or less.

Jacksonville State @
Middle Tenn St

Wed, Oct 29 4:30 PM PT

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FIU @
Missouri State

Wed, Oct 29 5:00 PM PT

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Marshall @
Coastal Carolina

Thu, Oct 30 4:30 PM PT

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Tulane @
UTSA

Thu, Oct 30 4:30 PM PT

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Memphis @
Rice

Fri, Oct 31 4:00 PM PT

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North Carolina @
Syracuse

Fri, Oct 31 4:30 PM PT

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Sam Houston State @
Louisiana Tech

Fri, Oct 31 5:00 PM PT

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Purdue @
Michigan

Sat, Nov 1 4:00 PM PT

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Fresno St. @
Boise St.

Sat, Nov 1 12:30 PM PT

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Wyoming @
San Diego St.

Sat, Nov 1 4:00 PM PT

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Oklahoma St. @
Kansas

Sat, Nov 1 1:00 PM PT

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Central Mich @
Western Mich

Sat, Nov 1 1:00 PM PT

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Mississippi St. @
Arkansas

Sat, Nov 1 1:00 PM PT

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Virginia @
California

Sat, Nov 1 12:45 PM PT

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Old Dominion @
UL Monroe

Sat, Nov 1 12:30 PM PT

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Indiana @
Maryland

Sat, Nov 1 12:30 PM PT

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Pittsburgh @
Stanford

Sat, Nov 1 12:30 PM PT

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Hawaii @
San Jose St.

Sat, Nov 1 7:30 PM PT

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South Carolina @
Mississippi

Sat, Nov 1 4:00 PM PT

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Arizona @
Colorado

Sat, Nov 1 4:00 PM PT

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Georgia Tech @
No Carolina St.

Sat, Nov 1 4:30 PM PT

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Oklahoma @
Tennessee

Sat, Nov 1 4:30 PM PT

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Kentucky @
Auburn

Sat, Nov 1 4:30 PM PT

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Wake Forest @
Florida St.

Sat, Nov 1 4:30 PM PT

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Washington St. @
Oregon St.

Sat, Nov 1 4:30 PM PT

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USC @
Nebraska

Sat, Nov 1 4:30 PM PT

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Arkansas St. @
Troy

Sat, Nov 1 5:00 PM PT

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Cincinnati @
Utah

Sat, Nov 1 7:15 PM PT

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Miami Fla @
SMU

Sat, Nov 1 9:00 AM PT

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Army @
Air Force

Sat, Nov 1 9:00 AM PT

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Vanderbilt @
Texas

Sat, Nov 1 9:00 AM PT

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UAB @
Connecticut

Sat, Nov 1 9:00 AM PT

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Duke @
Clemson

Sat, Nov 1 9:00 AM PT

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Buffalo @
Bowling Green

Sat, Nov 1 9:00 AM PT

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Penn St. @
Ohio St.

Sat, Nov 1 9:00 AM PT

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Rutgers @
Illinois

Sat, Nov 1 9:00 AM PT

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Navy @
North Texas

Sat, Nov 1 9:00 AM PT

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UCF @
Baylor

Sat, Nov 1 9:00 AM PT

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West Virginia @
Houston

Sat, Nov 1 9:00 AM PT

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Michigan St. @
Minnesota

Sat, Nov 1 12:30 PM PT

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Arizona St. @
Iowa St.

Sat, Nov 1 10:00 AM PT

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East Carolina @
Temple

Sat, Nov 1 11:00 AM PT

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Louisville @
Virginia Tech

Sat, Nov 1 12:00 PM PT

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New Mexico @
UNLV

Sat, Nov 1 12:00 PM PT

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UL Lafayette @
South Alabama

Sat, Nov 1 12:30 PM PT

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Texas Tech @
Kansas St.

Sat, Nov 1 12:30 PM PT

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Notre Dame @
Boston College

Sat, Nov 1 12:30 PM PT

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New Mexico St. @
Western Kentucky

Sat, Nov 1 12:30 PM PT

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Georgia @
Florida

Sat, Nov 1 12:30 PM PT

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Delaware @
Liberty

Sat, Nov 1 12:30 PM PT

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