Dr. Bob Sports
2016-23 NFL Best Bets are 406-291-6 (58.2%) – 38-20 This Season
2016-23 NFL Strong Opinions are 286-230-12 (55.4%) – 24-19-1 This Season
Week and Season Recap Below
Packages Available
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Dr. Bob Football & Basketball
$2,795.00 SubscribeGet all of Dr. Bob’s College Football, NFL, and College Basketball Best Bets through the 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament for one low price .
This package includes analysis on every College Bowl game, every NFL playoff game, every NCAA Tournament game (with projected pool brackets).
2022-23 Results:
Football: 83-56-5 (60%) on Best Bets & 62-50-2 on Strong Opinions.
Basketball: 302-240-10 on Best Bets & 288-242-7 on Opinions.
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Dr. Bob Sports NFL Week Pass
$95.00 SubscribeSome Best Bets and Strong Opinions move out of range after they are released to 4-week and season subscribers.
I suggest getting a 4-week package so you get the plays as they’re being released, which will enable you to get down at better lines.
There are currently no Best Bets available
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NFL & College Football Season
$895.00 SubscribeGet all of Dr. Bob’s College Football and NFL Best Bets and Strong Opinions for the full season, including Bowl games, the NFL Playoffs, and the Superbowl.
Dr. Bob Sports NFL Best Bets are 403-288-6 (58.3%) and the NFL Strong Opinions are 286-230-11 (55.4%) in 8 seasons using our advanced NFL play-by-play model.
My College Football Best Bets are 2421-1961-80 (55.2%) on a Star Basis, including season win totals, for +267.6 Stars Since 1999 and the Strong Opinions are a profitable 792-675-18.
Daily/Weekly Recap
2016-23 NFL Best Bets are 406-291-6 (58.2%) – 38-20 This Season
2016-23 NFL Strong Opinions are 287-231-12 (55.4%) – 24-19-1 This Season
2023 NFL Week 12 and Season Results
The week 12 Best Bets were 3-3 for -2.7 Stars and the Strong Opinions were 1-1.
The only odd result was the Friday 1-Star Best Bet on the Miami-NY Jets Under 41, which needed two defensive interception returns to go over, including one on a Hail Mary at the end of the first half. If there were one pick-six, instead of two, we would have won the bet in a game in which the teams combined for just 4.5 yards per play. Great bet. Terrible result.
The most upsetting result was the 2-Star Best Bet on the Patriots (-3 -120) that cost us 2.4 Stars. That bet was made because we didn’t think the Giants would be able to score many points with Tommy DeVito going up against a well-coached defense. That was true, as the Giants scored just 10 points. New England scoring only 7 points to lose that game adds the frustration we’ve had with the Patriots this season. The Patriots outgained the Giants by 63 total yards, which would normally result in a win by more than 3 points, but threw 3 interceptions. The running backs combined for 144 yards on 4.8 ypr and I can’t understand why they didn’t run the ball more. The NFL Best Bets have been great this season at 38-20 but we’re just 1-4 on Best Bets on the Patriots and all 5 of those were winnable bets with the other 3 spread losses being by 0.5 points (negative in turnovers), 1 point (on a safety at the end of the game) and by 2 points (negative in turnovers).
The Best Bet wins were 1-Star on the Cincinnati Team Total Under 16.5 (10 points scored), 1-Star on Chicago +4 (won by 2) and 1-Star on the Chicago-Minnesota Under 45 (22 points). The other loss, aside from the two mentioned above, were 2-Stars on Seattle +7 (lost by 18).
The Strong Opinions were 1-1 with a win on the New England-NY Giants Under, and a loss on Tampa Bay +2.5.
All Best Bets and Strong Opinions are still 45-22-1 the last 8 weeks.
For the season, the Best Bets are 38-20 for +13.05 Stars and the Strong Opinions are 24-19-1.
The results since 2016, when I started using play-by-play data and advanced metrics, has been good on both Best Bets and Opinions.
2016-23 NFL Best Bets are 406-291-6 (58.2%) – 203-133-5 on Sides, 152-115 on totals, 8-7 1st-half totals, 23-18-1 team totals, 19-17 teasers, 1-1 season win totals.
2016-23 NFL Strong Opinions are 287-231-12 (55.4%) – 113-108-10 sides, 96-75-1 totals, 3-2 1st-half sides, 7-6 1st-half totals, 18-14 Team Totals, 7-3-1 teasers, 43-23 Post-season prop bets.
Closing Line Value
The average closing line value on our NFL Best Bets so far this season is +3.0%, meaning that playing our games at the release line makes you 3.0% more likely to win each play, on average, than playing them on the closing line, which is also a good indicator of our model. Last year’s CLV was +2.9%.
The Best Bets have beat the closing line 71% so far this season and 83% in each of the last 2 seasons.