NFL

Dr. Bob Sports

2016-21 NFL Best Bets are 325-236-3 (57.9%)

2016-21 NFL Strong Opinions are 223-179-9 (55.5%)

Packages Available

  • Dr Bob Sports NFL Season

    2016-21 NFL Best Bets: 325-236-3 (57.9%)

    2016-21 NFL Strong Opinions: 223-179-9 (55.5%)

    Receive all NFL Best Bets and Strong Opinions, with analysis, through the Super Bowl.

     

    $1,495.00 Subscribe

  • Dr. Bob Football & Basketball

    Get all of Dr. Bob’s College Football, NFL, and College Basketball Best Bets through the 2022 NCAA Basketball Tournament for one low price. This package includes analysis on every College Bowl game, every NFL playoff game, every NCAA Tournament game (with projected pool brackets).

    $3,295.00 Subscribe

  • NFL & College Football Season

    Get all of Dr. Bob’s College Football and NFL Best Bets and Strong Opinions for the full season, including Bowl games, the NFL Playoffs, and the Superbowl.

    Dr. Bob Sports NFL Best Bets are 325-236-3 (57.9%)  and the NFL Strong Opinions are 223-179-9 (55.5%) in six seasons using our advanced NFL play-by-play model.

    My College Football Best Bets are 2255-1864-77 (55%) on a Star Basis for +237.3 Stars Since 1999 and the Strong Opinions are a profitable 750-644-18.

    $2,195.00 Subscribe

Daily/Weekly Recap

2016-21 NFL Best Bets are 325-236-3 (57.9%)

2016-21 NFL Strong Opinions are 223-179-9 (55.5%)

2021 Season Results

2021 Best Bets are 43-43-1 for +3.5 Stars

After the fantastic 59-27 Best Bet record in 2020, the 2021 NFL season was certainly a disappointment. However, luck was not on our side this season, which was just the opposite case in 2020. Last year we were 9-6 on Best Bets decided by less than 3 points and this season we were just 6-12 on Best Bets decided by less than 3 points.

2021 NFL Best Bets were 43-43-1 (3-1 on 3-Stars, 19-15 on 2-Stars, 21-27-1 on 1-Stars) and 68-58-1 on a Star Basis (with -0.25 in extra juice and -0.5 on a futures bet) for +3.5 Stars and the Strong Opinions were 41-35-1.

Being up only 3.5 Stars is disappointing after last year’s epic season but it’s also not bad considering we had one week in which the Best Bets were 0-6 for -11.0 Stars, which was the worst NFL week in 30-plus years. The Best Bets were +14.5 Stars in the other 21 weeks and the long term record is still exceptionally good. But, the NFL Best Bets were still profitable despite my worst NFL week in 30-plus years and not winning nearly as many close games as we lost this season.

The results since 2016, when I started using play-by-play data and advanced metrics, has been good on both Best Bets and Opinions.

2016-21 NFL Best Bets are 325-236-3 (57.9%)  – 170-110-2 on Sides, 114-97 on totals, 7-6 1st-half totals, 16-14-1 team totals, 16-9 teasers, 1-1 season win totals.

2016-21 NFL Strong Opinions are 223-179-9 (55.5%) – 89-91-7 sides, 80-59-1 totals, 1-1 1st-half sides, 4-4 1st-half totals, 9-9 Team Totals, 5-1-1 teasers, 35-14 Post-season prop bets.

Closing Line Value

The average closing line value on the NFL Best Bets in the 2021 season was +3.5%, meaning that playing our games at the release line makes you 3.5% more likely to win each play, on average, than playing them on the closing line, which is also a good indicator of our model. The average closing line value on our NFL Best Bets in the 2020 season was +3.4%

The Best Bets beat the closing line 81% of the time last season and 79% of the time in 2020.