Dr. Bob Sports
2016-23 NFL Best Bets are 417-299-8 (58.2%) – 50-27-2 in 2023
2016-23 NFL Strong Opinions are 305-249-13 (55.1%) – 40-36-2 in 2023
Week and Season Recap Below
Packages Available
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All Football & Basketball
$5,295.00 SubscribeGet all of Dr. Bob’s College Football, NFL, and College Basketball Best Bets through the 2025 NCAA Basketball Tournament for one low price ($1,000 less than purchasing each package separately).
This package includes analysis on every College Bowl game, every NFL Playoff game, every NCAA Tournament game (with projected pool brackets).
2022/23 & 2023/24 Results:
Football: 168-116-9 (59%) on Best Bets & 119-95-4 (56%) on Strong Opinions.
Basketball: 594-469-17 on Best Bets & 540-472-16 on Opinions.
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NFL & College Football 4-Week Pass
$795.00 SubscribeGet all of Dr. Bob’s College Football and NFL Best Bets and Strong Opinions for 4 weekends of plays. In addition to receiving texts of each play, as they are being released, you will receive an email with analysis of all Best Bets and Strong Opinions.
Daily/Weekly Recap
2016-23 NFL Best Bets are 417-299-8 (58.2%)
2016-23 NFL Strong Opinions are 305-249-13 (55.1%)
Week 1 Results
The only NFL Best Bet for week 1 was a 2-Star loss on the Rams-Lions Over 51. We got good closing line value (closed at 54) but the teams combined for just 40 points in regulation. The Strong Opinions went 2-1. Jacksonville (+3.5) blew a 10-point lead to Miami but managed to hang on for the spread win in a 3-point loss. Denver became a Strong Opinion on Sunday when the line moved to +6.5 and that hook made a difference as the Broncos lost by 6 at Seattle. The loss on the Washington-Tampa Bay Under 43.5, as the teams combined for 57 points.
Not a great start to the NFL season but not a disaster either.
Last season the Best Bets were 50-27-2 for +18.8 Stars and the Strong Opinions were 40-36-2.
The results since 2016, when I started using play-by-play data and advanced metrics, has been good on both Best Bets and Opinions.
2016-24 NFL Best Bets are 417-299-8 (58.2%) – 208-137-6 on Sides, 154-117 on totals, 8-7 1st-half totals, 25-18-2 team totals, 1-2 1st-half team totals, 20-17 teasers, 1-1 season win totals.
2016-24 NFL Strong Opinions are 305-249-13 (55.1%) – 116-113-10 sides, 101-76-1 totals, 2-2 1st-half sides, 7-7 1st-half totals, 19-13-1 Team Totals, 0-2 1st-half team totals, 6-2-1 teasers, 54-34 Post-season prop bets.
Closing Line Value
The average closing line value on our NFL Best Bets in the 2023 season was +3.1%, meaning that playing our games at the release line makes you 3.1% more likely to win each play, on average, than playing them on the closing line, which is also a good indicator of our model. Last year’s CLV was +2.9%.
The Best Bets beat the closing line 74% in 2023 and 80% over the last 3 seasons.