Dr. Bob Sports
2016-21 NFL Best Bets are 304-217-2 (58.4%)
2020 Best Bets were 59-27 (69%)!
2021 Best Bets are 22-24 for +1.6 Stars
2016-21 NFL Strong Opinions are 203-161-9 (55.8%)
Packages Available
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Dr. Bob Football & Basketball
$1,595.00 SubscribeGet all of Dr. Bob’s College Football, NFL, and College Basketball Best Bets through the 2022 NCAA Basketball Tournament for one low price. This package includes analysis on every College Bowl game, every NFL playoff game, every NCAA Tournament game (with projected pool brackets).
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NFL & College Football Season
$695.00 SubscribeGet all of Dr. Bob’s College Football and NFL Best Bets and Strong Opinions for the full season, including Bowl games, the NFL Playoffs, and the Superbowl.
Dr. Bob Sports NFL Best Bets are 304-217-2 (58.4%) and the NFL Strong Opinions are 203-161-9 (55.8%) in six seasons using our advanced NFL play-by-play model.
My College Football Best Bets are 2251-1861-77 (55%) on a Star Basis for +236.6 Stars Since 1999 and the Strong Opinions are a profitable 748-638-18.
Daily/Weekly Recap
2016-21 NFL Best Bets are 304-217-2 (58.4%)
2016-21 NFL Strong Opinions are 203-161-9 (55.8%)
Week 11 and 2021 Season Results
2021 Best Bets 23-24 for +2.6 Stars
The week 11 Best Bets were 5-4 with both 2-Star Best Bets winning, and the profit was +2.55 Stars. The Strong Opinions were just 1-3.
The two 2-Star wins were on Kansas City -2.5 and the Baltimore-Chicago Under, which both won pretty comfortably. The other three wins were 1-Star on the Indy-Buffalo Over 49 points (56 points scored), a 1-Star on Washington’s team total over 20, which they got to early in the second half, and Tampa Bay -10.5 on Monday night (won by 20). The losses were all 1-Star Best Bets – on Buffalo -7 (even), the Green Bay – Minnesota Under 49 (65 points scored), Seattle -3 (-115), and a Teaser (-115) with Buffalo and Seattle. The Strong Opinion win was on the Thursday night New England-Atlanta Under 47.5 (25 points scored) and the losses were on Baltimore -6 (released before news of Lamar Jackson being sick), the Tennessee team total over 27.5 (only 13 points), and Green Bay -1 (lost on the final play by 3).
2021 NFL Best Bets are 23-24 for +2.6 Stars and the Strong Opinions are 21-17-1.
Obviously, this season has been a disappointment so far after winning 69% of the NFL Best Bets last season, but we’re still profitable on the Best Bets and the Strong Opinions and it was really that one horrible 0-7 week a few weeks ago that’s made the difference between a normal solidly profitable season and the barely profitable season we’re having so far. I expect to win given the long term record of the plays based on the current model.
The results since 2016, when I started using play-by-play data and advanced metrics, has been good on both Best Bets and Opinions.
2016-21 NFL Best Bets are 304-217-2 (58.4%) – 163-99-2 on Sides, 109-90 on totals, 6-5 1st-half totals, 12-13 team totals, 13-9 teasers, 1-1 season win totals.
2016-21 NFL Strong Opinions are 203-161-9 (55.8%) – 87-88-7 sides, 75-57-1 totals, 1-1 1st-half sides, 4-1 1st-half totals, 7-7 Team Totals, 3-1-1 teasers, 26-6 Post-season prop bets.
Closing Line Value
The average closing line value on the NFL Best Bets in the 2021 season is +4.0%, meaning that playing our games at the release line makes you 4.0% more likely to win each play, on average, than playing them on the closing line, which is also a good indicator of our model. The average closing line value on our NFL Best Bets in the 2020 season was +3.4%
The Best Bets beat the closing line 83% of the time so far this season and 79% of the time last season.
