NFL

Dr. Bob Sports

2016-20 NFL Best Bets are 257-182-2 (58.5%)  – 151-86-2 (64%) on Sides!

2020 Best Bets are 35-16 (69%)!

2016-20 NFL Strong Opinions are 168-135-8 (55.4%)

Packages Available

  • Dr Bob Sports NFL Season

    2016-20 NFL Best Bets are 257-182-2 (58.5%)  – 151-85-2 (64%) on Sides!

    2016-20 NFL Strong Opinions are 168-135-8 (55.4%)

    Receive all NFL Best Bets and Strong Opinions, with analysis, through the Super Bowl.

    If the season is cut short, I will issue refunds.

    $475.00 Subscribe

  • Dr. Bob Sports NFL Week Pass

    I’ve reduced the price since there are fewer plays than normal.

    I will likely add 2 or 3 more plays

    There are 2 NFL Strong Opinions available that have yet to start.

    $55.00 Subscribe

  • Dr. Bob Sports NFL 4 Weeks

    My NFL 4-week package includes NFL Best Bets and analysis.

    You will receive an email with the analysis of all Best Bets and there will be analysis of all NFL games.

    $295.00 Subscribe

  • NFL & College Football Season

    Get all of Dr. Bob’s College Football and NFL Best Bets and Strong Opinions for the full season, including Bowl games, the NFL Playoffs, and the Superbowl.

    Dr. Bob Sports NFL Best Bets are 257-182-2 (58.5%) and the NFL Strong Opinions are 168-135-8 (55.4%) in five seasons using our advanced NFL play-by-play model.

    My College Best Bets are 2180-1794-73 (55%) on a Star Basis for +231.4 Stars Since 1999, including season win totals and futures, and the Strong Opinions are a profitable 719-615-21.

    Note: The price has been cut this year because about half the number of games of a normal College season are scheduled.  If the season is cut short I will issue partial refunds.

    $695.00 Subscribe

  • NFL & College Football 4-Week Pass

    Get all of Dr. Bob’s College Football and NFL Best Bets and Strong Opinions for 4 weekends of plays. In addition to receiving texts of each play, as they are being released, you will receive an email with analysis of all Best Bets and Strong Opinions.

    $495.00 Subscribe

Daily/Weekly Recap

2016-20 NFL Best Bets are 257-182-2 (58.5%)  – 151-86-2 (64%) on Sides!

2016-20 NFL Strong Opinions are 168-135-8 (55.4%)

Week 11 and 2020 Season Results

2020 Best Bets 35-16 for +21.75 Stars

The week 11 Best Bets were 2-1 for +1.9 Stars (1-0 on 2-Stars and 1-1 on 1-Star Best Bets) while the Strong Opinions were 0-3. NFL Best Bets are 19-4 the last four weeks and 69% for the season.

Both wins were on big dogs with 2-Stars on Dallas +8.5 beating Minnesota 31-28 and the Jets +9 taking advantage of the bad coaching of Anthony Lynn, who got ultra-conservative on offense, and let the Jets close to within 8 points before taking a safety on their final play for the final 6-point margin. The Best Bet loss was on the Philly-Cleveland Over 46, as the two teams combined for just 39 points.

The Strong Opinions continue to struggle, as they were 0-3 with Philadelphia, Baltimore and a tough loss on the Kansas City 1st-half Team Total Over 16.5, as Patrick Mahomes threw an interception from the Raiders’ 14-yard line when a field goal would have put them at 17 1st-half points. We’ve won our share of close games in the NFL this season and you have to take the bad with the good.

For the season the Best Bets are 35-16 for +21.75 Stars and the Strong Opinions are 11-19-1

The results since 2016, when I started using play-by-play data and advanced metrics, has been good on both Best Bets and Opinions.

2016-20 NFL Best Bets are 257-182-2 (58.5%)  – 151-86-2 on Sides, 85-75 on totals, 4-3 1st-half totals, 6-10 team totals, 10-7 teasers, 1-1 season win totals.

2016-20 NFL Strong Opinions are 168-135-8 (55.4%) – 75-77-7 sides, 64-48-1 totals, 1-1 1st-half sides, 4-0 1st-half totals, 3-3 Team Totals, 2-1 teasers, 19-5 Post-season prop bets.

Closing Line Value

If you are among those that purchase plays by the week you’d be much better off subscribing to a 4-week or season package, as we are getting a lot of line value releasing Best Bets to subscribers early in the week.

So far this season the average closing line value on our Best Bets is +3.1%, meaning that playing our games at the release line makes you 3.1% more likely to win each play, on average, than playing them on the closing line, which is also a good indicator of our model.

Last season the average closing line value on our Best Bets (not including the teasers and props) is +2.8%.

The Best Bets beat the closing line 76% of the time last season and 83% of the time this season.