2019 College Season Win Totals

  The following are the 8 College Season Win Totals Best Bets that I released to my subscribers on Monday morning, August 26. Due to the past success of my season win totals (31-17-1, including 18-8-1 the last 6 years), the odds on these moved significantly and to the point where there is not enough value to play most of them. …

Week 2 Preseason NFL Situation – 2019

Winning preseason games often comes down to which coach/team is more motivated to win and the second week of the preseason offers a good investment opportunity based on motivation. In general, most NFL coaches don’t really care about winning a preseason game, but I’ve found that teams that lose their first preseason game have been good bets against teams that …

NCAA Tournament Capsules West Region (2019)

  West Region   (1) Gonzaga (30-3) Gonzaga has been the 3rd best team in the nation this season in my compensated ratings behind Duke (games with Zion only) and Virginia and the Zags are the only team to beat Duke when the Blue Devils had all of their stars playing. However, the Bulldogs also lost their other two games …

NCAA Tournament Capsules South Region

  South Region   (1) Virginia (29-3) Virginia enters the tournament with the best compensated net efficiency in the nation, although they’d be second to Duke when excluding the Blue Devils’ games without Zion Williamson. Speaking of Duke, two of Virginia’s three losses were to Duke by a combined 12 points, but 3-point variance had a lot to do with …

NCAA Tournament Capsules Midwest Region (2019)

  Midwest Region (1) North Carolina (27-6) North Carolina is a deserving #1 seed and the Tarheels have a pretty easy path to the regional final but their only win against a healthy elite team was at home against Gonzaga in a game they made a randomly high 52% of their 3-point shots. Their two wins against Duke were games …

NCAA Tournament Capsules East Region (2019)

East Region   (1) Duke (29-5) Duke is certainly deserving of the #1 overall seed, as they are 24-1 when they have all of their starters healthy, with their only loss by 2 points to Gonzaga (due to negative 3-point variance) and quality wins over high seeded teams Kentucky, Auburn, Texas Tech, Florida State twice, Virginia twice and North Carolina. …

NBA Guru 2018-19 NBA Win Totals

  The last two seasons I’ve asked the NBA Guru to share his thoughts on NBA win total plays he like. His 2016-17 NBA season win totals went 4-0 and the 2017-18 NBA Wins totals were 3-0. The NBA Guru is happy to share his thoughts again on a few 2018-19 NBA season win totals. Once again, these will be considered as Strong Opinions. The …

2018 AFC North Previews

Pittsburgh Steelers Market Implied Wins: 10.2 The Steelers won 13 games last season but stumbled in the playoffs, a familiar feeling as of late. The Ben Roethlisberger era in Pittsburgh can be split into two sections: his first 7 years averaging 11 wins per season with 3 AFC Titles and the second half of his career averaging 10.4 wins per …