NCAA Tournament Capsules: Midwest Region (2018)

Midwest Region   (1) Kansas (27-7) Kansas is a vulnerable #1 seed. The Jayhawks are not an elite defensive team (26th in compensated defensive efficiency) and they’re a poor rebounding team for a team of their level (+0.06 rebound margin per game), so they will have to make their shots in every game they play against other really good teams, …

NCAA Tournament Capsules: East Region (2018)

East Region   (1) Villanova (30-4) Villanova is certainly a deserving #1 seed and will be tough to beat. The Wildcats’ 4 losses were all due to 3-point variance, as they lost to Butler, St. John’s, Providence and Creighton by an average of only 5.8 points despite a combined 27.6% to 45.1% 3-point shooting discrepancy, which is highly random given …

NCAA Tournament Capsules: West Region (2018)

West Region   (1) Xavier (28-5) Xavier is the worst of the #1 seeds and is also the most likely top seed to be eliminated from this tournament before the regional final – most likely by the winner of the Gonzaga vs Ohio State 4-5 match-up. Xavier is still more likely than either of those teams to make the regional …

NCAA Tournament Capsules: South Region (2018)

South Region   (1) Virginia (31-2) Virginia is the consensus #1 team in the nation and the Cavaliers have played better overall than any other team in the nation. However, my issue with Virginia over the years is that they have no room for improvement because their defense can’t get any better than it already is by simply giving more …

Dr. Bob 2017 College Season Win Totals

  Here is my list of College Football Season Win totals for 2017 that I sent to subscribers on Friday August 25. I’ve had good success with these plays, going 29-12, including 16-3 the last 4 years (all posted on my website). You can view my analysis/plays for 2016 win totals and 2015 win totals. Let’s hope for more of …

Week 2 Preseason NFL Situation

Winning preseason games often comes down to which coach/team is more motivated to win and the second week of the preseason offers a good investment opportunity based on motivation. In general, most NFL coaches don’t really care about winning a preseason game, but I’ve found that teams that lose their first preseason game have been good bets against teams that …

2016 NFL Turnover Luck

  Turnovers are one of the most telling statistics in football but turnovers are also highly deceptive. An average team with a turnover margin of +10 would likely make the playoffs with a 10-6 record while an average team with a -10 turnover margin over their 16 game schedule would likely finish with a 6-10 mark. That statement is based …

2017-18 Subscription Packages Now Available

My season packages for Football and Basketball are now available and will save you money from buying weekly packages, while also receiving the Best Bets earlier than buying them on a week to week basis from the website (which makes a big difference in college football, where the lines move shortly after releasing them to my seasonal clients). I will also …