NCAA Tournament Capsules (2017)

Links to all NCAA Tournament Capsules are below: South Midwest East West Also check out How to Win Your NCAA Tournament Pool   Dr. Bob’s NCAA Tournament Best Bets are 56% over 28 years and have gotten better recently, going 122-93-3 (57%) the last 13 years and 47-31-1 (60%) the last 5 years. Designated ‘opinion’ games are 86-74-4 (54%) the last 5 years …

NCAA Tournament Capsules: South Region (2017)

South Region (1) North Carolina (27-7) There was some discussion as to whether Duke should have received this #1 seed instead of North Carolina because the Blue Devils beat the Tarheels twice, including in the ACC Tournament. But, Duke was lucky to win both games in the form of 52% 3-point shooting to 26% 3-point shooting for UNC. Duke is …

NCAA Tournament Capsules: Midwest Region (2017)

Midwest Region   (1) Kansas (28-4) I wasn’t particularly impressed with Kansas even before they lost to TCU in their opening Big 12 Tournament game. The Jayhawks have been overrated all season (12-18 ATS), and they weren’t particularly great against other really good teams. Kansas did beat Duke by 2 points early in the season, split two games with Iowa …

NCAA Tournament Capsules: East Region (2017)

East Region   (1) Villanova (31-3) Before winning the Championship last season, Villanova had a pattern of underperforming as a high seed in this tournament. In 2015 the #1 seeded Wildcats lost in the 2nd round. In 2014, as a #2 seed, the Cats also lost in the 2nd round, as was the case in 2010. Before last season the …

NCAA Tournament Capsules: West Region (2017)

West Region   (1) Gonzaga (32-1) Gonzaga has the highest adjusted total efficiency in the nation and the question is if they built up those impressive compensated efficiency numbers by beating up on weaker teams. That answer is no. Gonzaga played relatively better against better teams, both offensively and defensively, and they have wins over highly rated teams Florida (77-72), …

How to Win Your NCAA Tournament Pool (2017)

Originally by Galen Hall for Dr. Bob Sports  Maximizing Win Probability When filling out your March Madness bracket, remember that your primary goal is not to pick the most likely bracket, but rather the bracket that has the best chance of winning your pool. Maximizing win probability requires the player to consider not only a team’s odds but also the distribution …

Belichick or Buffett? Who would you invest in?

By EVBettor Bill Belichick is far and away the best coach the NFL has seen this century, taking over the New England Patriots in 2000, he has accumulated 225-80 record (including playoffs), for a 74% win percentage and a 59% Against the Spread (“ATS”) record, continually surpassing bookmakers’ expectations.  The next highest team has a 64% win rate (Steelers), as …

Super Bowl Betting Anomaly and How to Take Advantage

By: EVBettor   Sportsbooks love to take advantage of the casual sports bettor and nowhere does that show up more than the biggest betting day of the year, Super Bowl Sunday.  Last season, Super Bowl 50’s estimated Nevada Handle was $120 million to $130 million, which represented 1/4 to 1/3 of all football action Nevada took that season (estimated $320-400 million). A …

Beating the Book: NFL Divisional Round

  Divisional Round matchup perspective from Warren Sharp of Sharp Football Analysis, and Dr. Bob Sports’ EVBettor guests on the roundtable, with Host Gill Alexander. Warren Sharp of Sharp Football Analysis and the Sharp Football Analysis Podcast joins Host Gill Alexander and offers up his thoughts on an array of topics, including whether the new extra point rules in the …

NFL Playoffs: Which team does this remind you of?

By: EVBettor   “History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes” – probably not Mark Twain An aphorism that is the basis for ALL investment styles as investors all search for instances where they “have seen that before” and can profit from it.  Whether the scenario is a stock with a wide moat and shareholder friendly management team or a great …