Dr. Bob
2023-24 College Basketball Plays: 544-459-16 (Daily and Season Recap below)
2022-23 College Basketball Plays: 590-482-17
College Basketball Best Bets: 1992-1650-66 on a Star Basis for +171.5 Stars the last 7 seasons!
I have been very profitable on my College Basketball Best Bets over the years (+459.3 Stars the last 26 seasons) but starting with the 2020-21 season the College Basketball plays were based on a new model that tested incredibly well (832-636-29 for 56.7%) over the previous 4 seasons. The model was tested on seasons not used to derive the model to avoid back-fitting.
The first four seasons using that predictive matchup model produced good results on Best Bets (1109-904-34, 55.1%) despite being an unlucky 8-18-2 on games decided by overtime (instead of 17-9-2 on those games had they been graded at the end of regulation) and winning only 46% of the close games (143-165-33 on Best Bets decided by less than 3 points) instead of the 50% expected in the long run.
Had we won 50% of the close games and had those games altered due to OT (i.e. dogs not covering) produce the results they would have in regulation then we’d have been 56.1% winners the last four seasons, which is incredibly good in Basketball. The new model has won despite the bad luck – particularly in the last two seasons (+77.25 Stars on Best Bets) and I expect even better results in the future.
Four Seasons with new matchup model: Best Bets are 1109-904-34 (55.1%) and Opinions are 894-772-28 (53.7%).
See season to date results below in the daily recap section.
Packages Available
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College Basketball Season
$2,995.00 SubscribeCollege Basketball Best Bets and Opinions through the 2025 NCAA Championship game.
CBB Best Bets: 594-469-17 (55.9%) Last 2 Seasons
CBB Opinions: 540-472-16 (53.4%) Last 2 Seasons
With over 1000 plays in each of the last 2 seasons the price works out to less than $3 per play.
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All Football & Basketball
$4,795.00 SubscribeGet all of Dr. Bob’s College Football, NFL, and College Basketball Best Bets through the 2025 NCAA Basketball Tournament for one low price ($970 less than purchasing each package separately).
This package includes analysis on every College Bowl game, every NFL Playoff game, every NCAA Tournament game (with projected pool brackets).
2022/23 & 2023/24 Results:
Football: 168-116-9 (59%) on Best Bets & 119-95-4 (56%) on Strong Opinions.
Basketball: 594-469-17 on Best Bets & 540-472-16 on Opinions.
Daily/Season to Date Recap
2023-24 CBB Season Recap
The Lean on Connecticut was a winner in the Championship game.
Tournament Best Bets were 10-8 for -1.05 Stars, Tourney Opinions were 12-9, and NCAA Tournament Leans were 10-3.
For the season, the Best Bets were 292-229-7 for +37.35 Stars and the Opinions were 252-230-9.
The Best Bets had another very profitable season despite being 0-5 on games decided due to overtime (instead of being 4-0-1 on those games had they been graded at the end of regulation). The Best Bets decided by less than 3 points were 35-34-7.
The Opinions were worse than their historical win percentage because of an unlucky 26-45-9 on bets decided by less than 3 points. The Opinions decided by OT were 9-8 (instead of 8-9). Had the close games been close to even the win percentage of the Opinions would have been 53.9%, which would have been close to the percentage of Opinions in the first 3 seasons with the matchup model.
Best Bet Sides (140-103-5 for +23.85 Stars)
Best Bet Totals (77-59 for +12.1 Stars)
Extra Game Best Bet Sides (43-36-2 for +3.35 Stars)
Extra Game Best Bet Totals (31-31 for -3.0 Stars)
NCAA Futures Best Bet (1-0 for +1.05 Stars)
Opinion Sides (127-133-6)
Opinion Totals (77-46-1)
Extra Game Opinion Sides (30-30-2)
Extra Game Opinion Totals (18-21)
2022-23 CBB Season Recap
It was a very profitable season with the Best Bets being +39.9 Stars of profit while the opinions added another 10.9 Stars if played for 0.5 Star each, as recommended.
For the season the Best Bets are 302-240-10 for +39.9 Stars and the Opinions are 288-242-7.
Best Bet Sides (155-127-8 for +15.25 Stars)
Best Bet Totals (68-55-1 for +9.45 Stars)
Extra Game Best Bet Sides: (57-44-1 for +8.55 Stars)
Extra Game Best Bet Totals (22-14 for +6.65 Stars)
Opinion Sides: (174-153-6)
Opinion Totals: (52-45-1)
Extra Game Opinion Sides: (50-35)
Extra Game Opinion Totals (12-9)
New College Basketball Model
I have been very profitable on my College Basketball Best Bets over the years (+368.8 Stars the last 23 seasons) but starting with the 2020-21 season the College Basketball plays were based on a new model that tested incredibly well (832-636-29 for 56.7%) over the previous 4 seasons. The model was tested on seasons not used to derive the model to avoid back-fitting. The first season using that predictive matchup model produced very good results on Best Bets (55.7%) despite winning only 40% of the close games (bets decided by less than 3 points).