Dr. Bob
Service Note: I have decided to cut back on my work to spend more time with my two young kids (9 and 7) and help out my wife, who has been incredibly understanding of my 110+ hour work weeks. I will not be handicapping College Basketball this year – although I may have an NCAA Tournament package in March.
I will only be handicapping the NFL, which has been the best win percentage sport over the last 10 years (57.6% on Best Bets and 54.9% on Strong Opinions (0.5 Unit plays).
2025-26 College Basketball Plays: 883-754-17 for +40.175 Stars (recap below)
2024-25 College Basketball Plays: 873-743-16
2023-24 College Basketball Plays: 544-459-16
2022-23 College Basketball Plays: 590-482-17
College Basketball Plays: 2890-2438-66 for +160.3 Stars the last 4 seasons!
I have been very profitable on my College Basketball plays over the years (+569.3 Stars the last 28 seasons) but starting with the 2020-21 season the College Basketball plays were based on a new model.
The six seasons using that predictive matchup model produced good results on Best Bets (2103-1776-51, 54.2%) despite being an unlucky 18-40-4 on games decided by overtime (instead of 38-20-4 on those games had they been graded at the end of regulation) and winning only 46.7% of the close games (283-323-51 on Best Bets decided by less than 3 points) instead of the 50% expected in the long run.
We also released Opinions, which are recommended to be played at 0.5 Stars each, and Opinions are now 1666-1397-44 (54.4%) for +112.7 Stars over the previous six seasons. The luck on Opinions has been close to neutral (but still a bit negative) at 227-231-44 on bets decided by less than 3 points and 28-29-2 on games decided due to overtime (instead of 31-26-2 had the games been graded at the end of regulation).
The new model has won despite the bad luck on the Best Bets – particularly in the last four seasons (+160.3 Stars).
Six Seasons with matchup model: Best Bets are 2103-1776-51 (54.2%) and Opinions are 1666-1397-44 (54.4%).
See season to date results below in the daily recap section.
Packages Available
Daily/Season to Date Recap
Monday, April 6 and 2025-26 Season Recap
The Monday 1-Star Best Bet on Connecticut +7 was a winner, as the Huskies lost by 6. It was a bit of a lucky win but the luck was against us for the most part this season.
For the season, the Best Bets were 489-426-9 for +23.55 Stars and Opinions (0.5 Star plays) are 394-328-8 for +16.625 Stars – for a total profit of +40.175 Stars.
Best Bets decided by less than 3 points were just 58-76-8 for -24.65 Stars (instead of -7.25 Stars if we split the close games). Opinions decided by less than 3 points are 51-44-8 for +1.3 Stars (instead of -2.575 Stars). The season ended at -13.525 Stars due to close game luck and -2.65 Stars on bets decided due to Overtime (compared to the results had those games been graded at the end of regulation). That’s a total of -16.175 Stars due to luck. It was still a good season though.