College Basketball

Dr. Bob

2022-23 College Basketball Plays: 590-482-17

2023-24 College Basketball Plays: 410-346-13 (Daily and Season Recap below)

College Basketball Best Bets: 1697-1416-59 on a Star Basis for +134.15 Stars the last 6 seasons!

I have been very profitable on my College Basketball Best Bets over the years (+421.9 Stars the last 25 seasons) but starting with the 2020-21 season the College Basketball plays were based on a new model that tested incredibly well (832-636-29 for 56.7%) over the previous 4 seasons. The model was tested on seasons not used to derive the model to avoid back-fitting.

The first three seasons using that predictive matchup model produced good results on Best Bets (817-675-27, 54.8%) despite winning only 45% of the close games (108-132-27 on Best Bets decided by less than 3 points) instead of the 50% expected in the long run, and being an unlucky 8-13-2 on games decided by overtime (instead of 13-9-1 on those games had they been graded at the end of regulation).

Had we won 50% of the close games and had those games altered due to OT (i.e. dogs not covering) produce the results they would have in regulation then we’d have been 55.9% winners the last three seasons, which is incredibly good in Basketball. The new model has won despite the bad luck and I expect even better results in the future.

Last 3 Seasons with new matchup model: Best Bets are 817-675-27 and Opinions are 642-542-18

See season to date results below in the daily recap section.

Packages Available

  • Dr. Bob College Basketball Season

    All Plays are 1459-1217-45 the last 3 seasons with new matchup model.

    Receive all of my NCAA Basketball Best Bets and Opinions through the 2024 NCAA Tournament Championship game.

    $525.00 Subscribe

  • Dr. Bob College Basketball 7 Days

    Receive the Dr. Bob Sports College Basketball Best Bets and Opinions via text and email each morning for 7 days. Plays will be released each morning starting at 6:30 am Pacific, so make sure your book has lines available that that time before signing up.

    The Day Pass is no longer available. The large majority of Best Bets I release to subscribers move out of Best Bet range after the release, so it’s a disservice to you to have a day pass selling plays that are not as likely to win. The 7-day pass will enable you to get the plays as they are being released.

    $175.00 Subscribe

Daily/Season to Date Recap

CBB Recap 2/23

The Friday Best Bets were 1-0 for +1.0 Stars and the Opinions were 0-0.

For the season, the Best Bets are 224-179-7 for +25.65 Stars and the Opinions are 186-167-6.

All Basketball plays are 410-346-13 despite Bets decided by less than 3 points being just 46-64-13 and games decided due to overtime being 7-9. The record would be a solid 421-335-13 (55.6%) if we were even in close games (55-55-12) and were 9-7 on the decisions altered due to overtime instead of being 7-9 on those games. It’s been frustrating but at least the trend is up since starting the season 56-61-5 on all plays (354-285-8 since 11/24).

Best Bet Sides (97-73-5 for +15.4 Stars)

(873) *St. Peters (+2.5) (won by 5, WON)

Best Bet Totals (62-52 for +4.7 Stars)

None

Extra Game Best Bet Sides (34-28-2 for +3.1 Stars)

None

Extra Game Best Bet Totals (31-26 for +2.45 Stars)

None

Opinion Sides (82-93-4)

None

Opinion Totals (62-37)

None

Extra Game Opinion Sides (25-22-2)

None

Extra Game Opinion Totals (17-15)

None


2022-23 CBB Season Recap

It was a disappointing March but it was still a very profitable season with the Best Bets being +39.9 Stars of profit while the opinions added another 10.9 Stars if played for 0.5 Star each, as recommended.

For the season the Best Bets are 302-240-10 for +39.9 Stars and the Opinions are 288-242-7.

Best Bet Sides (155-127-8 for +15.25 Stars)

Best Bet Totals (68-55-1 for +9.45 Stars)

Extra Game Best Bet Sides: (57-44-1 for +8.55 Stars)

Extra Game Best Bet Totals (22-14 for +6.65 Stars)

Opinion Sides: (174-153-6)

Opinion Totals: (52-45-1)

Extra Game Opinion Sides: (50-35)

Extra Game Opinion Totals (12-9)

New College Basketball Model

I have been very profitable on my College Basketball Best Bets over the years (+368.8 Stars the last 23 seasons) but starting with the 2020-21 season the College Basketball plays were based on a new model that tested incredibly well (832-636-29 for 56.7%) over the previous 4 seasons. The model was tested on seasons not used to derive the model to avoid back-fitting. The first season using that predictive matchup model produced very good results on Best Bets (55.7%) despite winning only 40% of the close games (bets decided by less than 3 points).

More information on the new College Basketball model.