Dr. Bob
2022-23 College Basketball Plays: 590-482-17 (recap below)
College Basketball Best Bets: 1697-1416-59 on a Star Basis for +134.15 Stars the last 6 seasons!
I have been very profitable on my College Basketball Best Bets over the years (+421.9 Stars the last 25 seasons) but starting with the 2020-21 season the College Basketball plays were based on a new model that tested incredibly well (832-636-29 for 56.7%) over the previous 4 seasons. The model was tested on seasons not used to derive the model to avoid back-fitting.
The first three seasons using that predictive matchup model produced good results on Best Bets (817-675-27, 54.8%) despite winning only 45% of the close games (108-132-27 on Best Bets decided by less than 3 points) instead of the 50% expected in the long run, and being an unlucky 8-13-2 on games decided by overtime (instead of 13-9-1 on those games had they been graded at the end of regulation).
Had we won 50% of the close games and had those games altered due to OT (i.e. dogs not covering) produce the results they would have in regulation then we’d have been 55.9% winners the last three seasons, which is incredibly good in Basketball. The new model has won despite the bad luck and I expect even better results in the future.
Last 3 Seasons with new matchup model: Best Bets are 817-675-27 and Opinions are 642-542-18
See season to date results below in the daily recap section.
Packages Available
-
Dr. Bob Football & Basketball
$4,695.00 SubscribeGet all of Dr. Bob’s College Football, NFL, and College Basketball Best Bets through the 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament for one low price (a $590 savings vs purchasing each package separately).
This package includes analysis on every College Bowl game, every NFL playoff game, every NCAA Tournament game (with projected pool brackets).
2022-23 Results:
Football: 83-56-5 (60%) on Best Bets & 62-50-2 on Strong Opinions.
Basketball: 302-240-10 on Best Bets & 288-242-7 on Opinions.
Daily/Season to Date Recap
2022-23 CBB Season Recap
It was a disappointing March but it was still a very profitable season with the Best Bets being +39.9 Stars of profit while the opinions added another 10.9 Stars if played for 0.5 Star each, as recommended.
For the season the Best Bets are 302-240-10 for +39.9 Stars and the Opinions are 288-242-7.
Best Bet Sides (155-127-8 for +15.25 Stars)
Best Bet Totals (68-55-1 for +9.45 Stars)
Extra Game Best Bet Sides: (57-44-1 for +8.55 Stars)
Extra Game Best Bet Totals (22-14 for +6.65 Stars)
Opinion Sides: (174-153-6)
Opinion Totals: (52-45-1)
Extra Game Opinion Sides: (50-35)
Extra Game Opinion Totals (12-9)
New College Basketball Model
I have been very profitable on my College Basketball Best Bets over the years (+368.8 Stars the last 23 seasons) but starting with the 2020-21 season the College Basketball plays were based on a new model that tested incredibly well (832-636-29 for 56.7%) over the previous 4 seasons. The model was tested on seasons not used to derive the model to avoid back-fitting. The first season using that predictive matchup model produced very good results on Best Bets (55.7%) despite winning only 40% of the close games (bets decided by less than 3 points).