Dr. Bob Past Performance

NFL

 

2016-17 NFL Best Bets 137-101-2 (57.6%)  – 92-48-2 (65.7%) on sides

We ended the 2017 NFL season on a very good run (21-10-1 on Best Bets the last 10 weeks) after a tough mid-season stretch but our season was not nearly as good as the 2016 season. However, an additional predictive model was added to our arsenal starting in week 11 (when the winning began) and it’s a very exciting development that I’m looking forward to using all of next season.

 

2017 NFL Best Bets were 37-32-2 (26-22-2 sides, 10-5 totals, 1-2 1st-half totals, 0-1 team totals, 0-1 teasers, 0-1 season win totals) and Strong Opinions are 28-19 (14-13 sides, 7-4 totals, 1-1 1st-half totals, 6-1 Super Bowl prop bets).

2016-17 NFL Best Bets are 137-101-2 (57.6%)  – 92-48-2 on sides, 44-48 on totals, 1-2 1st-half totals, 0-1 team totals, 0-1 teasers, 0-1 season win totals.

2016-17 NFL Strong Opinions are 92-71-4 (56.4%) – 41-43-3 sides, 43-27-1 totals, 1-0 1st-half totals, 7-1 Super Bowl prop bets.

 

2016 was the first season using the new play-by-play model. Prior to 2016 my NFL Best Bets were based on situational analysis and my original math model, which performed very well for many years but offered very little value in later years. My NFL Best Bets were 57.8% from 1987 through 1998 but were just 50.6% from 1999 through 2012, which is when I decided to stop handicapping the NFL until I had a better model.

The new play-by-play model was introduced in 2016 with very good results and an improvement to the model was introduced starting in week 11 of the 2017 season that improved results. I am very excited about the improvement to the new predictive model that was used late last season and look forward to a profitable 2018 season.

For details on my subscription packages you can visit the Best Bets page

 

 

College Football

 

My College Football Best Bets are 2038-1679-64 (55%) on a Star Basis for +219.6 Stars Since 1999 (+222.7 Stars on Sides, -32.7 Stars on Totals, and +29.6 Stars on season win totals and futures) and the Strong Opinions are a profitable 637-560-15 (578-498-14 on Sides and 59-62-1 on Totals).

My 2017 College Best Bets were a decent 56-47-2 but I feel my level of handicapping was better than that record. My 101 Best Bets (excluding the 4 season win totals) combined to cover by a total of 229 points, which is an average of +2.3 points, despite my side Best Bets being -9 in fumble margin, which is random and worth about 36 points. A line differential of +2.3 points would normally equate to a win percentage of 56.1% winners, which is the best indicator of my handicapping level in 2016.

I’ve suffered through a multi-year period in which my actual record isn’t nearly as good as it should be because I’ve lost most of the toss-up games. The last three seasons I am an unlucky 38-58-2 on Best Bets decided by 7 points or fewer (rather than about 50%, as expected) while being a very good 104-67 on Best Bets decided by more than 7 points. And, in 2014 I was -37 in fumble margin on my Best Bet sides, which is by far the worst fumble luck I’ve had in 29 years (fumbles are 90% random).

Some may think the last few seasons are an indication that my model doesn’t work as well as it used to but my math model has actually continued to be very good overall (all predictions that varied from the line by 4 points or more were 310-257-12 (55%) the last two seasons) and it’s just random that I’ve had four consecutive seasons of negative variance on my Best Bets (one in fumble margin and three in toss-up games) – although my Best Bets sides have still been profitable despite the bad luck on close games (117-100-3 on Best Bets sides the last three seasons). I have had my share of positive variance seasons too, which led to very high win percentages and a lot of profit, and the negative variance of the last four seasons is inevitable at some point over a nearly 3 decade career – and is unlikely to continue.

My college football handicapping the last four seasons is as good as it’s ever been but it hasn’t shown in my record because of the negative variance of fumble luck in 2014 and a bad record on close games the last three seasons. I’m looking forward to having a season that is even in fumbles and 50% on close games so I can have a winning percentage that reflects my level of handicapping – which is still very good (my average line differential on all Best Bets the last 3 years is +2.8 points, which equates to 58% in the long run). After four negative luck seasons I expect the future to be more profitable than the recent pass – assuming my luck is neutral.

For details on my subscription packages you can visit the Best Bets page.

DR. BOB COLLEGE FOOTBALL SIDES RECORDS

Season 5-Star 4-Star 3-Star 2-Star 1-Star Strong Opinions Star Basis Best Bets Win Pct Futures Net Stars
WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT
1999 0 0 0 1 0 0 23 9 0 25 22 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 123 71 2 49 31 1 61.3% NA +44.9
2000 0 0 0 2 1 0 16 8 0 29 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 114 60 0 47 25 0 65.3% NA +48.0
2001 0 0 0 0 2 0 13 6 0 21 16 0 0 0 0 38 31 2 81 58 0 34 24 0 58.6% NA +17.2
2002 0 0 0 3 1 0 17 20 1 29 22 2 0 0 0 33 37 3 121 108 7 49 43 3 53.3% NA +2.2
2003 0 0 0 1 2 0 16 17 1 28 36 1 0 0 0 43 29 1 108 131 5 45 55 2 45.0% NA -36.1
2004 0 0 0 0 1 0 21 17 0 33 16 1 0 0 0 43 21 0 129 87 2 54 34 1 61.4% NA +33.3
2005 1 0 0 5 2 0 21 3 1 24 15 1 0 0 0 38 27 0 136 47 5 51 20 2 71.8% NA +84.3
2006 1 0 0 7 3 0 18 15 1 19 16 2 0 0 0 37 39 1 125 89 7 45 34 3 57.0% NA +27.1
2007 0 0 0 1 5 0 12 17 1 19 20 0 0 0 0 43 48 0 78 111 3 32 42 1 43.2% NA -44.1
2008 0 0 0 2 0 0 22 16 3 19 15 1 0 0 0 45 28 1 112 78 11 43 31 4 58.1% NA +26.2
2009 0 0 0 2 3 0 16 16 1 17 14 1 0 0 0 43 32 0 90 88 5 35 33 2 51.5% +4 -2.8
2010 0 0 0 3 2 0 15 14 0 28 18 1 0 0 0 33 37 1 113 86 2 46 34 1 57.5% +0.9 +19.3
2011 0 0 0 0 2 0 14 16 0 28 23 1 0 0 0 32 32 0 98 102 2 42 41 1 50.6% +12.9 -1.3
2012 0 0 0 0 1 0 19 8 0 28 24 0 0 0 0 26 29 0 113 76 0 47 33 0 58.8% -9.3 +20.1
2013 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 15 0 20 25 2 0 0 0 33 27 1 100 95 4 40 40 2 50.0% +5 +0.5
2014 0 0 0 1 2 0 21 13 0 23 21 0 10 21 0 27 25 0 123 110 0 55 57 0 49.1% +1.5 +3.5
2015 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 10 0 17 17 2 14 4 0 19 15 0 66 72 4 37 32 2 53.6% +5.6 -7.6
2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 0 26 12 0 11 13 0 28 22 2 72 58 0 40 32 0 55.6% +9 +17.2
2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 0 22 18 1 14 14 0 17 19 2 70 62 2 40 36 1 52.6% NA +1.8
Total 2 0 0 28 28 0 297 231 9 455 366 17 49 52 0 578 498 14 1972 1589 61 831 677 26 55.1% +29.6 +253.7
Win Pct 100.0% 50.0% 56.3% 55.4% 48.5% 53.7% 55.4%

Futures Best Bets include Season Win Totals, which are 26-11-1, and conference and national championship futures plays.

For more information on recent seasons read the following:

2017 College Football Season Recap.

2016 College Football Season Recap.

For details on my subscription packages you can visit the Best Bets page.

DR. BOB COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOTALS RECORDS

Season 5-Star 4-Star 3-Star 2-Star 1-Star Strong Opinions Star Basis Best Bets Win Pct Futures Net Stars
WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT
1999 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA +0.0
2000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA +0.0
2001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 9 0 1 4 0 20.0% NA -7.9
2002 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 2 3 0 1 1 0.0% NA -2.2
2003 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 100.0% NA +2.0
2004 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 100.0% NA +2.0
2005 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0.0% NA -2.2
2006 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA +0.0
2007 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA +0.0
2008 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA +0.0
2009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA +0.0
2010 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA +0.0
2011 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA +0.0
2012 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0.0% NA -4.4
2013 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NA +0.0
2014 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8 15 0 9 10 0 18 10 1 28 40 0 18 25 0 41.9% NA -16.0
2015 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 5 8 0 11 12 0 13 14 0 9 11 0 45.0% NA -2.4
2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 0 7 4 0 2 4 0 2 4 0 33.3% NA -2.4
2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 14 8 0 11 13 0 14 12 0 14 10 0 58.3% NA +0.8
Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 15 27 0 30 30 0 77 72 2 63 87 3 46 58 1 44.2% +0 -32.7
Win Pct 50.0% 35.7% 50.0% 51.7% 42.0%

 

College Basketball

 

My College Basketball Best Bets are a profitable +353.0 Stars the last 20 years (6931-5980-124 on a Star Basis). The 2017-18 season was very profitable 211-167-7 on my College Best Bets and 348-257-8 on a Star Basis (6-7 on 3-Stars, 125-76-1 on 2-Stars and 80-84-6 on 1-Stars) for +65.3 Stars at -110 odds. I made some necessary changes to my College Basketball model and Best Bet selection process last season and those changes had a huge positive impact that I expect to continue going forward.

For details on my subscription packages you can visit the Best Bets page.

DR. BOB COLLEGE BASKETBALL RECORDS

Season 5-Star 4-Star 3-Star 2-Star 1-Star Strong Opinions Star Basis Best Bets Win Pct Futures Net Stars
WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT
1998 0 0 0 4 1 0 44 29 2 58 47 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 264 185 14 106 77 6 57.9% NA +60.5
1999 0 0 0 8 5 0 47 35 4 52 54 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 277 233 16 107 94 6 53.2% NA +20.7
2000 0 0 0 1 1 0 45 53 0 92 61 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 323 285 6 138 115 3 54.5% NA +9.5
2001 0 0 0 2 2 0 48 29 2 102 85 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 356 265 12 152 116 5 56.7% NA +64.5
2002 0 0 0 5 5 0 74 68 4 85 80 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 412 384 22 164 153 9 51.7% NA -10.4
2003 0 0 0 5 4 1 76 48 4 114 86 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 476 332 28 195 138 11 58.6% NA +110.8
2004 0 0 0 8 11 1 68 61 2 79 79 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 394 385 16 155 151 6 50.7% NA -29.5
2005 0 0 0 2 8 0 76 47 1 85 59 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 406 291 5 163 114 2 58.8% NA +85.9
2006 0 0 0 10 10 0 62 46 1 51 57 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 328 292 5 123 113 2 52.1% NA +6.8
2007 0 0 0 4 6 1 61 58 4 55 64 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 309 326 22 120 128 8 48.4% NA -49.6
2008 0 0 0 2 2 0 55 41 3 60 64 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 293 259 11 117 107 4 52.2% NA +8.1
2009 0 0 0 1 1 0 42 41 1 79 59 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 288 245 9 122 101 4 54.7% NA +18.5
2010 0 0 0 2 2 0 40 40 2 81 56 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 290 240 10 123 98 4 55.7% NA +26.0
2011 0 0 0 2 3 0 59 56 1 97 77 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 379 334 9 158 136 4 53.7% NA +11.6
2012 0 0 0 6 1 0 70 53 1 122 130 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 478 423 9 198 184 4 51.8% NA +12.7
2013 0 0 0 5 5 0 60 63 4 124 116 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 448 441 20 189 184 8 50.7% NA -37.1
2014 0 0 0 1 0 0 27 28 1 74 75 7 56 47 2 45 43 3 289 281 19 158 150 10 51.3% NA -20.1
2015 0 0 0 0 1 0 17 14 1 82 74 0 70 54 0 79 65 2 285 248 3 169 143 1 54.2% NA +12.2
2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 22 2 89 81 6 56 46 1 55 41 1 288 274 19 163 149 9 52.2% NA -13.4
2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 0 125 76 1 80 84 6 52 36 0 348 257 8 211 167 7 55.8% NA +65.3
Total 0 0 0 68 68 3 995 839 40 1706 1480 61 262 231 9 231 185 6 6931 5980 263 3031 2618 113 53.7% +0 +353
Win Pct 50.0% 54.3% 53.5% 53.1% 55.5% 53.7%

 

NBA

 

My NBA Best Bets have been profitable over my career as a public handicapper but I’ve struggled the last few years. However, I also have an NBA only handicapper in the NBA Guru, who has an outstanding track record in his 6 seasons with Dr. Bob Sports (and 4 seasons prior while I was monitoring his plays). The NBA Guru has a Best Bet record of 792-667-23 and a profit of +126.9 Stars in 6 seasons with Dr. Bob Sports.

 

NBA Guru Past Performance

 

Season                        Win                  Loss                Push        Win Pct              Profit

2017-18                        145                  135                     3                 51.8%         -9.1 Stars

2016-17                         93                  100                     4                 48.2%        -34.4 Stars

2015-16                       104                    71                      1                59.4%       +53.6 Stars

2014-15                       106                    69                     7                 60.6%       +61.2 Stars

2013-14                       196                  177                     6                 52.5%         +7.9 Stars

2012-13                       148                  115                     2                 56.3%       +47.7 Stars


6 Years                        792                  667                   23                54.3%     +126.9 Stars

 

For a more detailed chart of NBA Guru Best Bets and a season by season recap you can visit the NBA Guru Past Performance page.

For details on available subscription packages you can visit the Best Bets page.

 

DR. BOB NBA BASKETBALL RECORDS

Season 5-Star 4-Star 3-Star 2-Star 1-Star Strong Opinions Star Basis Best Bets Win Pct Futures Net Stars
WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT WLT
1998 0 0 0 4 3 0 22 22 2 32 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 146 112 6 58 42 2 58.0% NA +22.8
1999 0 0 0 2 4 0 35 29 3 71 46 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 255 195 13 108 79 5 57.8% NA +40.5
2000 0 0 0 2 3 0 22 16 3 76 64 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 226 188 15 100 83 6 54.6% NA +19.2
2001 0 0 0 1 2 0 23 15 1 55 39 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 183 131 7 79 56 3 58.5% NA +38.9
2002 0 0 0 2 1 0 31 29 1 38 55 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 177 201 5 71 85 2 45.5% NA -44.1
2003 0 0 0 2 1 0 24 21 1 54 42 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 188 151 11 80 64 5 55.6% NA +21.9
2004 0 0 0 2 1 0 28 24 3 38 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 168 134 9 68 54 3 55.7% NA +20.6
2005 0 0 0 3 1 1 20 21 1 48 31 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 168 129 11 71 53 4 57.3% NA +26.1
2006 0 0 0 2 0 0 22 25 2 24 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 122 123 6 48 49 2 49.5% NA -13.3
2007 0 0 0 0 2 0 29 18 0 32 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 151 102 0 61 40 0 60.4% NA +38.8
2008 0 0 0 2 0 0 19 18 0 27 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 119 120 0 48 51 0 48.5% NA -13.0
2009 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 18 1 39 28 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 138 110 3 59 46 1 56.2% NA +17.0
2010 0 0 0 1 0 0 19 13 0 40 48 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 141 135 6 60 61 3 49.6% +11 +3.5
2011 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 14 0 36 42 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 108 126 2 48 56 1 46.2% -1.8 -32.4
2012 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 14 0 55 42 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 167 126 6 74 56 3 56.9% +0.4 +28.8
2013 0 0 0 2 0 0 25 21 1 61 56 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 205 175 11 88 77 5 53.3% -8 +4.5
2014 0 0 0 2 1 0 17 19 0 64 36 4 40 42 1 57 49 4 227 175 9 123 98 5 55.7% -1 +33.5
2015 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 16 0 51 66 1 32 32 3 63 50 3 185 212 5 100 114 4 46.7% +1.3 -46.9
2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 25 1 78 100 3 42 41 0 69 46 2 249 316 9 137 166 4 45.2% -7.1 -105.7
2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 10 0 62 64 2 38 30 0 14 15 0 198 188 4 112 104 2 51.9% +2 -6.8
Total 0 0 0 27 19 1 433 388 20 981 882 35 152 145 4 203 160 9 3521 3149 138 1593 1434 60 52.6% -3.2 +53.9
Win Pct 58.7% 52.7% 52.7% 51.2% 55.9% 52.8%