My College Best Bets are 2027-1673-60 (55%) on a Star Basis for +217.6 Stars Since 1999, including season win totals and futures, and the Strong Opinions are a profitable 632-552-14.
The Free Analysis in week 14 was 7-4-1 Against The Spread (ATS) on all sides, including 0-0 on sides with a predicted margin that was 4 points or more from the spread. The predictions were 11-3 on totals, including 1-0 on differences from the line of 6 points or more, which is historically where they are profitable.
The Free Analysis sides are 279-252-16 ATS this season, including 76-68-6 on sides with a predicted margin that was 4 points or more from the spread (39-25-5 last 7 weeks). The Totals are 291-275-4, including 53-44-2 on differences from the line of 6 points or more.
The record on all Free Analysis sides is now 1329-1158-56 ATS since 2013, which is very good picking nearly every game over 4-plus years. The Free Analysis sides in which my predicted margin was 4 points or more away from the line are now 470-392-19. Totals on the Free pages are now 1063-1017-14 in the 4 seasons I’ve been tracking them.
Check out this week’s College Football Free Analysis.
My 2017 College Football Best Bets are now 50-43-2 for the season and 78-71-2 on a Star Basis for -0.65 Stars, which includes the season win totals (even), the -0.5 Stars on the money line play and -0.35 Stars on extra juice.
I had yet another close loss on my first Bowl Best Bets, as my Under 63.5 points on the Middle Tennessee State-Arkansas State game totals 65 points thanks in part to a fumble return touchdown. The teams combined for just 814 yards, which is actually less than the 825 yards my math model projected and would normally lead to 56 total points. My math model was right and the result was wrong.
For more details you can visit my College Football Recap page.
2016-17 NFL Best Bets are 123-93-1 (56.9%) – 83-42-1 on sides, 38-47 on totals, 0-2 1st-half totals, 0-1 team totals, 0-1 teasers.
2016-17 NFL Strong Opinions are 82-68-4 (54.7%) – 38-41-3 sides, 42-27-1 totals, 1-0 1st-half totals, 1-0 Super Bowl prop.