The record of the Free Analysis sides was 21-24-2 ATS in week 4 (89-84-3 for the season) while the totals were 18-22-1 (87-77-3 for the season). The sides with a 4 points or more differential from the line (i.e. the Leans) were 8-4 and are now 21-16 on the season. The totals Leans were 6-0-1 in week 4 and now 12-2-1 for the season. Overall, the Leans are now 33-18-1 for the season.
In the 2021 season the Free Analysis sides were just 274-256-6 on all games, but were a very profitable 82-56-2 on differences of 4 points or more (i.e. the leans) while totals were 270-274-3.
The record on all Free Analysis sides is now 2427-2196-82 ATS since 2013, which is very good picking nearly every game over 9-plus years. The Free Analysis sides in which my predicted margin was 4 points or more away from the line are a profitable 790-658-29. Totals on the Free pages are now 2164-2108-37 in the 8-plus seasons I’ve been tracking them. I used to track totals with differences from the line of 6 points or more but those fell below the break-even of 52.4% and I now choose selected Leans on totals, which I think will perform better.
The spreads posted are the consensus lines at the time I posted each analysis.