The new College Basketball Model tested at 56.7% on qualifying plays over a 4-year test sample that was not a part of the data that was used to derive the model. The initial team ratings found one team with significant value to win the NCAA Tournament. Best Bet – 0.5 Stars on WEST VIRGINIA to Win NCAA Tournament …
New College Basketball Model
College Basketball Best Bets: New Model leads to 56% Best Bet winners last season! I have been very profitable on my College Basketball Best Bets over the years (+368.8 Stars the last 23 seasons), and especially in the last 4 years when I started releasing most plays in the morning when lines are softer (54.7% and +81 Stars the last …
NFL Futures Best Bet (2020)
I have decided to release one of my NFL futures Best Bets a bit early since I think the line is likely to move against us. The play below is being posted at no charge but other season win total Best Bets will be reserved for subscribers. My NFL Best Bets are a very profitable 222-166-2 (57.2%) the …
2019 College Season Win Totals
The following are the 8 College Season Win Totals Best Bets that I released to my subscribers on Monday morning, August 26. Due to the past success of my season win totals (31-17-1, including 18-8-1 the last 6 years), the odds on these moved significantly and to the point where there is not enough value to play most of them. …
NFL Season Win Total Play
I have decided to release one of my NFL season win totals a bit early since I think the line is likely to move against me. The play below is being posted at no charge but other season win total Best Bets will be reserved for subscribers. My NFL Best Bets are 182-127-2 (58.9%) the last 3 seasons since I …
2018 AFC North Previews
Pittsburgh Steelers Market Implied Wins: 10.2 The Steelers won 13 games last season but stumbled in the playoffs, a familiar feeling as of late. The Ben Roethlisberger era in Pittsburgh can be split into two sections: his first 7 years averaging 11 wins per season with 3 AFC Titles and the second half of his career averaging 10.4 wins per …
2018 AFC South Previews
Jacksonville Jaguars Market Implied Wins: 9.1 The Jaguars reached the AFC Championship game in 2017 on the back of their defense, which ranked 2nd in the league in points allowed. The Jacksonville stop unit was led up front by Calais Campbell and earned the nickname Sacksonville with an 8.8% sack rate (2nd). However, much of the damage was against backup quarterbacks and …
2018 AFC East Previews
New England Patriots Market Implied Wins: 11.2 The Patriots reached the Super Bowl for the second straight season in 2017 but fell victim to their roller coaster secondary in the end. Bill Belichick’s defenses play a ‘bend but don’t break’ scheme finishing top 8 in yards allowed per point allowed in all but one of the last 15 seasons, including …
2018 AFC West Previews
Los Angeles Chargers Market Implied Wins: 9.1 It’s fair to say the 2017 Chargers were defined by their kicking, an obvious rarity even in a sport called football. Los Angeles was 1-4 in games decided by 3 points including late field goal misses in the first two weeks of the season. The Chargers converted just two-thirds of their field goal attempts, …
2018 College Win Total Best Bets
The following are the 3 College Season Win Totals Best Bets that I released to my subscribers on Friday morning, August 24 (I added the final one on Thursday the 30th). Due to the past success of my season win totals (31-13-1, including 18-4-1 the last 5 years), the odds on these moved significantly and to the point where …