Below you'll find a list of all posts that have been categorized as “Dr Bob”
Links to all NCAA Tournament Capsules are below: South Midwest East West Also check out How to Win Your NCAA Tournament Pool Dr. Bob’s NCAA Tournament Best Bets are 56% over 28 years and have gotten better recently, going 122-93-3 (57%) the last 13 years and 47-31-1 (60%) the last 5 years. Designated ‘opinion’ games are 86-74-4 (54%) the last 5 years …
South Region (1) North Carolina (27-7) There was some discussion as to whether Duke should have received this #1 seed instead of North Carolina because the Blue Devils beat the Tarheels twice, including in the ACC Tournament. But, Duke was lucky to win both games in the form of 52% 3-point shooting to 26% 3-point shooting for UNC. Duke is …
Midwest Region (1) Kansas (28-4) I wasn’t particularly impressed with Kansas even before they lost to TCU in their opening Big 12 Tournament game. The Jayhawks have been overrated all season (12-18 ATS), and they weren’t particularly great against other really good teams. Kansas did beat Duke by 2 points early in the season, split two games with Iowa …
East Region (1) Villanova (31-3) Before winning the Championship last season, Villanova had a pattern of underperforming as a high seed in this tournament. In 2015 the #1 seeded Wildcats lost in the 2nd round. In 2014, as a #2 seed, the Cats also lost in the 2nd round, as was the case in 2010. Before last season the …
West Region (1) Gonzaga (32-1) Gonzaga has the highest adjusted total efficiency in the nation and the question is if they built up those impressive compensated efficiency numbers by beating up on weaker teams. That answer is no. Gonzaga played relatively better against better teams, both offensively and defensively, and they have wins over highly rated teams Florida (77-72), …
Maximizing Win Probability When filling out your March Madness bracket, remember that your primary goal is not to pick the most likely bracket, but rather the bracket that has the best chance of winning your pool. Maximizing win probability requires the player to consider not only a team’s odds but also the distribution of picks of the other participants …
I started the season losing most of the close games on my College Bets Bets (5-15 on games decided by 7 points or less the first 7 weeks) but I am now up for the season after 3 consecutive winning weeks and a win on my Tuesday Best Bet on Kent State +21.5 over Western Michigan. That brings my …
The Ringer‘s podcast universe joins the collegiate ranks with Ringer University, a feed dedicated to what’s happening in college football and beyond, with in-house talents Mallory Rubin, Chris Vernon, and Ben Glicksman serving up insights, picks, and predictions on a week-to-week basis throughout the season. Chris Vernon brings on noted sports investor, Bob Stoll of DrBobSports.com to discuss the art …
This game is one of 8 to 10 Best Bets that I’ll have this week (I’ve already released 8 but will release at least 2 more) and you can get all of my Best Bet analysis for just $85. You can save money with a 4-Week or season subscription while also getting the plays as they are being released …
I only have one Best Bet for week 3 before opening things up next week when my math model starts to take shape. I also have 3 Strong Opinion that I’m posting in the College Free Analysis section, where I have predictions for all games. Note: I was just 1-3 on these 4 games but my math model kicks in …
