Section 1: Variance (Part 1) A general understanding of the role that variance plays in betting and in life can help prepare advanced investors for the swings that naturally occur in betting. “Variance” has a very specific definition in statistics, but for our purposes it will be used to describe the naturally occurring, short term hot and cold streaks which …
2018 AFC West Previews
Los Angeles Chargers Market Implied Wins: 9.1 It’s fair to say the 2017 Chargers were defined by their kicking, an obvious rarity even in a sport called football. Los Angeles was 1-4 in games decided by 3 points including late field goal misses in the first two weeks of the season. The Chargers converted just two-thirds of their field goal attempts, …
2018 NFC South Previews
New Orleans Saints Market Implied Wins: 9.4 The 2017 season ended in heartbreak for New Orleans as they were on the wrong side of the first ever fourth-quarter walk-off touchdown in NFL playoff history. However, last season’s Saints return almost all their key contributors including up front in the trenches. New Orleans was one of four offensive lines in the …
Dr. Bob 2017 College Season Win Totals
Here is my list of College Football Season Win totals for 2017 that I sent to subscribers on Friday August 25. I’ve had good success with these plays, going 29-12, including 16-3 the last 4 years (all posted on my website). You can view my analysis/plays for 2016 win totals and 2015 win totals. Let’s hope for more of …