Game Analysis
The Dolphins have won 6 games in a row, squeaking by NFL bottom-feeders of the Jets, Rams and Niners. Baltimore sits tied with the Steelers at the top of the AFC North, who they will play on Christmas day, as every game will be critical for the veteran team here on out. The Ravens are a true team of opposite extremes, as they have the third best defense in the NFL and the third worst offense. The advanced stats models leans to Ravens (-3.5) and the UNDER (40.5), though both are below model thresholds.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
32.1
37.7
-
Succ Pass Plays
45.9%
42.4%
-
Sack Rate
7.7%
5.9%
-
Int Rate
2.5%
2.4%
-
Deep Pass Rate
16.6%
16.9%
-
Big Pass Yards
47.5%
36.1%
-
NYPP
6.8
6.1
Rush
-
Rush Plays
24.9
29.7
-
RB YPR
4.3
4.3
-
Stuff Rate
24.5%
24.1%
-
Succ Rush Plays
41.1%
41.4%
-
Big Rush Yards
50.1%
48.4%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.5
4.7
Game
-
All Snaps
57.0
67.5
-
Early Down Succ
46.8%
45.6%
-
Succ Rate
43.7%
42.0%
-
Big Yards Rate
51.3%
41.3%
-
Yards Per Play
5.8
5.4
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.8%
0.6%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
30.1
28.6
-
Run Ratio
42.9%
43.6%
-
Starting Field Pos
27.7
28.2
-
Game Control
-2.5
2.5
Pass
-
Pass Plays
42.7
38.4
-
Succ Pass Plays
41.8%
46.3%
-
Sack Rate
4.9%
6.7%
-
Int Rate
2.3%
2.7%
-
Deep Pass Rate
16.3%
19.6%
-
Big Pass Yards
33.3%
38.4%
-
NYPP
5.9
5.8
Rush
-
Rush Plays
25.2
22.5
-
RB YPR
3.6
3.2
-
Stuff Rate
27.0%
30.3%
-
Succ Rush Plays
40.2%
31.0%
-
Big Rush Yards
36.2%
32.8%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.6
3.2
Game
-
All Snaps
67.9
60.9
-
Early Down Succ
43.8%
43.3%
-
Succ Rate
40.8%
41.1%
-
Big Yards Rate
36.3%
37.7%
-
Yards Per Play
5.0
4.8
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.7%
1.2%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.7
28.3
-
Run Ratio
36.7%
37.1%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.0
27.5
-
Game Control
1.9
-1.9
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@SEA |
10 – 12 L |
-1.6 |
21.2% /
50.0% |
12.1% /
6.5% |
0.0% /
2.3% |
4.8 /
5.2 |
35.0% /
50.0% |
30.0% /
21.9% |
3.2 /
3.5 |
53 /
78 |
28.2% /
54.2% |
26.4% /
50.0% |
53.2% /
19.6% |
4.2 /
4.5 |
0.0% /
1.3% |
37.7% /
41.0% |
32.1 /
22.5 |
| 2 |
@NE |
24 – 31 L |
-16.3 |
65.9% /
55.3% |
0.0% /
5.3% |
4.5% /
0.0% |
8.8 /
8.0 |
50.0% /
41.0% |
18.8% /
20.5% |
4.4 /
4.2 |
60 /
77 |
65.3% /
47.5% |
61.7% /
48.1% |
41.2% /
38.8% |
7.7 /
6.1 |
3.3% /
1.3% |
26.7% /
50.6% |
22.7 /
31.4 |
| 3 |
CLE |
30 – 24 W |
2.6 |
53.8% /
40.5% |
2.6% /
9.5% |
5.3% /
0.0% |
8.0 /
6.2 |
56.0% /
51.5% |
12.0% /
24.2% |
4.6 /
5.2 |
64 /
75 |
61.1% /
51.7% |
54.7% /
45.3% |
47.2% /
58.7% |
6.7 /
5.7 |
1.6% /
1.3% |
39.1% /
44.0% |
28.7 /
26.8 |
| 4 |
@CIN |
7 – 22 L |
-7.4 |
26.7% /
46.9% |
16.7% /
3.1% |
4.0% /
0.0% |
5.3 /
8.9 |
30.8% /
24.4% |
7.7% /
31.7% |
4.8 /
2.0 |
43 /
73 |
32.3% /
42.0% |
27.9% /
34.2% |
59.5% /
42.9% |
5.2 /
5.0 |
2.3% /
0.0% |
30.2% /
56.2% |
22.7 /
30.8 |
| 5 |
TEN |
17 – 30 L |
-5.7 |
37.5% /
37.9% |
25.0% /
0.0% |
11.1% /
0.0% |
6.2 /
5.6 |
47.1% /
59.1% |
11.8% /
18.2% |
3.0 /
5.4 |
41 /
73 |
43.3% /
58.2% |
41.5% /
50.7% |
64.0% /
42.5% |
4.9 /
5.5 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
41.5% /
60.3% |
21.2 /
34.9 |
| 6 |
PIT |
30 – 15 W |
5.2 |
56.3% /
40.5% |
0.0% /
5.4% |
0.0% /
5.7% |
7.9 /
4.6 |
51.4% /
41.2% |
24.3% /
5.9% |
6.0 /
7.6 |
69 /
54 |
56.6% /
47.5% |
53.6% /
40.7% |
60.6% /
36.2% |
6.9 /
5.5 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
53.6% /
31.5% |
37.0 /
23.4 |
| 7 |
BUF |
28 – 25 W |
-2.6 |
42.3% /
37.5% |
3.8% /
12.5% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
7.6 /
6.3 |
47.6% /
36.4% |
21.4% /
22.7% |
6.1 /
3.0 |
68 /
54 |
48.1% /
41.5% |
45.6% /
37.0% |
63.7% /
45.7% |
6.7 /
4.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
61.8% /
40.7% |
25.6 /
31.7 |
| 9 |
NYJ |
27 – 23 W |
2.0 |
50.0% /
42.4% |
3.3% /
9.1% |
0.0% /
6.7% |
4.6 /
5.8 |
36.4% /
47.6% |
39.4% /
23.8% |
4.2 /
6.7 |
63 /
54 |
44.9% /
48.8% |
42.9% /
44.4% |
46.2% /
51.2% |
4.4 /
6.1 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
52.4% /
38.9% |
34.7 /
27.5 |
| 10 |
@SD |
31 – 24 W |
-0.3 |
56.0% /
44.7% |
4.0% /
6.4% |
0.0% /
9.1% |
9.2 /
6.6 |
26.9% /
20.8% |
26.9% /
41.7% |
4.1 /
2.9 |
51 /
71 |
43.6% /
33.3% |
41.2% /
36.6% |
58.9% /
44.1% |
6.6 /
5.3 |
2.0% /
0.0% |
51.0% /
33.8% |
25.6 /
28.8 |
| 11 |
@LA |
14 – 10 W |
-6.9 |
44.7% /
28.1% |
10.5% /
3.1% |
2.9% /
0.0% |
3.7 /
3.9 |
36.8% /
27.6% |
42.1% /
34.5% |
5.2 /
3.6 |
57 /
61 |
50.0% /
31.8% |
42.1% /
27.9% |
23.8% /
36.4% |
4.2 /
3.7 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
33.3% /
47.5% |
23.1 /
29.1 |
| 12 |
SF |
31 – 24 W |
3.5 |
50.0% /
42.6% |
6.3% /
4.3% |
0.0% /
2.2% |
8.2 /
6.0 |
34.6% /
56.0% |
34.6% /
20.0% |
3.7 /
7.7 |
58 /
72 |
41.3% /
44.6% |
43.1% /
47.2% |
46.6% /
38.1% |
6.2 /
6.6 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
44.8% /
34.7% |
31.6 /
23.8 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
BUF |
13 – 7 W |
3.5 |
44.7% /
37.5% |
10.5% /
8.3% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.9 /
4.0 |
35.5% /
45.8% |
22.6% /
41.7% |
2.8 /
2.7 |
69 /
48 |
45.8% /
45.5% |
40.6% /
41.7% |
47.9% /
38.8% |
4.5 /
3.3 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
44.9% /
50.0% |
23.1 /
31.9 |
| 2 |
@CLE |
25 – 20 W |
-7.1 |
46.7% /
47.2% |
0.0% /
8.3% |
4.4% /
6.1% |
6.7 /
6.7 |
30.8% /
26.1% |
19.2% /
43.5% |
3.1 /
6.3 |
71 /
59 |
35.2% /
32.6% |
40.8% /
39.0% |
37.2% /
53.2% |
5.4 /
6.6 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
36.6% /
39.0% |
27.5 /
25.7 |
| 3 |
@JAC |
19 – 17 W |
4.2 |
47.6% /
47.6% |
4.8% /
9.5% |
5.0% /
7.9% |
4.7 /
4.0 |
39.1% /
33.3% |
4.3% /
33.3% |
3.7 /
2.3 |
65 /
63 |
51.0% /
44.7% |
44.6% /
42.9% |
20.8% /
9.3% |
4.4 /
3.4 |
1.5% /
0.0% |
35.4% /
33.3% |
28.4 /
36.4 |
| 4 |
OAK |
27 – 28 L |
-4.6 |
39.6% /
42.9% |
3.8% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.3 /
5.7 |
53.8% /
20.0% |
7.7% /
25.0% |
5.0 /
3.2 |
79 /
55 |
48.3% /
40.0% |
44.3% /
34.5% |
33.3% /
19.4% |
5.2 /
4.8 |
1.3% /
1.8% |
32.9% /
36.4% |
28.0 /
37.2 |
| 5 |
WAS |
10 – 16 L |
0.1 |
36.0% /
61.0% |
6.0% /
2.4% |
0.0% /
2.5% |
3.8 /
6.1 |
57.9% /
33.3% |
31.6% /
23.8% |
6.2 /
2.9 |
69 /
62 |
49.0% /
60.9% |
42.0% /
51.6% |
24.2% /
31.8% |
4.4 /
5.0 |
1.4% /
1.6% |
27.5% /
33.9% |
26.2 /
24.5 |
| 6 |
@NYG |
23 – 27 L |
2.9 |
32.0% /
53.2% |
4.0% /
2.1% |
0.0% /
4.3% |
5.9 /
8.4 |
53.8% /
35.3% |
34.6% /
23.5% |
3.8 /
2.2 |
76 /
64 |
42.9% /
51.1% |
39.5% /
48.4% |
45.5% /
47.8% |
5.1 /
6.8 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
34.2% /
26.6% |
33.3 /
20.1 |
| 7 |
@NYJ |
16 – 24 L |
0.4 |
34.1% /
37.0% |
2.3% /
18.5% |
4.7% /
0.0% |
5.4 /
7.0 |
8.3% /
37.5% |
58.3% /
15.0% |
0.5 /
3.9 |
56 /
67 |
31.0% /
38.8% |
28.6% /
37.3% |
41.6% /
59.4% |
4.4 /
5.1 |
1.8% /
3.0% |
21.4% /
59.7% |
25.3 /
32.3 |
| 9 |
PIT |
21 – 14 W |
9.0 |
33.3% /
31.9% |
9.1% /
4.3% |
3.3% /
2.2% |
6.8 /
5.1 |
19.4% /
21.1% |
35.5% /
36.8% |
1.7 /
1.9 |
64 /
66 |
30.2% /
30.4% |
26.6% /
28.8% |
50.4% /
51.8% |
4.3 /
4.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
48.4% /
28.8% |
30.9 /
24.4 |
| 10 |
CLE |
28 – 7 W |
5.3 |
54.8% /
37.1% |
4.8% /
11.4% |
5.0% /
6.5% |
6.6 /
3.2 |
37.8% /
23.1% |
21.6% /
30.8% |
3.3 /
2.5 |
79 /
48 |
48.4% /
36.8% |
46.8% /
33.3% |
35.9% /
31.3% |
5.0 /
3.0 |
0.0% /
2.1% |
46.8% /
27.1% |
38.4 /
18.1 |
| 11 |
@DAL |
17 – 27 L |
-1.5 |
50.0% /
70.3% |
2.8% /
2.7% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
7.4 /
8.1 |
68.8% /
40.0% |
31.3% /
20.0% |
6.3 /
3.9 |
52 /
67 |
60.5% /
56.4% |
55.8% /
56.7% |
37.5% /
27.6% |
7.1 /
6.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
30.8% /
44.8% |
21.2 /
25.0 |
| 12 |
CIN |
19 – 14 W |
8.5 |
40.5% /
43.1% |
5.4% /
5.9% |
2.9% /
0.0% |
5.9 /
5.1 |
36.7% /
25.0% |
30.0% /
40.0% |
3.1 /
3.2 |
67 /
71 |
40.0% /
38.9% |
38.8% /
38.0% |
25.1% /
44.0% |
4.6 /
4.6 |
0.0% /
2.8% |
44.8% /
28.2% |
25.8 /
27.0 |
Miami Dolphins
@ 
Baltimore Ravens