Game Analysis
Along with Houston, LA is in the boat of 3-1 teams with negative Game Control ratings, ranking 25th in our adjusted metric, yet being able to win close games the last 3. Both teams have been fortunate with fumbles this year and neither team is good offensively, with the Rams averaging 6.1 NYPP and the Bills 5.8 NYPP. The Bills rate as the slightly better team after winning their last two in impressive fashion, dominating the Cardinals and Patriots. Our advanced stats model leans toward the Bills (+2) with no opinion on the Total.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
31.0
39.5
-
Succ Pass Plays
40.6%
46.3%
-
Sack Rate
6.8%
8.1%
-
Int Rate
1.8%
2.0%
-
Deep Pass Rate
22.0%
28.3%
-
Big Pass Yards
40.7%
41.9%
-
NYPP
5.8
6.9
Rush
-
Rush Plays
27.5
28.0
-
RB YPR
3.6
3.4
-
Stuff Rate
32.8%
24.5%
-
Succ Rush Plays
50.2%
40.8%
-
Big Rush Yards
58.5%
38.1%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.4
3.6
Game
-
All Snaps
58.5
67.5
-
Early Down Succ
50.0%
47.7%
-
Succ Rate
45.7%
43.6%
-
Big Yards Rate
49.2%
40.9%
-
Yards Per Play
5.3
5.3
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.0%
1.5%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.4
28.8
-
Run Ratio
46.8%
41.8%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.8
25.7
-
Game Control
4.2
-4.2
Pass
-
Pass Plays
32.3
45.3
-
Succ Pass Plays
36.9%
44.6%
-
Sack Rate
6.1%
3.7%
-
Int Rate
2.4%
2.1%
-
Deep Pass Rate
18.1%
12.9%
-
Big Pass Yards
52.1%
31.3%
-
NYPP
6.1
6.0
Rush
-
Rush Plays
27.0
28.8
-
RB YPR
2.6
3.5
-
Stuff Rate
24.3%
29.9%
-
Succ Rush Plays
34.3%
43.9%
-
Big Rush Yards
25.2%
55.8%
-
Yards Per Rush
2.8
3.7
Game
-
All Snaps
59.3
74.0
-
Early Down Succ
38.3%
44.0%
-
Succ Rate
36.2%
43.6%
-
Big Yards Rate
45.7%
38.8%
-
Yards Per Play
4.6
5.1
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.9%
2.1%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.5
26.1
-
Run Ratio
45.6%
39.0%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.6
24.3
-
Game Control
-1.9
1.9
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@BAL |
7 – 13 L |
-3.5 |
37.5% /
44.7% |
8.3% /
10.5% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
4.0 /
5.9 |
45.8% /
35.5% |
41.7% /
22.6% |
2.7 /
2.8 |
48 /
69 |
45.5% /
45.8% |
41.7% /
40.6% |
38.8% /
47.9% |
3.3 /
4.5 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
50.0% /
44.9% |
31.9 /
23.1 |
| 2 |
NYJ |
31 – 37 L |
-2.8 |
53.3% /
57.1% |
0.0% /
2.9% |
3.3% /
0.0% |
10.2 /
10.6 |
47.4% /
45.9% |
42.1% /
16.2% |
4.5 /
3.4 |
49 /
72 |
56.8% /
50.9% |
51.0% /
51.4% |
54.5% /
54.5% |
8.0 /
6.9 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
38.8% /
51.4% |
26.1 /
24.6 |
| 3 |
ARI |
34 – 18 W |
12.1 |
27.6% /
40.0% |
13.8% /
9.1% |
4.0% /
8.0% |
3.0 /
4.7 |
51.4% /
40.9% |
25.7% /
31.8% |
6.0 /
4.0 |
64 /
77 |
47.8% /
42.6% |
40.6% /
40.3% |
80.9% /
27.0% |
4.7 /
4.5 |
0.0% /
1.3% |
54.7% /
28.6% |
33.8 /
32.3 |
| 4 |
@NE |
16 – 0 W |
11.1 |
43.9% /
43.3% |
4.9% /
10.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.0 /
6.2 |
56.3% /
40.9% |
21.9% /
27.3% |
4.2 /
4.1 |
73 /
52 |
50.0% /
51.4% |
49.3% /
42.3% |
22.8% /
34.3% |
5.2 /
5.3 |
0.0% /
1.9% |
43.8% /
42.3% |
23.3 /
22.9 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@SF |
0 – 28 L |
-12.6 |
27.0% /
45.7% |
5.4% /
0.0% |
5.7% /
0.0% |
3.2 /
4.9 |
37.5% /
37.2% |
20.8% /
32.6% |
2.8 /
3.5 |
61 /
78 |
35.7% /
40.4% |
31.1% /
41.0% |
29.0% /
35.2% |
3.0 /
4.1 |
0.0% /
1.3% |
39.3% /
55.1% |
31.4 /
24.4 |
| 2 |
SEA |
9 – 3 W |
2.9 |
39.4% /
37.8% |
9.1% /
5.4% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.6 /
6.5 |
29.6% /
33.3% |
25.9% /
45.8% |
2.4 /
2.8 |
60 /
61 |
40.9% /
37.5% |
35.0% /
36.1% |
41.4% /
44.8% |
4.8 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
3.3% |
45.0% /
39.3% |
23.7 /
17.0 |
| 3 |
@TB |
37 – 32 W |
0.7 |
40.7% /
50.0% |
3.7% /
3.3% |
3.8% /
1.7% |
6.8 /
6.5 |
57.6% /
65.2% |
21.2% /
17.4% |
4.2 /
3.7 |
60 /
83 |
51.1% /
55.6% |
50.0% /
54.2% |
43.4% /
30.9% |
5.3 /
5.7 |
1.7% /
1.2% |
55.0% /
27.7% |
28.9 /
28.5 |
| 4 |
@ARI |
17 – 13 W |
1.3 |
40.6% /
44.9% |
6.3% /
6.1% |
0.0% /
6.5% |
7.7 /
6.2 |
12.5% /
40.0% |
29.2% /
24.0% |
1.8 /
4.7 |
56 /
74 |
25.6% /
42.6% |
28.6% /
43.2% |
68.9% /
44.5% |
5.2 /
5.7 |
1.8% /
2.7% |
42.9% /
33.8% |
30.3 /
27.2 |
Buffalo Bills
@ 
Los Angeles Rams