New York Giants @

Arizona Cardinals

Sun, Dec 24
1:25 PM Pacific
Rotation: 125
Odds: Arizona Cardinals -3.5, Total: 40.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – New York Giants (+3.5) over ARIZONA

Arizona’s offensive line was already without its best two players before losing Jared Veldheer for the season prior to last week’s game and the Cardinals managed just 3.6 yards per play and allowed 5 sacks against the Redskins. Drew Stanton has played slightly better than Blaine Gabbert this season but I don’t expect him to find much success given the current state of the offensive line especially considering Arizona’s ground game is nearly non-existent, averaging just 3.4 yards per rush (31st).

New York’s running game isn’t much better, gaining just 3.8 yards per rush (28th), and the Cardinals’ defensive personnel matches up particularly well to stop the Giants’ passing game. Sherling Shepard should be locked-down by Patrick Peterson, 4th in yards allowed per cover snap, and Arizona’s defense surrenders just 5.7 yards per target to opposing tight ends, a tough matchup for Evan Engram.

After all the adjustments our math favors Arizona by just 1 ½ points and I’ll lean with the Giants plus the points.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Giants
  • Cardinals
NYG
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 40.4 36.4
  • Succ Pass Plays 43.4% 44.9%
  • Sack Rate 6.0% 4.3%
  • Int Rate 2.0% 1.5%
  • Deep Pass Rate 13.7% 17.9%
  • Big Pass Yards 30.4% 43.6%
  • NYPP 5.4 7.6



Rush


  • Rush Plays 24.0 31.5
  • RB YPR 3.6 3.9
  • Stuff Rate 21.2% 21.9%
  • Succ Rush Plays 41.8% 44.1%
  • Big Rush Yards 35.6% 42.4%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.6 4.1




Game

  • All Snaps 64.4 67.9
  • Early Down Succ 46.3% 47.0%
  • Succ Rate 43.0% 44.1%
  • Big Yards Rate 31.9% 45.7%
  • Yards Per Play 4.8 5.8
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 0.6%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 26.9 28.4
  • Run Ratio 37.4% 47.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 26.2 30.3
  • Game Control -3.0 3.0
 
  • Points 16.3 25.4
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