San Francisco 49ers @

Seattle Seahawks

Sun, Sep 17
1:25 PM Pacific
Rotation: 285
Odds: Seattle Seahawks -14, Total: 42

Game Analysis

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Lean – San Francisco (+14) over SEATTLE

Kyle Shanahan did not enjoy the same kind of offensive success in week 1 with his new team as he did with Atlanta last season, scoring only 3 points. The 49ers attack had the worst performance of the week with -0.21 adjEPA/play and it certainly won’t get any easier playing in Seattle.

Meanwhile, the Seahawks offense couldn’t manage a touchdown either. Russell Wilson was lucky to only be sacked 3 times and Seattle’s offensive line will need to improve going forward. The Seahawks lost the game on 3rd downs only converting 3 of 12 and allowed the Packers to convert 9 of 16.

We see the fair line on this game as Seattle by 14.5 points but the Niners apply to a very good 145-60-2 ATS situation and part of that angle has to do with Seattle also coming off a loss. I’ll lean with San Francisco at +14 points or more based on that situation.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • 49ers
  • Seahawks
SF
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 39.0 24.0
  • Succ Pass Plays 46.2% 45.8%
  • Sack Rate 10.3% 0.0%
  • Int Rate 2.9% 4.2%
  • Deep Pass Rate 8.6% 20.8%
  • Big Pass Yards 25.9% 38.0%
  • NYPP 4.3 7.1



Rush


  • Rush Plays 15.0 41.0
  • RB YPR 4.0 3.0
  • Stuff Rate 26.7% 14.6%
  • Succ Rush Plays 26.7% 39.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 58.8% 17.6%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.4 2.9




Game

  • All Snaps 54.0 65.0
  • Early Down Succ 48.7% 42.6%
  • Succ Rate 40.7% 41.5%
  • Big Yards Rate 33.6% 29.7%
  • Yards Per Play 4.0 4.5
  • Fumble Lost Rate 1.9% 1.5%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.3 31.8
  • Run Ratio 27.8% 63.1%
  • Starting Field Pos 30.1 33.7
  • Game Control -12.4 12.4
 
  • Points 3.0 23.0
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