Game Analysis
Jeff Fisher’s Rams team is 3-5 and has some ground to make up to get to their hallmark 7-9 record. Incumbent Rookie of the Year, Todd Gurley, has not been able to lead the offense as they rank 27th in yards per rush due to Case Keenum’s inability to throw the ball down the field (16.2% deep pass rate). Los Angeles gets no breaks this week as they face the Jets #2 ranked rush D . On the other side of the ball, while Fitzy has never been a good quarterback, he is having an unusually down year, even by his low standards, with a 56% completion rate and 8-13 TD-INT ratio. Look for him to get the ball downfield quickly against a Rams defense that only has a 4.9% sack rate. And while both teams are negative -6 in interception differential, due to horrendous quarterback play, the Rams are actually +4 in fumble differential, leading to their stats to look better than they actually are. The advanced stats model shows value on the home team so Jets (-2) is a Strong Opinion. Lean to UNDER (40).
Pass
-
Pass Plays
37.3
38.3
-
Succ Pass Plays
41.3%
43.8%
-
Sack Rate
6.8%
4.7%
-
Int Rate
3.2%
1.3%
-
Deep Pass Rate
15.9%
10.4%
-
Big Pass Yards
49.1%
32.6%
-
NYPP
6.2
5.8
Rush
-
Rush Plays
25.9
27.1
-
RB YPR
3.1
3.7
-
Stuff Rate
21.9%
29.1%
-
Succ Rush Plays
42.0%
41.0%
-
Big Rush Yards
27.4%
51.3%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.2
3.8
Game
-
All Snaps
63.2
65.4
-
Early Down Succ
43.7%
44.2%
-
Succ Rate
41.6%
42.4%
-
Big Yards Rate
43.2%
40.9%
-
Yards Per Play
4.9
5.0
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.6%
1.1%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.7
27.6
-
Run Ratio
41.3%
41.9%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.0
25.5
-
Game Control
-1.8
1.8
Pass
-
Pass Plays
36.8
37.8
-
Succ Pass Plays
40.8%
49.2%
-
Sack Rate
6.1%
4.9%
-
Int Rate
3.9%
1.5%
-
Deep Pass Rate
19.7%
16.3%
-
Big Pass Yards
39.5%
41.0%
-
NYPP
6.0
6.9
Rush
-
Rush Plays
26.1
26.0
-
RB YPR
4.3
3.2
-
Stuff Rate
22.2%
34.9%
-
Succ Rush Plays
43.0%
34.8%
-
Big Rush Yards
40.1%
47.3%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.4
3.1
Game
-
All Snaps
62.9
63.8
-
Early Down Succ
43.8%
47.1%
-
Succ Rate
42.0%
43.4%
-
Big Yards Rate
40.2%
46.2%
-
Yards Per Play
5.3
5.5
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.7%
0.5%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
29.3
27.4
-
Run Ratio
40.8%
40.4%
-
Starting Field Pos
25.9
28.0
-
Game Control
-3.3
3.3
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@SF |
0 – 28 L |
-12.6 |
27.0% /
45.7% |
5.4% /
0.0% |
5.7% /
0.0% |
3.2 /
4.9 |
37.5% /
37.2% |
20.8% /
32.6% |
2.8 /
3.5 |
61 /
78 |
35.7% /
40.4% |
31.1% /
41.0% |
29.0% /
35.2% |
3.0 /
4.1 |
0.0% /
1.3% |
39.3% /
55.1% |
31.4 /
24.4 |
| 2 |
SEA |
9 – 3 W |
2.9 |
39.4% /
37.8% |
9.1% /
5.4% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.6 /
6.5 |
29.6% /
33.3% |
25.9% /
45.8% |
2.4 /
2.8 |
60 /
61 |
40.9% /
37.5% |
35.0% /
36.1% |
41.4% /
44.8% |
4.8 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
3.3% |
45.0% /
39.3% |
23.7 /
17.0 |
| 3 |
@TB |
37 – 32 W |
0.7 |
40.7% /
50.0% |
3.7% /
3.3% |
3.8% /
1.7% |
6.8 /
6.5 |
57.6% /
65.2% |
21.2% /
17.4% |
4.2 /
3.7 |
60 /
83 |
51.1% /
55.6% |
50.0% /
54.2% |
43.4% /
30.9% |
5.3 /
5.7 |
1.7% /
1.2% |
55.0% /
27.7% |
28.9 /
28.5 |
| 4 |
@ARI |
17 – 13 W |
1.3 |
40.6% /
44.9% |
6.3% /
6.1% |
0.0% /
6.5% |
7.7 /
6.2 |
12.5% /
40.0% |
29.2% /
24.0% |
1.8 /
4.7 |
56 /
74 |
25.6% /
42.6% |
28.6% /
43.2% |
68.9% /
44.5% |
5.2 /
5.7 |
1.8% /
2.7% |
42.9% /
33.8% |
30.3 /
27.2 |
| 5 |
BUF |
19 – 30 L |
-4.3 |
42.9% /
36.0% |
11.4% /
8.0% |
6.5% /
0.0% |
6.9 /
4.5 |
55.2% /
46.4% |
13.8% /
28.6% |
3.5 /
6.9 |
64 /
53 |
54.0% /
45.0% |
48.4% /
41.5% |
54.8% /
56.5% |
5.4 /
5.8 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
45.3% /
52.8% |
21.2 /
34.0 |
| 6 |
@DET |
28 – 31 L |
0.9 |
66.7% /
56.3% |
3.0% /
3.1% |
3.1% /
0.0% |
9.4 /
8.3 |
54.5% /
39.3% |
31.8% /
28.6% |
3.5 /
3.0 |
55 /
60 |
62.2% /
48.8% |
61.8% /
48.3% |
32.3% /
43.4% |
7.0 /
5.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
40.0% /
46.7% |
20.5 /
30.4 |
| 7 |
NYG |
10 – 17 L |
1.8 |
33.9% /
40.5% |
5.4% /
0.0% |
7.5% /
0.0% |
4.8 /
5.3 |
55.0% /
36.4% |
10.0% /
18.2% |
3.7 /
1.7 |
76 /
59 |
35.7% /
45.2% |
39.5% /
39.0% |
36.8% /
34.6% |
4.5 /
4.0 |
0.0% /
1.7% |
26.3% /
37.3% |
26.8 /
21.5 |
| 9 |
CAR |
10 – 13 L |
-6.2 |
44.0% /
43.2% |
8.0% /
13.5% |
2.2% /
0.0% |
5.6 /
5.0 |
35.3% /
23.1% |
17.6% /
34.6% |
3.5 /
2.3 |
67 /
63 |
44.0% /
34.8% |
41.8% /
34.9% |
32.7% /
28.2% |
5.1 /
3.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
25.4% /
41.3% |
23.4 /
28.5 |
| 10 |
@NYJ |
9 – 6 W |
-0.5 |
36.4% /
39.4% |
9.1% /
3.0% |
0.0% /
3.1% |
4.7 /
4.8 |
40.5% /
48.0% |
27.0% /
32.0% |
3.5 /
5.6 |
70 /
58 |
43.8% /
47.8% |
38.6% /
43.1% |
49.1% /
50.3% |
4.0 /
5.1 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
52.9% /
43.1% |
27.6 /
17.7 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
CIN |
22 – 23 L |
1.8 |
36.1% /
48.6% |
2.8% /
18.9% |
2.9% /
3.3% |
5.2 /
8.8 |
56.7% /
42.1% |
16.7% /
26.3% |
5.1 /
3.1 |
66 /
56 |
48.1% /
52.3% |
45.5% /
46.4% |
40.6% /
68.6% |
5.2 /
6.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
45.5% /
33.9% |
33.5 /
26.2 |
| 2 |
@BUF |
37 – 31 W |
2.8 |
57.1% /
53.3% |
2.9% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
3.3% |
10.6 /
10.2 |
45.9% /
47.4% |
16.2% /
42.1% |
3.4 /
4.5 |
72 /
49 |
50.9% /
56.8% |
51.4% /
51.0% |
54.5% /
54.5% |
6.9 /
8.0 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
51.4% /
38.8% |
24.6 /
26.1 |
| 3 |
@KC |
3 – 24 L |
-10.3 |
34.1% /
48.6% |
0.0% /
5.7% |
13.6% /
0.0% |
4.3 /
6.3 |
50.0% /
30.0% |
13.6% /
33.3% |
5.3 /
2.5 |
66 /
65 |
36.0% /
43.2% |
39.4% /
40.0% |
39.0% /
40.2% |
4.6 /
4.6 |
3.0% /
1.5% |
33.3% /
46.2% |
30.1 /
27.3 |
| 4 |
SEA |
17 – 27 L |
-5.2 |
40.0% /
61.8% |
8.9% /
5.9% |
7.3% /
0.0% |
5.5 /
8.5 |
30.0% /
31.0% |
25.0% /
31.0% |
2.9 /
2.4 |
65 /
63 |
32.7% /
57.4% |
36.9% /
47.6% |
16.7% /
56.3% |
4.7 /
5.7 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
30.8% /
46.0% |
20.3 /
32.8 |
| 5 |
@PIT |
13 – 31 L |
-4.6 |
46.3% /
60.4% |
7.3% /
2.1% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.0 /
7.8 |
47.1% /
26.9% |
29.4% /
23.1% |
4.2 /
2.4 |
58 /
74 |
54.3% /
52.5% |
46.6% /
48.6% |
8.9% /
23.9% |
5.4 /
5.9 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
29.3% /
35.1% |
21.1 /
32.3 |
| 6 |
@ARI |
3 – 28 L |
-12.2 |
39.5% /
60.0% |
2.6% /
0.0% |
5.4% /
0.0% |
5.2 /
6.4 |
21.4% /
40.5% |
21.4% /
29.7% |
2.4 /
4.7 |
52 /
72 |
40.5% /
52.6% |
34.6% /
50.0% |
25.7% /
27.9% |
4.4 /
5.5 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
26.9% /
51.4% |
20.9 /
25.7 |
| 7 |
BAL |
24 – 16 W |
-0.4 |
37.0% /
34.1% |
18.5% /
2.3% |
0.0% /
4.7% |
7.0 /
5.4 |
37.5% /
8.3% |
15.0% /
58.3% |
3.9 /
0.5 |
67 /
56 |
38.8% /
31.0% |
37.3% /
28.6% |
59.4% /
41.6% |
5.1 /
4.4 |
3.0% /
1.8% |
59.7% /
21.4% |
32.3 /
25.3 |
| 8 |
@CLE |
31 – 28 W |
-3.1 |
36.1% /
38.5% |
5.6% /
1.9% |
0.0% /
3.9% |
6.2 /
6.5 |
45.7% /
44.4% |
28.6% /
38.9% |
4.9 /
3.8 |
71 /
70 |
39.6% /
37.0% |
40.8% /
40.0% |
55.8% /
53.3% |
5.5 /
5.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
49.3% /
25.7% |
30.8 /
22.3 |
| 9 |
@MIA |
23 – 27 L |
-2.0 |
42.4% /
50.0% |
9.1% /
3.3% |
6.7% /
0.0% |
5.8 /
4.6 |
47.6% /
36.4% |
23.8% /
39.4% |
6.7 /
4.2 |
54 /
63 |
48.8% /
44.9% |
44.4% /
42.9% |
51.2% /
46.2% |
6.1 /
4.4 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
38.9% /
52.4% |
27.5 /
34.7 |
| 10 |
LA |
6 – 9 L |
0.5 |
39.4% /
36.4% |
3.0% /
9.1% |
3.1% /
0.0% |
4.8 /
4.7 |
48.0% /
40.5% |
32.0% /
27.0% |
5.6 /
3.5 |
58 /
70 |
47.8% /
43.8% |
43.1% /
38.6% |
50.3% /
49.1% |
5.1 /
4.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
43.1% /
52.9% |
17.7 /
27.6 |
Los Angeles Rams
@ 
New York Jets