Game Analysis
The young Titans led by the Polynesian Pride could get to above .500 in a weak AFC South with a win over the Bolts on Sunday. Marcus Mariotta is leading an offense that is 7th in adjusted success rate, managing the down and distances with ease. While the Titans have only averaged 22.8 points per game, a -3 fumble differential has led to them scoring 3 points fewer than their peripheral metrics indicate they would. In addition, blowout wins against the Dolphins, Browns and Jags have actually worked against their defensive metrics as in all of those games, plenty of garbage time points were scored. If the Titans are able to run the ball successfully against a San Diego defense that ranks 27th in opponent rushing success allowed, then expect the clock to tick down in a close contest. The advanced stats model shows value on the road dog and under so Titans (+4.5) is a Strong Opinion and lean to UNDER (47).
Pass
-
Pass Plays
32.5
40.0
-
Succ Pass Plays
47.4%
45.2%
-
Sack Rate
4.3%
7.6%
-
Int Rate
2.4%
2.7%
-
Deep Pass Rate
20.9%
21.3%
-
Big Pass Yards
41.2%
48.4%
-
NYPP
7.3
6.5
Rush
-
Rush Plays
31.9
21.4
-
RB YPR
4.3
3.5
-
Stuff Rate
19.0%
24.2%
-
Succ Rush Plays
51.8%
41.9%
-
Big Rush Yards
42.9%
37.1%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.7
3.9
Game
-
All Snaps
64.4
61.4
-
Early Down Succ
50.8%
46.3%
-
Succ Rate
49.2%
44.2%
-
Big Yards Rate
42.3%
46.1%
-
Yards Per Play
5.9
5.5
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.8%
0.2%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
29.6
28.0
-
Run Ratio
49.4%
35.3%
-
Starting Field Pos
27.0
26.1
-
Game Control
0.9
-0.9
Pass
-
Pass Plays
39.4
44.0
-
Succ Pass Plays
48.2%
45.3%
-
Sack Rate
6.7%
5.5%
-
Int Rate
2.2%
2.8%
-
Deep Pass Rate
16.8%
17.4%
-
Big Pass Yards
47.1%
36.6%
-
NYPP
7.1
6.3
Rush
-
Rush Plays
26.1
23.5
-
RB YPR
3.4
3.9
-
Stuff Rate
24.2%
24.7%
-
Succ Rush Plays
41.2%
48.4%
-
Big Rush Yards
33.4%
39.9%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.5
4.1
Game
-
All Snaps
65.5
67.5
-
Early Down Succ
47.1%
48.2%
-
Succ Rate
45.5%
45.6%
-
Big Yards Rate
45.4%
37.7%
-
Yards Per Play
5.7
5.4
-
Fumble Lost Rate
2.1%
1.1%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
25.4
23.4
-
Run Ratio
40.0%
34.6%
-
Starting Field Pos
31.2
31.2
-
Game Control
4.4
-4.4
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
MIN |
16 – 25 L |
0.0 |
58.1% /
42.4% |
4.7% /
0.0% |
2.4% /
0.0% |
5.9 /
7.2 |
50.0% /
31.0% |
31.8% /
27.6% |
2.9 /
2.3 |
65 /
62 |
54.9% /
37.0% |
55.4% /
37.1% |
24.4% /
24.8% |
4.9 /
4.9 |
3.1% /
0.0% |
33.8% /
46.8% |
26.4 /
35.1 |
| 2 |
@DET |
16 – 15 W |
-6.0 |
47.2% /
36.4% |
8.3% /
9.1% |
3.0% /
2.5% |
6.2 /
5.4 |
48.0% /
43.5% |
20.0% /
21.7% |
5.6 /
6.0 |
61 /
67 |
50.0% /
37.3% |
47.5% /
38.8% |
49.7% /
57.6% |
6.0 /
5.6 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
41.0% /
34.3% |
17.2 /
26.3 |
| 3 |
OAK |
10 – 17 L |
-6.7 |
32.4% /
44.4% |
2.9% /
2.8% |
6.1% /
2.9% |
6.2 /
6.8 |
58.6% /
26.9% |
13.8% /
19.2% |
6.2 /
4.8 |
63 /
62 |
52.0% /
38.3% |
44.4% /
37.1% |
35.6% /
49.3% |
6.2 /
6.0 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
46.0% /
41.9% |
19.6 /
26.3 |
| 4 |
@HOU |
20 – 27 L |
-6.1 |
36.7% /
50.0% |
3.3% /
2.6% |
3.4% /
5.4% |
6.5 /
6.4 |
56.3% /
54.2% |
9.4% /
25.0% |
3.9 /
4.8 |
62 /
62 |
47.8% /
55.1% |
46.8% /
51.6% |
50.0% /
45.1% |
5.2 /
5.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
51.6% /
38.7% |
30.7 /
28.0 |
| 5 |
@MIA |
30 – 17 W |
5.7 |
37.9% /
37.5% |
0.0% /
25.0% |
0.0% /
11.1% |
5.6 /
6.2 |
59.1% /
47.1% |
18.2% /
11.8% |
5.4 /
3.0 |
73 /
41 |
58.2% /
43.3% |
50.7% /
41.5% |
42.5% /
64.0% |
5.5 /
4.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
60.3% /
41.5% |
34.9 /
21.2 |
| 6 |
CLE |
28 – 26 W |
6.2 |
57.7% /
43.8% |
7.7% /
12.5% |
4.2% /
0.0% |
10.4 /
6.3 |
37.5% /
33.3% |
25.0% /
40.0% |
4.3 /
2.7 |
58 /
63 |
46.5% /
44.7% |
46.6% /
41.3% |
47.8% /
42.8% |
7.0 /
5.4 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
55.2% /
23.8% |
32.7 /
20.8 |
| 7 |
IND |
26 – 34 L |
-3.1 |
48.7% /
53.7% |
7.7% /
4.9% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.3 /
8.3 |
67.9% /
53.8% |
10.7% /
11.5% |
4.4 /
3.2 |
67 /
67 |
55.8% /
60.4% |
56.7% /
53.7% |
32.0% /
50.0% |
4.9 /
6.3 |
1.5% /
0.0% |
41.8% /
38.8% |
23.1 /
27.0 |
| 8 |
JAC |
36 – 22 W |
17.5 |
60.9% /
53.6% |
0.0% /
3.6% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
12.2 /
5.8 |
37.2% /
45.5% |
23.3% /
36.4% |
5.0 /
4.4 |
66 /
67 |
41.2% /
54.7% |
45.5% /
52.2% |
56.1% /
35.1% |
7.5 /
5.5 |
0.0% /
1.5% |
65.2% /
16.4% |
31.4 /
24.2 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@KC |
27 – 33 L |
11.5 |
56.8% /
52.9% |
2.7% /
5.9% |
0.0% /
2.1% |
6.3 /
6.5 |
57.6% /
57.9% |
15.2% /
21.1% |
4.7 /
4.4 |
70 /
70 |
62.3% /
57.4% |
57.1% /
54.3% |
38.8% /
44.3% |
5.6 /
5.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
47.1% /
27.1% |
30.4 /
28.4 |
| 2 |
JAC |
38 – 14 W |
21.2 |
46.4% /
42.3% |
10.7% /
3.8% |
0.0% /
4.0% |
7.4 /
6.1 |
44.4% /
63.6% |
19.4% /
18.2% |
4.2 /
6.3 |
64 /
63 |
45.8% /
52.0% |
45.3% /
46.0% |
60.2% /
42.8% |
5.6 /
6.2 |
1.6% /
1.6% |
56.3% /
17.5% |
40.3 /
22.0 |
| 3 |
@IND |
22 – 26 L |
-1.8 |
56.1% /
53.8% |
4.9% /
5.1% |
0.0% /
2.7% |
7.8 /
8.1 |
35.3% /
38.5% |
17.6% /
34.6% |
2.2 /
3.6 |
58 /
65 |
53.2% /
50.9% |
50.0% /
47.7% |
40.2% /
36.8% |
6.1 /
6.3 |
5.2% /
1.5% |
29.3% /
40.0% |
28.6 /
28.1 |
| 4 |
NO |
34 – 35 L |
2.3 |
43.5% /
50.0% |
6.5% /
5.3% |
2.3% /
5.6% |
6.7 /
5.0 |
33.3% /
36.8% |
38.1% /
10.5% |
1.8 /
2.3 |
67 /
76 |
39.6% /
42.0% |
40.3% /
43.4% |
38.7% /
19.0% |
5.2 /
3.7 |
3.0% /
0.0% |
31.3% /
50.0% |
31.4 /
36.9 |
| 5 |
@OAK |
31 – 34 L |
0.1 |
56.3% /
41.9% |
6.3% /
7.0% |
6.7% /
2.5% |
11.0 /
7.0 |
42.1% /
56.0% |
31.6% /
24.0% |
3.8 /
3.6 |
51 /
68 |
54.8% /
49.1% |
51.0% /
47.1% |
62.4% /
44.0% |
8.3 /
5.7 |
3.9% /
0.0% |
37.3% /
36.8% |
29.3 /
37.5 |
| 6 |
DEN |
21 – 13 W |
10.3 |
41.9% /
38.5% |
6.5% /
3.8% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.4 /
4.2 |
20.7% /
43.8% |
31.0% /
25.0% |
3.4 /
5.3 |
60 /
68 |
32.6% /
40.4% |
31.7% /
39.7% |
35.8% /
21.1% |
4.4 /
4.5 |
3.3% /
2.9% |
48.3% /
23.5% |
36.4 /
31.1 |
| 7 |
@ATL |
33 – 30 W |
-4.5 |
53.1% /
44.7% |
8.2% /
10.5% |
2.2% /
2.9% |
7.1 /
6.7 |
46.4% /
46.2% |
25.0% /
30.8% |
2.8 /
5.0 |
77 /
64 |
50.9% /
46.0% |
50.6% /
45.3% |
38.6% /
44.6% |
5.5 /
6.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
36.4% /
40.6% |
25.8 /
33.2 |
| 8 |
@DEN |
19 – 27 L |
-3.6 |
31.4% /
38.5% |
7.8% /
2.6% |
6.4% /
2.6% |
4.8 /
6.8 |
50.0% /
44.4% |
15.4% /
33.3% |
4.7 /
2.2 |
77 /
66 |
37.9% /
47.8% |
37.7% /
40.9% |
48.8% /
49.4% |
4.8 /
4.9 |
0.0% /
3.0% |
33.8% /
40.9% |
27.4 /
32.4 |
Tennessee Titans
@ 
San Diego Chargers