Game Analysis
Slightly below model threshold, we are making UNDER 42 KC/NYJ a Strong Opinion. The model also leans with the New York plus the points and the Jets also apply to a 50-17 ATS week 3 situation.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.3
34.0
-
Succ Pass Plays
42.4%
50.2%
-
Sack Rate
1.9%
8.2%
-
Int Rate
5.5%
2.2%
-
Deep Pass Rate
27.0%
17.4%
-
Big Pass Yards
42.7%
50.8%
-
NYPP
6.7
8.4
Rush
-
Rush Plays
29.7
22.7
-
RB YPR
4.5
3.1
-
Stuff Rate
15.5%
33.9%
-
Succ Rush Plays
50.9%
39.8%
-
Big Rush Yards
44.4%
61.4%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.6
3.4
Game
-
All Snaps
68.0
56.7
-
Early Down Succ
45.0%
50.7%
-
Succ Rate
45.4%
45.8%
-
Big Yards Rate
44.7%
54.4%
-
Yards Per Play
5.5
6.5
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.5%
0.5%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
29.9
27.3
-
Run Ratio
43.4%
39.6%
-
Starting Field Pos
29.4
26.5
-
Dominance Rating
-1.9
1.9
Pass
-
Pass Plays
42.3
38.7
-
Succ Pass Plays
45.2%
43.6%
-
Sack Rate
7.1%
2.8%
-
Int Rate
0.7%
6.6%
-
Deep Pass Rate
15.5%
17.3%
-
Big Pass Yards
29.6%
40.8%
-
NYPP
5.7
5.9
Rush
-
Rush Plays
22.7
30.7
-
RB YPR
4.6
4.1
-
Stuff Rate
28.7%
15.9%
-
Succ Rush Plays
41.6%
46.7%
-
Big Rush Yards
65.3%
30.5%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.4
4.2
Game
-
All Snaps
65.0
69.3
-
Early Down Succ
46.6%
46.5%
-
Succ Rate
43.1%
44.2%
-
Big Yards Rate
40.5%
38.7%
-
Yards Per Play
5.1
5.0
-
Fumble Lost Rate
2.2%
1.0%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.4
27.6
-
Run Ratio
35.0%
44.0%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.4
32.1
-
Dominance Rating
-2.7
2.7
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Dominance Rating |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
CIN |
22 – 23 L |
1.8 |
36.1% /
48.6% |
2.8% /
18.9% |
2.9% /
3.3% |
5.2 /
8.8 |
56.7% /
42.1% |
16.7% /
26.3% |
5.1 /
3.1 |
66 /
56 |
48.1% /
52.3% |
45.5% /
46.4% |
40.6% /
68.6% |
5.2 /
6.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
45.5% /
33.9% |
33.5 /
26.2 |
| 2 |
@BUF |
37 – 31 W |
2.8 |
57.1% /
53.3% |
2.9% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
3.3% |
10.6 /
10.2 |
45.9% /
47.4% |
16.2% /
42.1% |
3.4 /
4.5 |
72 /
49 |
50.9% /
56.8% |
51.4% /
51.0% |
54.5% /
54.5% |
6.9 /
8.0 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
51.4% /
38.8% |
24.6 /
26.1 |
| 3 |
@KC |
3 – 24 L |
-10.3 |
34.1% /
48.6% |
0.0% /
5.7% |
13.6% /
0.0% |
4.3 /
6.3 |
50.0% /
30.0% |
13.6% /
33.3% |
5.3 /
2.5 |
66 /
65 |
36.0% /
43.2% |
39.4% /
40.0% |
39.0% /
40.2% |
4.6 /
4.6 |
3.0% /
1.5% |
33.3% /
46.2% |
30.1 /
27.3 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Dominance Rating |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
SD |
33 – 27 W |
-11.5 |
52.9% /
56.8% |
5.9% /
2.7% |
2.1% /
0.0% |
6.5 /
6.3 |
57.9% /
57.6% |
21.1% /
15.2% |
4.4 /
4.7 |
70 /
70 |
57.4% /
62.3% |
54.3% /
57.1% |
44.3% /
38.8% |
5.9 /
5.6 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
27.1% /
47.1% |
28.4 /
30.4 |
| 2 |
@HOU |
12 – 19 L |
-6.8 |
34.1% /
40.0% |
9.8% /
5.7% |
0.0% /
6.1% |
4.2 /
7.3 |
36.8% /
32.4% |
31.6% /
18.9% |
6.3 /
2.7 |
60 /
72 |
39.1% /
41.2% |
35.0% /
36.1% |
37.1% /
38.2% |
4.9 /
4.9 |
5.0% /
0.0% |
31.7% /
51.4% |
29.5 /
35.9 |
| 3 |
NYJ |
24 – 3 W |
10.3 |
48.6% /
34.1% |
5.7% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
13.6% |
6.3 /
4.3 |
30.0% /
50.0% |
33.3% /
13.6% |
2.5 /
5.3 |
65 /
66 |
43.2% /
36.0% |
40.0% /
39.4% |
40.2% /
39.0% |
4.6 /
4.6 |
1.5% /
3.0% |
46.2% /
33.3% |
27.3 /
30.1 |
New York Jets
@ 
Kansas City Chiefs