Prior to last season I asked the NBA Guru to share his thoughts on some 2016-17 NBA season win totals he liked and those plays went 4-0. The NBA Guru is happy to share his thoughts again on a few 2017-18 NBA season win totals. Once again, these will be considered as Strong Opinions. Boston Under 55.5 -141 …
Here is my list of College Football Season Win totals for 2017 that I sent to subscribers on Friday August 25. I’ve had good success with these plays, going 29-12, including 16-3 the last 4 years (all posted on my website). You can view my analysis/plays for 2016 win totals and 2015 win totals. Let’s hope for more of …
Turnovers are one of the most telling statistics in football but turnovers are also highly deceptive. An average team with a turnover margin of +10 would likely make the playoffs with a 10-6 record while an average team with a -10 turnover margin over their 16 game schedule would likely finish with a 6-10 mark. That statement is based …
My season packages for Football and Basketball are now available and will save you money from buying weekly packages, while also receiving the Best Bets earlier than buying them on a week to week basis from the website (which makes a big difference in college football, where the lines move shortly after releasing them to my seasonal clients). I will also …
Links to all NCAA Tournament Capsules are below: South Midwest East West Also check out How to Win Your NCAA Tournament Pool Dr. Bob’s NCAA Tournament Best Bets are 56% over 28 years and have gotten better recently, going 122-93-3 (57%) the last 13 years and 47-31-1 (60%) the last 5 years. Designated ‘opinion’ games are 86-74-4 (54%) the last 5 years …
South Region (1) North Carolina (27-7) There was some discussion as to whether Duke should have received this #1 seed instead of North Carolina because the Blue Devils beat the Tarheels twice, including in the ACC Tournament. But, Duke was lucky to win both games in the form of 52% 3-point shooting to 26% 3-point shooting for UNC. Duke is …
Midwest Region (1) Kansas (28-4) I wasn’t particularly impressed with Kansas even before they lost to TCU in their opening Big 12 Tournament game. The Jayhawks have been overrated all season (12-18 ATS), and they weren’t particularly great against other really good teams. Kansas did beat Duke by 2 points early in the season, split two games with Iowa …
East Region (1) Villanova (31-3) Before winning the Championship last season, Villanova had a pattern of underperforming as a high seed in this tournament. In 2015 the #1 seeded Wildcats lost in the 2nd round. In 2014, as a #2 seed, the Cats also lost in the 2nd round, as was the case in 2010. Before last season the …
West Region (1) Gonzaga (32-1) Gonzaga has the highest adjusted total efficiency in the nation and the question is if they built up those impressive compensated efficiency numbers by beating up on weaker teams. That answer is no. Gonzaga played relatively better against better teams, both offensively and defensively, and they have wins over highly rated teams Florida (77-72), …
Maximizing Win Probability When filling out your March Madness bracket, remember that your primary goal is not to pick the most likely bracket, but rather the bracket that has the best chance of winning your pool. Maximizing win probability requires the player to consider not only a team’s odds but also the distribution of picks of the other participants …
