In week 11 my Free Analysis sides were just 14-22 overall, but were a decent 9-8 on games with a difference or 4+ points from the spread. Totals were 23-17, including 2-3 on differences of 6 points or more from the line, which are historically profitable (37-29 last season and now 26-25 this season after starting 0-5 in week 1).

 

For the season, the Free Analysis sides are now 218-201-9, and 68-56-5 on games with a difference or 4+ points from the spread. Totals are now just 215-225-8 and 26-25 on differences of 6 points or more (although 15-8 the last 5 weeks).

 

The record on all Free Analysis sides is now 1844-1632-71 ATS since 2013, which is very good picking nearly every game over 6-plus years. The Free Analysis sides in which my predicted margin was 4 points or more away from the line are now 637-529-27. Totals on the Free pages are now 1562-1519-24 in the 5-plus seasons I’ve been tracking them.

 

The spreads posted are the consensus lines at the time I posted each analysis and that is the line is use to grade the Free Analysis.

Once again, I will not have time to do any written analysis on these games. I will still put in just as much time adjusting the math model for current personnel/injuries and will incorporate some situational analysis but this time of year, with basketball overlapping with football, I just don’t have the time to write up the Free games. 

College Football Rotation

Tulane @
Temple

Sat, Nov 16 9:00 AM PT

Rotation: 323,

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I have not completed my analysis on this game. I start posting the Free Analysis on Thursday and usually have all analysis completed by early Saturday morning.

(24) Indiana @
(9) Penn St.

Sat, Nov 16 9:00 AM PT

Rotation: 325,

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I have not completed my analysis on this game. I start posting the Free Analysis on Thursday and usually have all analysis completed by early Saturday morning.

(17) Cincinnati @
South Florida

Sat, Nov 16 4:00 PM PT

Rotation: 327,

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I have not completed my analysis on this game. I start posting the Free Analysis on Thursday and usually have all analysis completed by early Saturday morning.

Syracuse @
Duke

Sat, Nov 16 1:00 PM PT

Rotation: 329,

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I have not completed my analysis on this game. I start posting the Free Analysis on Thursday and usually have all analysis completed by early Saturday morning.

(2) Ohio St. @
Rutgers

Sat, Nov 16 12:30 PM PT

Rotation: 331,

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I have not completed my analysis on this game. I start posting the Free Analysis on Thursday and usually have all analysis completed by early Saturday morning.

Louisville @
No Carolina St.

Sat, Nov 16 4:30 PM PT

Rotation: 333,

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I have not completed my analysis on this game. I start posting the Free Analysis on Thursday and usually have all analysis completed by early Saturday morning.

(7) Minnesota @
(23) Iowa

Sat, Nov 16 1:00 PM PT

Rotation: 335,

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I have not completed my analysis on this game. I start posting the Free Analysis on Thursday and usually have all analysis completed by early Saturday morning.

Wake Forest @
(3) Clemson

Sat, Nov 16 12:30 PM PT

Rotation: 337,

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I have not completed my analysis on this game. I start posting the Free Analysis on Thursday and usually have all analysis completed by early Saturday morning.

Central Mich @
Ball St.

Sat, Nov 16 12:30 PM PT

Rotation: 339,

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I have not completed my analysis on this game. I start posting the Free Analysis on Thursday and usually have all analysis completed by early Saturday morning.

UL Monroe @
Georgia Southern

Sat, Nov 16 12:00 PM PT

Rotation: 341,

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I have not completed my analysis on this game. I start posting the Free Analysis on Thursday and usually have all analysis completed by early Saturday morning.