In week 11 my Free Analysis sides were just 14-22 overall, but were a decent 9-8 on games with a difference or 4+ points from the spread. Totals were 23-17, including 2-3 on differences of 6 points or more from the line, which are historically profitable (37-29 last season and now 26-25 this season after starting 0-5 in week 1).
For the season, the Free Analysis sides are now 218-201-9, and 68-56-5 on games with a difference or 4+ points from the spread. Totals are now just 215-225-8 and 26-25 on differences of 6 points or more (although 15-8 the last 5 weeks).
The record on all Free Analysis sides is now 1844-1632-71 ATS since 2013, which is very good picking nearly every game over 6-plus years. The Free Analysis sides in which my predicted margin was 4 points or more away from the line are now 637-529-27. Totals on the Free pages are now 1562-1519-24 in the 5-plus seasons I’ve been tracking them.
The spreads posted are the consensus lines at the time I posted each analysis and that is the line is use to grade the Free Analysis.
Once again, I will not have time to do any written analysis on these games. I will still put in just as much time adjusting the math model for current personnel/injuries and will incorporate some situational analysis but this time of year, with basketball overlapping with football, I just don’t have the time to write up the Free games.