College Football

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My College Football Best Bets are 2532-2071-96 (55.0%) on a Star Basis, including season win totals, and the Strong Opinions (0.5 Star plays) are a profitable 832-719-19 since 1999

Weekly an season recap below.

2018-2025 College Football Results: 

Best Bets: 324-255-19 (56.1%) – 55.1% over 38 Years

Strong Opinions: 179-151-3 (54.2%)

College Week 13 and Season Recap

I didn’t have many plays but Week 13 was a perfect week at 4-0.

The week 13 College Football Best Bets were 2-0 for +3.0 Stars while the Strong Opinions (0.5 Star plays) were 2-0 for +1.0 Stars.

For the season the College Best Bets are 39-28-2 for +13.1 Stars, going 33-27-2 for +3.75 Stars on in season plays and 6-1 for +9.35 Stars on the Season Win Total Best Bets that have been decided. The Strong Opinions are 18-15 for +0.6 Stars (0.5 Stars each on the Strong Opinions).

Week 13 Plays

The 2-Star Best Bet on Old Dominion (-10.5) won, as the Monarchs dominated Georgia Southern throughout the game in a 45-10 win.

The 1-Star Best Bet on New Mexico (-2) won, as the Lobos dominated Air Force in a 20-3 win while holding the Falcons to just 161 total yards.

The Strong Opinions were 2-0 with a win on the Army Team Total Under 27.5 (25 points scored and the alternate play on Tulsa +10 won too) and a win on Toledo (-27 -115), who beat up on Ball State 38-9 with the Cardinals’ only TD coming against the backups in garbage time after Toledo built a 38-3 lead.

Season Win Total Update:

We are 6-1 on the win totals that have been decided (for +9.35 Stars) but it’s now likely that Oregon Under 10.5 wins will lose – although playing at Washington might prove challenging.

Mississippi State (1-Star Over 3.5) – WIN

Southern Miss (1-Star Over 5.5) – WIN

Old Dominion (2-Stars over 5.5) – WIN

UTSA (3-Stars Under 7.5 +120) – WIN

Utah State (1-Star Over 4.5 +145) – WIN

Buffalo (2-Stars Under 7.5 -110) – WIN

Jacksonville State (1-Star Under 6 -170) – LOSS

Oregon (1-Star Under 10.5 Wins -190) – Oregon is 10-1 with only a game at Washington remaining.

The Free Analysis page Leans are now 1098-906-38 all-time.

The Leans were 8-3-1 in week 13 and are now 78-73-3 for the season.

The week 13 sides overall were 26-20-1 with the Leans (i.e 4 or more point differences between my predicted margin and the line) going 6-3-1. The totals were 24-22 overall, including 2-0 on specified Leans (one being a Team Total).

For the season the record on all sides is 252-244-6 ATS, including 61-53-3 on Leans, and the record on all totals this season is 283-246 with the specified Leans being 17-20.

The record on all Free Analysis sides is now 3394-3170-116 ATS since 2013, which is very good picking nearly every game 12-plus years. The Free Analysis sides in which my predicted margin was 4 points or more away from the line (i.e Leans) are a profitable 1008-846-37.

Totals on the Free pages are now 3237-3030-62 in the 12 seasons I’ve been tracking them. Starting in 2022 I have chosen selected Leans on totals and those are now 90-61-1 in 3-plus seasons.

The spreads posted are the consensus lines at the time I posted each analysis.

Check out this week’s College Football Free Analysis.