Game Analysis
WASHINGTON (-10) vs San Francisco
Both of these teams are better than their records, as the Redskins are solidly above average on both sides of the ball in my metrics despite being just 2-2 while the Niners’ 0-5 record includes a 3-point loss, a 2-point loss, and two overtime losses in the last 4 weeks.
Washington’s offense ranks 3rd in my metrics and have been unlucky to only score touchdowns on 36% of their Redzone opportunities and I expect an offense of this quality to be better in the Redzone moving forward. The offense is led by Kirk Cousins, quietly having the best season of his career with 7.3 yards per pass play and only 1 interception in 121 attempts.
The Niners’ Brian Hoyer had a good game last week with 7.0 yppp, but he has been inconsistent this season and has a tough matchup in this one going against a Redskins defense playing excellent at home – Washington has held their opponents to 4.4 yppl at FedEx Field. I’ll pass on this game.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
41.8
37.8
-
Succ Pass Plays
38.8%
47.5%
-
Sack Rate
7.4%
5.6%
-
Int Rate
2.3%
1.8%
-
Deep Pass Rate
14.3%
20.5%
-
Big Pass Yards
28.0%
36.3%
-
NYPP
5.2
7.0
Rush
-
Rush Plays
23.2
35.4
-
RB YPR
4.5
3.3
-
Stuff Rate
26.5%
25.7%
-
Succ Rush Plays
39.9%
39.9%
-
Big Rush Yards
51.0%
38.5%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.3
3.3
Game
-
All Snaps
65.0
73.2
-
Early Down Succ
43.0%
45.5%
-
Succ Rate
40.0%
43.8%
-
Big Yards Rate
39.8%
37.0%
-
Yards Per Play
4.9
5.1
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.6%
1.0%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
26.7
28.8
-
Run Ratio
35.5%
49.2%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.1
30.1
-
Game Control
-5.0
5.0
Pass
-
Pass Plays
32.0
36.0
-
Succ Pass Plays
48.5%
43.8%
-
Sack Rate
4.8%
8.4%
-
Int Rate
0.6%
3.2%
-
Deep Pass Rate
13.1%
18.4%
-
Big Pass Yards
51.8%
47.7%
-
NYPP
7.6
6.3
Rush
-
Rush Plays
29.3
23.0
-
RB YPR
3.9
3.7
-
Stuff Rate
18.5%
20.6%
-
Succ Rush Plays
48.0%
43.6%
-
Big Rush Yards
32.0%
24.5%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.3
3.6
Game
-
All Snaps
61.3
59.0
-
Early Down Succ
50.0%
47.4%
-
Succ Rate
47.0%
44.6%
-
Big Yards Rate
48.7%
42.0%
-
Yards Per Play
5.9
5.2
-
Fumble Lost Rate
2.5%
1.4%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
29.9
29.4
-
Run Ratio
47.6%
38.5%
-
Starting Field Pos
29.0
26.8
-
Game Control
3.9
-3.9
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
CAR |
3 – 23 L |
-12.4 |
46.2% /
45.8% |
10.3% /
0.0% |
2.9% /
4.2% |
4.3 /
7.1 |
26.7% /
39.0% |
26.7% /
14.6% |
3.4 /
2.9 |
54 /
65 |
48.7% /
42.6% |
40.7% /
41.5% |
33.6% /
29.7% |
4.0 /
4.5 |
1.9% /
1.5% |
27.8% /
63.1% |
30.1 /
33.7 |
| 2 |
@SEA |
9 – 12 L |
-2.0 |
20.7% /
33.3% |
6.9% /
7.1% |
3.7% /
0.0% |
3.1 /
4.3 |
52.6% /
37.2% |
21.1% /
20.9% |
8.4 /
3.1 |
48 /
85 |
38.9% /
37.5% |
33.3% /
35.3% |
49.2% /
23.7% |
5.2 /
3.7 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
39.6% /
50.6% |
24.5 /
23.9 |
| 3 |
LA |
39 – 41 L |
-8.5 |
46.3% /
64.3% |
9.8% /
0.0% |
2.7% /
0.0% |
7.5 /
10.4 |
51.5% /
51.5% |
27.3% /
30.3% |
3.4 /
3.8 |
74 /
61 |
47.2% /
57.4% |
48.6% /
57.4% |
50.8% /
55.4% |
5.7 /
6.9 |
1.4% /
3.3% |
44.6% /
54.1% |
36.1 /
36.1 |
| 4 |
@ARI |
15 – 18 L |
1.4 |
30.8% /
49.1% |
5.8% /
10.5% |
2.0% /
2.0% |
4.0 /
5.6 |
37.0% /
39.1% |
25.9% /
30.4% |
3.5 /
2.3 |
79 /
80 |
33.9% /
51.6% |
32.9% /
46.3% |
27.9% /
17.9% |
3.9 /
4.6 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
34.2% /
28.8% |
22.3 /
27.9 |
| 5 |
@IND |
23 – 26 L |
-3.3 |
50.0% /
44.7% |
4.2% /
10.5% |
0.0% /
2.9% |
7.0 /
7.6 |
31.8% /
32.4% |
31.8% /
32.4% |
3.0 /
4.4 |
70 /
75 |
46.3% /
38.2% |
44.3% /
38.7% |
37.3% /
58.1% |
5.7 /
6.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
31.4% /
49.3% |
17.5 /
28.8 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
PHI |
17 – 30 L |
-5.1 |
38.6% /
51.2% |
9.1% /
4.9% |
2.5% /
2.6% |
4.5 /
7.3 |
58.8% /
36.0% |
23.5% /
28.0% |
3.8 /
2.4 |
61 /
66 |
49.0% /
44.0% |
44.3% /
45.5% |
38.3% /
37.8% |
4.3 /
5.4 |
4.9% /
1.5% |
27.9% /
37.9% |
26.1 /
31.8 |
| 2 |
@LA |
27 – 20 W |
4.5 |
48.3% /
39.3% |
6.9% /
7.1% |
0.0% /
3.8% |
5.4 /
8.6 |
46.2% /
59.1% |
17.9% /
13.6% |
5.9 /
4.2 |
68 /
50 |
49.1% /
51.4% |
47.1% /
48.0% |
46.2% /
61.9% |
5.7 /
6.7 |
0.0% /
2.0% |
57.4% /
44.0% |
34.5 /
22.4 |
| 3 |
OAK |
27 – 10 W |
11.9 |
61.3% /
37.1% |
3.2% /
11.4% |
0.0% /
6.5% |
11.5 /
2.7 |
35.3% /
21.4% |
17.6% /
21.4% |
3.4 /
2.4 |
65 /
49 |
48.0% /
42.4% |
47.7% /
32.7% |
53.2% /
24.8% |
7.3 /
2.6 |
3.1% /
2.0% |
52.3% /
28.6% |
28.7 /
31.7 |
| 4 |
@KC |
20 – 29 L |
4.3 |
45.8% /
47.5% |
0.0% /
10.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
9.2 /
6.5 |
51.9% /
58.1% |
14.8% /
19.4% |
4.1 /
5.4 |
51 /
71 |
54.1% /
51.7% |
49.0% /
52.1% |
57.2% /
43.4% |
6.5 /
6.0 |
2.0% /
0.0% |
52.9% /
43.7% |
26.8 /
21.2 |
San Francisco 49ers
@ 
Washington Redskins