Game Analysis
DALLAS (+4.5) vs Philadelphia
The Cowboys’ key injuries will define their performance in this important NFC East divisional game. It looks like linebacker Sean Lee will be out of the lineup on Sunday night. Throughout his career, the Dallas defense is nearly a point per game worse when Lee is not on the field. This season, the difference has been even more drastic, particularly defending the run as the Cowboys surrender only 3.5 yards per rush with Lee and 5.3 ypr without him. The Eagles have the 6th-most efficient rushing offense in my numbers and they have not been hampered much after losing left tackle Jason Peters in week 7. Philadelphia gained 4.5 ypr in the last two games without Peters on the offensive line.
The Cowboys’ most important missing player on the offensive side of the ball would be left tackle Tyron Smith, not Ezekiel Elliott. The Dallas offense is gaining 7.3 yards per play with Smith on the field and just 4.5 yppl without him, which is by far the largest participation impact among tackles this season. With Smith out of the lineup last week, Atlanta’s Adrian Clayborn racked up 6 sacks. Smith is questionable to return Sunday night, and if he does not play, it would be a great matchup for Philadelphia’s Vinny Curry, who ranks 9th in pressures from the right side this season. It looks like plenty of value on the side of the Cowboys but those key injuries will have me on the sidelines on this game. I’ll pass.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
35.1
43.1
-
Succ Pass Plays
46.4%
43.9%
-
Sack Rate
7.4%
6.8%
-
Int Rate
1.7%
2.9%
-
Deep Pass Rate
21.8%
13.6%
-
Big Pass Yards
41.7%
35.4%
-
NYPP
7.0
5.9
Rush
-
Rush Plays
32.7
18.6
-
RB YPR
3.8
3.0
-
Stuff Rate
24.1%
31.6%
-
Succ Rush Plays
41.5%
40.4%
-
Big Rush Yards
53.7%
42.6%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.2
3.6
Game
-
All Snaps
67.8
61.7
-
Early Down Succ
44.4%
46.7%
-
Succ Rate
43.6%
43.2%
-
Big Yards Rate
48.2%
36.5%
-
Yards Per Play
5.6
5.2
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.8%
0.9%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
29.5
26.1
-
Run Ratio
48.1%
30.1%
-
Starting Field Pos
29.7
27.8
-
Game Control
7.6
-7.6
Pass
-
Pass Plays
34.0
39.0
-
Succ Pass Plays
45.6%
49.4%
-
Sack Rate
5.9%
7.7%
-
Int Rate
1.1%
1.6%
-
Deep Pass Rate
15.9%
14.0%
-
Big Pass Yards
37.0%
36.8%
-
NYPP
6.5
5.8
Rush
-
Rush Plays
30.1
24.6
-
RB YPR
4.1
4.0
-
Stuff Rate
21.3%
24.7%
-
Succ Rush Plays
52.5%
45.5%
-
Big Rush Yards
47.4%
47.9%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.6
4.1
Game
-
All Snaps
64.1
63.6
-
Early Down Succ
51.5%
49.7%
-
Succ Rate
49.7%
47.8%
-
Big Yards Rate
41.6%
42.6%
-
Yards Per Play
5.5
5.1
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.0%
1.2%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.7
27.9
-
Run Ratio
47.2%
38.1%
-
Starting Field Pos
30.9
25.2
-
Game Control
2.8
-2.8
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@WAS |
30 – 17 W |
5.1 |
51.2% /
38.6% |
4.9% /
9.1% |
2.6% /
2.5% |
7.3 /
4.5 |
36.0% /
58.8% |
28.0% /
23.5% |
2.4 /
3.8 |
66 /
61 |
44.0% /
49.0% |
45.5% /
44.3% |
37.8% /
38.3% |
5.4 /
4.3 |
1.5% /
4.9% |
37.9% /
27.9% |
31.8 /
26.1 |
| 2 |
@KC |
20 – 27 L |
-2.0 |
44.2% /
50.0% |
11.5% /
12.5% |
2.2% /
0.0% |
5.8 /
7.3 |
58.8% /
47.4% |
17.6% /
26.3% |
6.3 /
5.9 |
69 /
51 |
46.3% /
51.3% |
47.8% /
49.0% |
42.4% /
45.3% |
5.9 /
6.7 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
24.6% /
37.3% |
26.1 /
35.6 |
| 3 |
NYG |
27 – 24 W |
4.0 |
41.2% /
59.6% |
8.8% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
4.3% |
4.7 /
7.8 |
48.7% /
23.5% |
23.1% /
23.5% |
5.0 /
2.9 |
73 /
64 |
47.3% /
55.8% |
45.2% /
50.0% |
30.4% /
23.4% |
4.9 /
6.5 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
53.4% /
26.6% |
21.5 /
34.6 |
| 4 |
@LAC |
26 – 24 W |
6.2 |
46.9% /
42.5% |
3.1% /
5.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
7.5 /
8.6 |
47.7% /
38.5% |
20.5% /
46.2% |
4.9 /
4.5 |
76 /
53 |
47.3% /
39.5% |
47.4% /
41.5% |
56.1% /
68.3% |
6.0 /
7.5 |
0.0% /
1.9% |
57.9% /
24.5% |
22.1 /
22.2 |
| 5 |
ARI |
34 – 7 W |
16.7 |
48.4% /
41.3% |
3.2% /
4.3% |
3.3% /
0.0% |
9.6 /
6.0 |
28.6% /
21.4% |
22.9% /
35.7% |
3.5 /
2.2 |
66 /
60 |
33.3% /
37.2% |
37.9% /
36.7% |
52.3% /
20.2% |
6.4 /
5.1 |
0.0% /
1.7% |
53.0% /
23.3% |
34.1 /
19.3 |
| 6 |
@CAR |
28 – 23 W |
3.0 |
39.4% /
37.0% |
9.1% /
3.7% |
0.0% /
5.8% |
6.3 /
4.2 |
37.9% /
48.0% |
27.6% /
40.0% |
3.6 /
3.2 |
62 /
79 |
41.9% /
45.0% |
38.7% /
40.5% |
54.2% /
20.7% |
5.0 /
3.9 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
46.8% /
31.6% |
32.9 /
30.0 |
| 7 |
WAS |
34 – 24 W |
4.7 |
53.6% /
56.8% |
10.7% /
9.1% |
4.0% /
2.5% |
8.7 /
6.1 |
29.4% /
47.4% |
23.5% /
15.8% |
3.8 /
4.0 |
62 /
63 |
39.6% /
62.5% |
40.3% /
54.0% |
63.4% /
46.4% |
6.0 /
5.5 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
54.8% /
30.2% |
32.5 /
27.7 |
| 8 |
SF |
33 – 10 W |
11.9 |
42.9% /
32.5% |
8.6% /
10.0% |
3.1% /
5.6% |
5.5 /
3.6 |
39.4% /
41.7% |
27.3% /
41.7% |
3.5 /
3.9 |
68 /
64 |
46.9% /
40.8% |
41.2% /
35.9% |
44.4% /
38.2% |
4.5 /
3.7 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
48.5% /
37.5% |
29.0 /
28.5 |
| 9 |
DEN |
51 – 23 W |
19.2 |
50.0% /
36.6% |
6.7% /
7.3% |
0.0% /
5.3% |
7.4 /
4.7 |
47.4% /
36.8% |
26.3% /
31.6% |
5.2 /
1.8 |
68 /
60 |
53.1% /
39.1% |
48.5% /
36.7% |
52.9% /
27.4% |
6.2 /
3.8 |
1.5% /
0.0% |
55.9% /
31.7% |
37.7 /
26.1 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
NYG |
19 – 3 W |
9.1 |
48.7% /
48.8% |
2.6% /
7.3% |
0.0% /
2.6% |
6.7 /
4.8 |
54.8% /
23.1% |
19.4% /
7.7% |
4.2 /
2.8 |
70 /
54 |
50.9% /
46.2% |
51.4% /
42.6% |
37.0% /
27.8% |
5.6 /
4.3 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
44.3% /
24.1% |
29.4 /
16.0 |
| 2 |
@DEN |
17 – 42 L |
-11.9 |
42.3% /
64.7% |
3.8% /
5.9% |
4.0% /
3.1% |
4.4 /
5.9 |
28.6% /
52.5% |
42.9% /
17.5% |
2.9 /
4.5 |
66 /
74 |
44.7% /
59.6% |
39.4% /
58.1% |
14.6% /
30.7% |
4.1 /
5.1 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
21.2% /
54.1% |
37.6 /
26.9 |
| 3 |
@ARI |
28 – 17 W |
-0.5 |
42.1% /
38.9% |
5.3% /
11.1% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
9.2 /
5.2 |
33.3% /
33.3% |
33.3% /
33.3% |
3.7 /
2.3 |
46 /
75 |
42.9% /
35.7% |
37.0% /
37.3% |
62.8% /
51.5% |
6.0 /
4.4 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
58.7% /
28.0% |
29.4 /
21.6 |
| 4 |
LA |
30 – 35 L |
2.3 |
35.1% /
48.6% |
5.4% /
2.7% |
2.9% /
0.0% |
6.8 /
6.6 |
55.6% /
65.6% |
14.8% /
21.9% |
7.0 /
5.3 |
64 /
69 |
41.7% /
63.0% |
43.8% /
56.5% |
52.3% /
51.6% |
6.9 /
6.0 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
42.2% /
46.4% |
22.4 /
34.8 |
| 5 |
GB |
31 – 35 L |
4.2 |
59.5% /
51.5% |
2.7% /
12.1% |
2.8% /
0.0% |
6.6 /
5.5 |
60.0% /
64.0% |
14.3% /
12.0% |
4.7 /
6.4 |
72 /
58 |
57.9% /
58.0% |
59.7% /
56.9% |
28.7% /
43.3% |
5.7 /
5.9 |
2.8% /
1.7% |
48.6% /
43.1% |
25.7 /
22.3 |
| 7 |
@SF |
40 – 10 W |
20.1 |
51.9% /
39.5% |
0.0% /
11.6% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
8.7 /
4.3 |
68.9% /
59.1% |
11.1% /
27.3% |
5.9 /
4.7 |
72 /
65 |
66.7% /
48.0% |
62.5% /
46.2% |
57.0% /
40.7% |
7.0 /
4.5 |
0.0% /
4.6% |
62.5% /
33.8% |
34.1 /
23.0 |
| 8 |
@WAS |
33 – 19 W |
2.5 |
37.5% /
39.5% |
8.3% /
9.3% |
0.0% /
2.6% |
5.8 /
5.5 |
61.5% /
40.0% |
20.5% /
26.7% |
4.3 /
3.3 |
63 /
58 |
57.4% /
40.9% |
52.4% /
39.7% |
24.1% /
50.5% |
4.9 /
4.9 |
1.6% /
3.4% |
61.9% /
25.9% |
39.1 /
29.7 |
| 9 |
KC |
28 – 17 W |
4.3 |
52.9% /
50.0% |
2.9% /
5.6% |
0.0% /
2.9% |
7.2 /
7.1 |
64.5% /
42.1% |
12.9% /
31.6% |
4.2 /
3.6 |
65 /
55 |
58.5% /
51.2% |
58.5% /
47.3% |
42.4% /
40.6% |
5.8 /
5.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
47.7% /
34.5% |
26.8 /
22.9 |
| 10 |
@ATL |
7 – 27 L |
-4.8 |
40.5% /
63.3% |
21.6% /
3.3% |
0.0% /
3.4% |
3.4 /
6.8 |
45.5% /
29.4% |
22.7% /
44.1% |
4.9 /
3.9 |
59 /
64 |
42.6% /
44.9% |
42.4% /
45.3% |
55.4% /
46.7% |
3.9 /
5.3 |
3.4% /
0.0% |
37.3% /
53.1% |
33.3 /
29.9 |
Philadelphia Eagles
@ 
Dallas Cowboys