New York Giants @

San Francisco 49ers

Sun, Nov 12
1:25 PM Pacific
Rotation: 271
Odds: San Francisco 49ers +2.5, Total: 42

Game Analysis

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SAN FRANCISCO vs New York Giants (-2.5)

It looks like San Francisco fans will have to wait to see new quarterback Jimmy Garapollo as CJ Beathard gets the nod again this week. Beathard has an awful 4.6 yards per pass play average and I don’t expect him to continue as the starter much longer, no matter how complex Kyle Shanahan’s offense is to learn for Garapollo. The lone bright spot in the 49ers offense this season has been the emergence of running back Carlos Hyde. Hyde is 6th in the league in scrimmage yards and 3rd in receptions amongst running backs, providing a nice check-down option for Beathard. However, it could be difficult for Hyde this week against a Giants defenses allowing the 4th least receptions to opposing running backs.

The Giants offense has failed to reach 5.0 yppl in the three games since their top two receivers were injured. Eli Manning is having his worst season since his rookie year gaining just 5.4 yppp. Manning will have a good matchup this week against a San Francisco pass defense ranked 27th in my metrics and just lost good cover safety Jaquiski Tartt (just 6.1 yards per target allowed) to a season-ending broken forearm. The match up favors the Giants but the line has gone up and there is no value here. I’d actually lean with San Francisco is this line gets up to +3 points.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Giants
  • 49ers
NYG
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 39.6 37.4
  • Succ Pass Plays 41.9% 43.5%
  • Sack Rate 6.8% 4.5%
  • Int Rate 1.9% 0.8%
  • Deep Pass Rate 12.7% 18.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 29.9% 41.8%
  • NYPP 5.3 7.4



Rush


  • Rush Plays 22.1 31.3
  • RB YPR 3.7 3.8
  • Stuff Rate 21.1% 23.9%
  • Succ Rush Plays 39.0% 44.1%
  • Big Rush Yards 38.2% 40.8%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.7 4.0




Game

  • All Snaps 61.8 68.6
  • Early Down Succ 44.0% 45.5%
  • Succ Rate 41.1% 43.4%
  • Big Yards Rate 32.6% 45.7%
  • Yards Per Play 4.8 5.7
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 0.7%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 27.2 28.4
  • Run Ratio 35.9% 46.2%
  • Starting Field Pos 26.5 31.1
  • Game Control -4.2 4.2
 
  • Points 16.1 25.9
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