Los Angeles Chargers @

Houston Texans

Sun, Oct 2
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 259
Odds: Houston Texans +5.5, Total: 44

Game Analysis

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LA Chargers (-5.5) vs HOUSTON

· The Chargers injuries are really starting to pile up. Pro Bowl left tackle Rashawn Slater suffered a ruptured biceps tendon and will miss the season. Edge rusher Joey Bosa has a significant groin injury and is on IR. Starting center Corey Linsley (knee) and starting cornerback JC Jackson (ankle) each missed the last game but are hopeful to return. WR Jalen Guyton suffered a torn ACL. Justin Herbert threw for a mediocre 6.3 yppp in his first start since sustaining fractured rib cartilage.

· Backup tackle Storm Norton is one of the worst linemen in the NFL. Norton allowed eight quarterback pressures on 23 pass blocking snaps in relief of Slater, who had conceded eight quarterback pressures over his last 285 pass-blocking snaps. Texans edge defender Jerry Hughes ranks 15th in pass rushing efficiency and he will have a favorable matchup if Los Angeles continues to roll Norton out there or sixth round rookie Jamaree Salyer at left tackle.

· Bosa ranked 9th in pass rushing efficiency last season and our metrics have him worth 0.7 points.

· Khalil Mack has 4.0 sacks (2nd) opposite Bosa, but it will get tougher as offensive line shift protections to Mack’s side with Bosa out. Davis Mills probably won’t have to worry much about Mack this week because Houston LT Laremy Tunsil ranks 8th in pass blocking efficiency.

· The Chargers have only one run of 10+ yards through three games and 27% of the Los Angeles carries have failed to gain any yardage (31st). They average a league-low 2.8 yards per rush on first down.

· Chargers RB Austin Ekeler has gained 1.99 yards per route run (2nd) but Texans allow just 4.2 yards per target to opposing running backs (10th).

· Our model has the Chargers by 6.6 with a predicted total of 45.9.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Chargers
  • Texans
LAC
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 0.00 0.00
  • Succ Pass Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Sack Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • NYPP 0.00 0.00



Rush


  • Rush Plays 0.00 0.00
  • RB YPR 0.00 0.00
  • Stuff Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rush Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Rush 0.00 0.00




Game

  • All Snaps 0.00 0.00
  • Early Down Succ 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Play 0.00 0.00
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 0.00 0.00
  • Run Ratio 0.0% 0.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control 0.00 0.00
 
  • Points 0.00 0.00
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