Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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(11-4) Kansas City needs to win and Oakland (playing Denver) to lose to obtain a first round bye. Kansas City has benefited from a +15 turnover differential this season as they have been average on both sides of the ball. The Chargers have lost in high leverage situations all season, going 5-10 with a +2.5 Game Control Rating. This will likely be their last game in San Diego.

Lean to OVER (44.5). No opinion on side.

Team Stats
Game Log

Chiefs
Chargers

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 36.5 39.1
Succ Pass Plays 46.5% 45.0%
Sack Rate 5.1% 4.9%
Int Rate 1.3% 2.7%
Deep Pass Rate 14.4% 19.3%
Big Pass Yards 35.7% 34.2%
NYPP 6.7 6.4

Rush

Rush Plays 26.7 28.1
RB YPR 4.2 4.1
Stuff Rate 20.5% 21.3%
Succ Rush Plays 41.4% 50.7%
Big Rush Yards 44.6% 35.6%
Yards Per Rush 4.2 4.4

Game

All Snaps 63.3 67.1
Early Down Succ 48.3% 48.6%
Succ Rate 44.0% 46.9%
Big Yards Rate 39.5% 36.0%
Yards Per Play 5.5 5.5
Fumble Lost Rate 1.0% 1.5%
Time Per Play (sec) 29.1 27.5
Run Ratio 42.7% 41.4%
Starting Field Pos 29.1 26.6
Game Control 1.1 -1.1

Points 23.5 18.9

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 38.5 39.0
Succ Pass Plays 46.9% 45.7%
Sack Rate 6.2% 6.1%
Int Rate 3.4% 3.1%
Deep Pass Rate 19.3% 19.1%
Big Pass Yards 44.1% 38.0%
NYPP 6.9 6.5

Rush

Rush Plays 25.3 26.6
RB YPR 3.5 3.7
Stuff Rate 25.4% 26.0%
Succ Rush Plays 41.3% 42.6%
Big Rush Yards 36.5% 46.0%
Yards Per Rush 3.5 3.9

Game

All Snaps 63.7 65.6
Early Down Succ 45.9% 46.2%
Succ Rate 44.8% 43.5%
Big Yards Rate 44.0% 40.9%
Yards Per Play 5.6 5.3
Fumble Lost Rate 1.5% 1.0%
Time Per Play (sec) 27.4 25.7
Run Ratio 39.6% 40.5%
Starting Field Pos 28.4 31.3
Game Control 2.5 -2.5

Points 25.5 25.7

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	SD	33 – 27 W	-11.5	52.9% / 56.8%	5.9% / 2.7%	2.1% / 0.0%	6.5 / 6.3	57.9% / 57.6%	21.1% / 15.2%	4.4 / 4.7	70 / 70	57.4% / 62.3%	54.3% / 57.1%	44.3% / 38.8%	5.9 / 5.6	0.0% / 0.0%	27.1% / 47.1%	28.4 / 30.4
2	@HOU	12 – 19 L	-6.8	34.1% / 40.0%	9.8% / 5.7%	0.0% / 6.1%	4.2 / 7.3	36.8% / 32.4%	31.6% / 18.9%	6.3 / 2.7	60 / 72	39.1% / 41.2%	35.0% / 36.1%	37.1% / 38.2%	4.9 / 4.9	5.0% / 0.0%	31.7% / 51.4%	29.5 / 35.9
3	NYJ	24 – 3 W	10.3	48.6% / 34.1%	5.7% / 0.0%	0.0% / 13.6%	6.3 / 4.3	30.0% / 50.0%	33.3% / 13.6%	2.5 / 5.3	65 / 66	43.2% / 36.0%	40.0% / 39.4%	40.2% / 39.0%	4.6 / 4.6	1.5% / 3.0%	46.2% / 33.3%	27.3 / 30.1
4	@PIT	14 – 43 L	-25.5	44.4% / 55.2%	7.4% / 6.9%	2.0% / 0.0%	5.0 / 9.9	22.2% / 40.7%	22.2% / 22.2%	4.8 / 5.6	72 / 56	34.6% / 50.0%	38.9% / 48.2%	18.5% / 59.4%	5.0 / 7.8	1.4% / 0.0%	25.0% / 48.2%	24.5 / 31.4
6	@OAK	26 – 10 W	5.9	62.5% / 51.4%	4.2% / 5.7%	0.0% / 3.0%	9.3 / 6.3	52.4% / 52.9%	11.9% / 29.4%	4.4 / 3.8	66 / 52	61.2% / 57.5%	56.1% / 51.9%	45.8% / 15.4%	6.2 / 5.5	0.0% / 1.9%	63.6% / 32.7%	37.4 / 25.5
7	NO	27 – 21 W	7.9	54.2% / 63.3%	0.0% / 2.0%	0.0% / 2.1%	8.9 / 7.3	30.0% / 72.7%	16.7% / 9.1%	3.8 / 4.7	54 / 71	46.3% / 66.7%	40.7% / 66.2%	44.8% / 25.9%	6.1 / 6.5	0.0% / 1.4%	55.6% / 31.0%	22.7 / 22.6
8	@IND	30 – 14 W	8.3	45.5% / 36.6%	6.8% / 14.6%	0.0% / 2.9%	7.6 / 4.2	35.7% / 50.0%	21.4% / 18.2%	3.2 / 4.8	72 / 63	42.6% / 45.7%	41.7% / 41.3%	48.7% / 32.7%	5.9 / 4.4	0.0% / 1.6%	38.9% / 34.9%	34.8 / 22.8
9	JAC	19 – 14 W	6.2	25.7% / 46.5%	5.7% / 4.7%	0.0% / 2.4%	4.8 / 5.7	32.0% / 50.0%	16.0% / 34.4%	2.6 / 6.4	60 / 75	37.5% / 51.7%	28.3% / 48.0%	42.7% / 47.7%	3.9 / 6.0	0.0% / 4.0%	41.7% / 42.7%	39.6 / 23.9
10	@CAR	20 – 17 W	-7.9	36.6% / 47.5%	7.3% / 5.0%	2.6% / 2.6%	4.0 / 6.1	45.0% / 36.7%	10.0% / 26.7%	4.6 / 3.3	61 / 70	43.8% / 43.4%	39.3% / 42.9%	24.2% / 29.8%	4.2 / 4.9	0.0% / 1.4%	32.8% / 42.9%	30.6 / 20.3
11	TB	17 – 19 L	-0.7	74.2% / 55.0%	0.0% / 2.5%	3.2% / 0.0%	8.4 / 8.2	50.0% / 44.1%	18.2% / 29.4%	3.8 / 3.4	53 / 74	69.8% / 44.8%	64.2% / 50.0%	38.7% / 23.8%	6.5 / 6.0	1.9% / 1.4%	41.5% / 45.9%	21.8 / 26.4
12	@DEN	30 – 27 W	1.6	38.8% / 43.6%	12.2% / 12.8%	0.0% / 0.0%	3.9 / 8.7	48.1% / 41.0%	14.8% / 28.2%	3.1 / 3.2	76 / 78	46.4% / 41.8%	42.1% / 42.3%	7.7% / 59.8%	3.6 / 6.0	0.0% / 1.3%	35.5% / 50.0%	29.8 / 20.7
13	@ATL	29 – 28 W	2.3	57.7% / 52.8%	3.8% / 5.6%	0.0% / 2.9%	10.2 / 8.1	40.0% / 66.7%	32.0% / 13.3%	5.0 / 4.3	51 / 66	58.8% / 60.0%	49.0% / 59.1%	56.1% / 36.4%	7.7 / 6.3	2.0% / 0.0%	49.0% / 45.5%	18.1 / 25.2
14	OAK	21 – 13 W	6.4	40.7% / 21.4%	3.7% / 2.4%	3.8% / 0.0%	9.6 / 2.6	36.7% / 51.6%	13.3% / 12.9%	2.3 / 4.4	57 / 73	43.6% / 36.5%	38.6% / 34.2%	51.5% / 13.9%	5.7 / 3.3	3.5% / 0.0%	52.6% / 42.5%	26.5 / 30.5
15	TEN	17 – 19 L	8.3	37.9% / 42.4%	3.4% / 3.0%	3.6% / 3.1%	5.5 / 7.3	53.6% / 64.5%	32.1% / 19.4%	5.6 / 4.8	57 / 64	51.2% / 56.5%	45.6% / 53.1%	38.5% / 39.5%	5.6 / 6.1	0.0% / 3.1%	49.1% / 48.4%	36.6 / 21.8
16	DEN	33 – 10 W	11.8	43.2% / 27.9%	0.0% / 0.0%	2.7% / 2.3%	6.6 / 4.3	50.0% / 50.0%	13.2% / 28.6%	6.3 / 4.5	75 / 57	48.2% / 35.0%	46.7% / 33.3%	54.2% / 40.2%	6.5 / 4.3	0.0% / 3.5%	50.7% / 24.6%	29.3 / 31.5

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	@KC	27 – 33 L	11.5	56.8% / 52.9%	2.7% / 5.9%	0.0% / 2.1%	6.3 / 6.5	57.6% / 57.9%	15.2% / 21.1%	4.7 / 4.4	70 / 70	62.3% / 57.4%	57.1% / 54.3%	38.8% / 44.3%	5.6 / 5.9	0.0% / 0.0%	47.1% / 27.1%	30.4 / 28.4
2	JAC	38 – 14 W	21.2	46.4% / 42.3%	10.7% / 3.8%	0.0% / 4.0%	7.4 / 6.1	44.4% / 63.6%	19.4% / 18.2%	4.2 / 6.3	64 / 63	45.8% / 52.0%	45.3% / 46.0%	60.2% / 42.8%	5.6 / 6.2	1.6% / 1.6%	56.3% / 17.5%	40.3 / 22.0
3	@IND	22 – 26 L	-1.8	56.1% / 53.8%	4.9% / 5.1%	0.0% / 2.7%	7.8 / 8.1	35.3% / 38.5%	17.6% / 34.6%	2.2 / 3.6	58 / 65	53.2% / 50.9%	50.0% / 47.7%	40.2% / 36.8%	6.1 / 6.3	5.2% / 1.5%	29.3% / 40.0%	28.6 / 28.1
4	NO	34 – 35 L	2.3	43.5% / 50.0%	6.5% / 5.3%	2.3% / 5.6%	6.7 / 5.0	33.3% / 36.8%	38.1% / 10.5%	1.8 / 2.3	67 / 76	39.6% / 42.0%	40.3% / 43.4%	38.7% / 19.0%	5.2 / 3.7	3.0% / 0.0%	31.3% / 50.0%	31.4 / 36.9
5	@OAK	31 – 34 L	0.1	56.3% / 41.9%	6.3% / 7.0%	6.7% / 2.5%	11.0 / 7.0	42.1% / 56.0%	31.6% / 24.0%	3.8 / 3.6	51 / 68	54.8% / 49.1%	51.0% / 47.1%	62.4% / 44.0%	8.3 / 5.7	3.9% / 0.0%	37.3% / 36.8%	29.3 / 37.5
6	DEN	21 – 13 W	10.3	41.9% / 38.5%	6.5% / 3.8%	0.0% / 0.0%	5.4 / 4.2	20.7% / 43.8%	31.0% / 25.0%	3.4 / 5.3	60 / 68	32.6% / 40.4%	31.7% / 39.7%	35.8% / 21.1%	4.4 / 4.5	3.3% / 2.9%	48.3% / 23.5%	36.4 / 31.1
7	@ATL	33 – 30 W	-4.5	53.1% / 44.7%	8.2% / 10.5%	2.2% / 2.9%	7.1 / 6.7	46.4% / 46.2%	25.0% / 30.8%	2.8 / 5.0	77 / 64	50.9% / 46.0%	50.6% / 45.3%	38.6% / 44.6%	5.5 / 6.0	0.0% / 0.0%	36.4% / 40.6%	25.8 / 33.2
8	@DEN	19 – 27 L	-3.6	31.4% / 38.5%	7.8% / 2.6%	6.4% / 2.6%	4.8 / 6.8	50.0% / 44.4%	15.4% / 33.3%	4.7 / 2.2	77 / 66	37.9% / 47.8%	37.7% / 40.9%	48.8% / 49.4%	4.8 / 4.9	0.0% / 3.0%	33.8% / 40.9%	27.4 / 32.4
9	TEN	43 – 35 W	7.5	55.9% / 50.0%	2.9% / 0.0%	0.0% / 4.8%	7.9 / 7.5	38.1% / 47.4%	16.7% / 26.3%	5.0 / 4.2	76 / 61	50.8% / 49.0%	46.1% / 49.2%	33.2% / 47.1%	6.3 / 6.4	0.0% / 1.6%	55.3% / 31.1%	30.2 / 24.0
10	MIA	24 – 31 L	0.3	44.7% / 56.0%	6.4% / 4.0%	9.1% / 0.0%	6.6 / 9.2	20.8% / 26.9%	41.7% / 26.9%	2.9 / 4.1	71 / 51	33.3% / 43.6%	36.6% / 41.2%	44.1% / 58.9%	5.3 / 6.6	0.0% / 2.0%	33.8% / 51.0%	28.8 / 25.6
12	@HOU	21 – 13 W	3.8	45.2% / 48.6%	3.2% / 2.7%	3.3% / 8.3%	7.6 / 6.5	55.6% / 37.0%	27.8% / 33.3%	3.7 / 4.2	49 / 64	52.6% / 45.1%	49.0% / 43.8%	42.7% / 28.6%	6.2 / 5.5	0.0% / 1.6%	36.7% / 42.2%	28.5 / 29.8
13	TB	21 – 28 L	2.6	46.4% / 58.1%	7.1% / 3.2%	7.7% / 3.3%	7.5 / 8.6	64.0% / 29.4%	12.0% / 23.5%	4.8 / 2.5	53 / 65	55.6% / 48.9%	54.7% / 43.1%	38.2% / 37.8%	6.2 / 5.4	0.0% / 0.0%	47.2% / 52.3%	26.0 / 29.8
14	@CAR	16 – 28 L	-12.7	36.4% / 34.5%	11.4% / 6.9%	7.7% / 3.7%	5.0 / 5.0	45.0% / 36.8%	25.0% / 26.3%	2.9 / 3.3	64 / 67	40.0% / 35.3%	39.1% / 35.8%	49.3% / 46.3%	4.3 / 4.1	3.1% / 0.0%	31.3% / 56.7%	20.6 / 43.0
15	OAK	16 – 19 L	2.3	45.5% / 43.8%	9.1% / 6.3%	3.3% / 3.3%	5.8 / 6.3	45.5% / 36.8%	27.3% / 21.1%	3.3 / 3.9	55 / 70	43.6% / 53.3%	45.5% / 40.0%	49.8% / 48.3%	4.8 / 5.0	1.8% / 1.4%	40.0% / 54.3%	16.5 / 41.5
16	@CLE	17 – 20 L	-2.5	44.4% / 32.4%	0.0% / 24.3%	2.2% / 0.0%	7.2 / 3.4	21.1% / 37.9%	36.8% / 34.5%	1.8 / 4.3	64 / 66	36.2% / 32.0%	37.5% / 34.8%	39.9% / 44.2%	5.6 / 3.8	0.0% / 0.0%	29.7% / 43.9%	26.1 / 25.7

Kansas City Chiefs @

San Diego Chargers

Sun, Jan 1

1:25 PM Pacific

Game Analysis