Game Analysis
WASHINGTON (-3.5) vs Denver
The Redskins have failed to reach 5 yards per play in all four games since Chris Thompson’s injury, as his replacement Samaje Perrine is gaining just 3.3 yards per rush and isn’t nearly as good in the pass game (Thompson averaged 9.4 yard on 54 passes thrown to him while Perine averages 7.7 yards per target). I do not expect improvement Perine or Washington’s offense in general against the highest-rated rush defense in my metrics. The Redskins will be without Trent Williams and it will be interesting to see if Von Miller switches from his normal side to avoid facing Morgan Moses. Miller only rushes from the right side on 15% on snaps but he’d have a huge advantage if he faced Williams’ backup.
Brock Osweiler will be under center for this game after putting up really good numbers in last week’s win against a horrible Colts’ secondary that was without their best cornerback. Osweiler can’t be counted on to produce better than average numbers against a pretty good Washington secondary and the Broncos would be wise to keep the ball on the ground against a porous Redskins’ rush defense that has allowed 4.3 yards per rush. I don’t see any value in this game.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.6
32.1
-
Succ Pass Plays
40.1%
42.9%
-
Sack Rate
8.3%
7.5%
-
Int Rate
3.7%
1.7%
-
Deep Pass Rate
18.3%
17.0%
-
Big Pass Yards
43.0%
40.3%
-
NYPP
5.5
5.9
Rush
-
Rush Plays
29.3
27.5
-
RB YPR
3.6
2.9
-
Stuff Rate
22.1%
31.5%
-
Succ Rush Plays
38.6%
33.3%
-
Big Rush Yards
28.2%
28.9%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.8
3.1
Game
-
All Snaps
67.9
59.6
-
Early Down Succ
39.9%
42.4%
-
Succ Rate
39.2%
38.4%
-
Big Yards Rate
39.4%
38.7%
-
Yards Per Play
4.7
4.6
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.9%
0.6%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.0
28.7
-
Run Ratio
42.7%
46.0%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.7
33.1
-
Game Control
-4.1
4.1
Pass
-
Pass Plays
36.0
35.6
-
Succ Pass Plays
46.8%
42.3%
-
Sack Rate
7.2%
7.3%
-
Int Rate
1.8%
3.0%
-
Deep Pass Rate
15.8%
20.1%
-
Big Pass Yards
48.3%
46.9%
-
NYPP
6.7
6.4
Rush
-
Rush Plays
26.0
28.9
-
RB YPR
3.3
4.0
-
Stuff Rate
22.3%
19.7%
-
Succ Rush Plays
43.3%
49.4%
-
Big Rush Yards
30.4%
37.4%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.5
4.2
Game
-
All Snaps
62.0
64.5
-
Early Down Succ
49.1%
48.3%
-
Succ Rate
45.0%
45.5%
-
Big Yards Rate
44.8%
43.8%
-
Yards Per Play
5.3
5.3
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.6%
0.6%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.8
28.3
-
Run Ratio
41.7%
44.8%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.3
30.2
-
Game Control
-0.0
0.0
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
LAC |
24 – 21 W |
6.6 |
50.0% / 47.1% |
12.5% / 2.9% |
3.6% / 3.0% |
5.7 / 5.4 |
40.5% / 27.3% |
18.9% / 31.8% |
3.8 / 2.9 |
69 / 56 |
44.2% / 42.9% |
44.9% / 39.3% |
47.8% / 27.7% |
4.7 / 4.4 |
1.4% / 0.0% |
53.6% / 39.3% |
31.8 / 31.6 |
2 |
DAL |
42 – 17 W |
11.9 |
64.7% / 42.3% |
5.9% / 3.8% |
3.1% / 4.0% |
5.9 / 4.4 |
52.5% / 28.6% |
17.5% / 42.9% |
4.5 / 2.9 |
74 / 66 |
59.6% / 44.7% |
58.1% / 39.4% |
30.7% / 14.6% |
5.1 / 4.1 |
1.4% / 0.0% |
54.1% / 21.2% |
26.9 / 37.6 |
3 |
@BUF |
16 – 26 L |
-1.6 |
37.2% / 50.0% |
7.0% / 13.3% |
5.0% / 0.0% |
5.9 / 6.6 |
39.1% / 27.0% |
26.1% / 27.0% |
4.8 / 2.1 |
66 / 67 |
38.0% / 42.2% |
37.9% / 37.3% |
59.3% / 44.4% |
5.5 / 4.1 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
34.8% / 55.2% |
23.7 / 39.8 |
4 |
OAK |
16 – 10 W |
6.7 |
33.3% / 36.8% |
13.3% / 7.9% |
0.0% / 2.9% |
5.2 / 6.1 |
31.4% / 33.3% |
22.9% / 46.7% |
4.2 / 1.6 |
65 / 53 |
36.4% / 44.7% |
32.3% / 35.8% |
39.5% / 52.8% |
4.6 / 4.8 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
53.8% / 28.3% |
28.8 / 24.7 |
6 |
NYG |
10 – 23 L |
-10.4 |
35.1% / 40.9% |
7.0% / 13.6% |
3.8% / 0.0% |
6.4 / 5.4 |
44.4% / 18.8% |
11.1% / 40.6% |
2.6 / 4.6 |
75 / 54 |
40.0% / 27.5% |
37.3% / 27.8% |
47.0% / 53.4% |
5.5 / 4.9 |
1.3% / 0.0% |
24.0% / 59.3% |
27.0 / 31.2 |
7 |
@LAC |
0 – 21 L |
-11.1 |
35.0% / 34.5% |
12.5% / 10.3% |
2.9% / 0.0% |
4.6 / 5.6 |
21.1% / 19.2% |
21.1% / 42.3% |
3.6 / 3.1 |
59 / 55 |
32.6% / 28.6% |
30.5% / 27.3% |
13.5% / 44.6% |
4.3 / 4.4 |
3.4% / 0.0% |
32.2% / 47.3% |
23.2 / 29.8 |
8 |
@KC |
19 – 29 L |
-11.9 |
41.0% / 36.4% |
7.7% / 3.0% |
8.3% / 3.1% |
4.8 / 6.0 |
61.3% / 25.9% |
12.9% / 37.0% |
5.7 / 3.0 |
70 / 60 |
53.6% / 37.0% |
50.0% / 31.7% |
39.0% / 52.0% |
5.2 / 4.6 |
2.9% / 1.7% |
44.3% / 45.0% |
23.9 / 40.0 |
9 |
@PHI |
23 – 51 L |
-19.2 |
36.6% / 50.0% |
7.3% / 6.7% |
5.3% / 0.0% |
4.7 / 7.4 |
36.8% / 47.4% |
31.6% / 26.3% |
1.8 / 5.2 |
60 / 68 |
39.1% / 53.1% |
36.7% / 48.5% |
27.4% / 52.9% |
3.8 / 6.2 |
0.0% / 1.5% |
31.7% / 55.9% |
26.1 / 37.7 |
10 |
NE |
16 – 41 L |
-14.7 |
39.4% / 65.8% |
0.0% / 2.6% |
3.0% / 0.0% |
6.7 / 7.8 |
44.8% / 55.2% |
13.8% / 13.8% |
4.1 / 3.4 |
62 / 67 |
40.0% / 67.9% |
41.9% / 61.2% |
46.2% / 32.1% |
5.5 / 5.9 |
1.6% / 0.0% |
46.8% / 43.3% |
23.7 / 37.9 |
11 |
CIN |
17 – 20 L |
-4.4 |
42.2% / 37.0% |
6.7% / 7.4% |
2.4% / 0.0% |
5.1 / 5.2 |
50.0% / 32.1% |
23.5% / 35.7% |
3.3 / 1.8 |
79 / 55 |
41.1% / 33.3% |
45.6% / 34.5% |
15.8% / 30.2% |
4.3 / 3.5 |
1.3% / 0.0% |
43.0% / 50.9% |
31.5 / 33.2 |
12 |
@OAK |
14 – 21 L |
-9.5 |
30.0% / 50.0% |
12.5% / 7.7% |
2.9% / 0.0% |
4.0 / 9.4 |
17.6% / 40.0% |
29.4% / 22.5% |
3.5 / 2.7 |
57 / 66 |
21.4% / 50.0% |
26.3% / 43.9% |
42.0% / 50.7% |
3.8 / 5.3 |
0.0% / 1.5% |
29.8% / 60.6% |
21.7 / 32.7 |
13 |
@MIA |
9 – 35 L |
-12.2 |
29.5% / 41.2% |
6.8% / 5.9% |
7.3% / 6.3% |
3.8 / 6.5 |
34.8% / 43.3% |
26.1% / 23.3% |
4.5 / 4.8 |
67 / 64 |
37.7% / 46.9% |
31.3% / 42.2% |
60.7% / 56.1% |
4.0 / 5.7 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
34.3% / 46.9% |
17.9 / 40.2 |
14 |
NYJ |
23 – 0 W |
13.5 |
39.4% / 24.0% |
6.1% / 16.0% |
0.0% / 4.8% |
5.7 / 1.6 |
25.0% / 33.3% |
36.1% / 33.3% |
2.4 / 2.5 |
69 / 49 |
28.6% / 33.3% |
31.9% / 28.6% |
26.3% / 11.9% |
4.0 / 2.1 |
0.0% / 2.0% |
52.2% / 49.0% |
40.5 / 21.2 |
15 |
@IND |
25 – 13 W |
-0.8 |
48.3% / 45.2% |
10.3% / 3.2% |
3.8% / 0.0% |
8.6 / 5.1 |
40.8% / 34.8% |
18.4% / 17.4% |
4.4 / 3.1 |
78 / 54 |
46.4% / 42.1% |
43.6% / 40.7% |
56.4% / 18.3% |
5.9 / 4.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
62.8% / 42.6% |
27.4 / 25.8 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
PHI |
17 – 30 L |
-5.1 |
38.6% / 51.2% |
9.1% / 4.9% |
2.5% / 2.6% |
4.5 / 7.3 |
58.8% / 36.0% |
23.5% / 28.0% |
3.8 / 2.4 |
61 / 66 |
49.0% / 44.0% |
44.3% / 45.5% |
38.3% / 37.8% |
4.3 / 5.4 |
4.9% / 1.5% |
27.9% / 37.9% |
26.1 / 31.8 |
2 |
@LA |
27 – 20 W |
4.5 |
48.3% / 39.3% |
6.9% / 7.1% |
0.0% / 3.8% |
5.4 / 8.6 |
46.2% / 59.1% |
17.9% / 13.6% |
5.9 / 4.2 |
68 / 50 |
49.1% / 51.4% |
47.1% / 48.0% |
46.2% / 61.9% |
5.7 / 6.7 |
0.0% / 2.0% |
57.4% / 44.0% |
34.5 / 22.4 |
3 |
OAK |
27 – 10 W |
11.9 |
61.3% / 37.1% |
3.2% / 11.4% |
0.0% / 6.5% |
11.5 / 2.7 |
35.3% / 21.4% |
17.6% / 21.4% |
3.4 / 2.4 |
65 / 49 |
48.0% / 42.4% |
47.7% / 32.7% |
53.2% / 24.8% |
7.3 / 2.6 |
3.1% / 2.0% |
52.3% / 28.6% |
28.7 / 31.7 |
4 |
@KC |
20 – 29 L |
4.3 |
45.8% / 47.5% |
0.0% / 10.0% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
9.2 / 6.5 |
51.9% / 58.1% |
14.8% / 19.4% |
4.1 / 5.4 |
51 / 71 |
54.1% / 51.7% |
49.0% / 52.1% |
57.2% / 43.4% |
6.5 / 6.0 |
2.0% / 0.0% |
52.9% / 43.7% |
26.8 / 21.2 |
6 |
SF |
26 – 24 W |
7.0 |
60.5% / 30.0% |
2.6% / 6.0% |
2.7% / 2.1% |
8.6 / 5.0 |
38.2% / 65.0% |
29.4% / 25.0% |
2.8 / 4.3 |
72 / 70 |
51.8% / 41.2% |
50.0% / 40.0% |
43.6% / 50.4% |
5.8 / 4.8 |
1.4% / 0.0% |
47.2% / 28.6% |
26.9 / 32.6 |
7 |
@PHI |
24 – 34 L |
-4.7 |
56.8% / 53.6% |
9.1% / 10.7% |
2.5% / 4.0% |
6.1 / 8.7 |
47.4% / 29.4% |
15.8% / 23.5% |
4.0 / 3.8 |
63 / 62 |
62.5% / 39.6% |
54.0% / 40.3% |
46.4% / 63.4% |
5.5 / 6.0 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
30.2% / 54.8% |
27.7 / 32.5 |
8 |
DAL |
19 – 33 L |
-2.5 |
39.5% / 37.5% |
9.3% / 8.3% |
2.6% / 0.0% |
5.5 / 5.8 |
40.0% / 61.5% |
26.7% / 20.5% |
3.3 / 4.3 |
58 / 63 |
40.9% / 57.4% |
39.7% / 52.4% |
50.5% / 24.1% |
4.9 / 4.9 |
3.4% / 1.6% |
25.9% / 61.9% |
29.7 / 39.1 |
9 |
@SEA |
17 – 14 W |
2.3 |
40.5% / 43.5% |
16.2% / 4.3% |
0.0% / 4.5% |
5.2 / 6.3 |
39.1% / 57.1% |
34.8% / 14.3% |
2.2 / 5.3 |
60 / 74 |
42.6% / 51.7% |
40.0% / 48.6% |
51.6% / 48.5% |
4.1 / 5.9 |
1.7% / 0.0% |
38.3% / 37.8% |
27.8 / 30.7 |
10 |
MIN |
30 – 38 L |
-6.2 |
45.7% / 65.5% |
2.2% / 0.0% |
2.2% / 6.9% |
6.8 / 10.5 |
46.4% / 51.5% |
21.4% / 30.3% |
2.9 / 3.2 |
74 / 62 |
49.1% / 60.9% |
45.9% / 58.1% |
43.0% / 52.2% |
5.3 / 6.6 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
37.8% / 53.2% |
34.1 / 34.6 |
11 |
@NO |
31 – 34 L |
5.7 |
47.1% / 57.1% |
5.9% / 4.8% |
0.0% / 2.5% |
8.8 / 8.9 |
51.5% / 60.9% |
12.1% / 17.4% |
4.7 / 7.0 |
67 / 65 |
50.9% / 62.3% |
49.3% / 58.5% |
47.8% / 54.2% |
6.8 / 8.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
49.3% / 35.4% |
23.4 / 24.3 |
12 |
NYG |
20 – 10 W |
0.8 |
35.1% / 29.0% |
16.2% / 12.9% |
3.2% / 3.7% |
5.4 / 2.8 |
38.2% / 32.0% |
23.5% / 20.0% |
3.6 / 3.4 |
71 / 56 |
44.0% / 36.8% |
36.6% / 30.4% |
47.7% / 22.2% |
4.6 / 3.1 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
47.9% / 44.6% |
32.4 / 21.8 |
13 |
@DAL |
14 – 38 L |
-8.3 |
46.3% / 34.8% |
9.8% / 4.3% |
5.4% / 0.0% |
5.5 / 4.0 |
42.1% / 52.4% |
26.3% / 16.7% |
2.9 / 4.3 |
60 / 65 |
46.7% / 46.0% |
45.0% / 46.2% |
32.9% / 26.5% |
4.7 / 4.2 |
3.3% / 0.0% |
31.7% / 64.6% |
24.5 / 36.2 |
14 |
@LAC |
13 – 30 L |
-15.3 |
37.9% / 41.7% |
6.9% / 5.6% |
3.7% / 2.9% |
4.7 / 8.7 |
38.1% / 45.7% |
19.0% / 11.4% |
3.1 / 5.0 |
50 / 71 |
44.4% / 44.6% |
38.0% / 43.7% |
30.3% / 58.6% |
4.0 / 6.9 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
42.0% / 49.3% |
21.8 / 31.5 |
15 |
ARI |
20 – 15 W |
5.6 |
51.9% / 24.4% |
3.7% / 11.1% |
0.0% / 2.5% |
6.9 / 3.2 |
33.3% / 61.8% |
28.6% / 14.7% |
1.5 / 4.1 |
48 / 79 |
54.1% / 45.6% |
43.8% / 40.5% |
37.9% / 44.8% |
4.6 / 3.6 |
2.1% / 1.3% |
43.8% / 43.0% |
31.8 / 33.0 |