Denver Broncos @

Washington Redskins

Sun, Dec 24
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 117
Odds: Washington Redskins -3.5, Total: 40.5

Game Analysis

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WASHINGTON (-3.5) vs Denver

The Redskins have failed to reach 5 yards per play in all four games since Chris Thompson’s injury, as his replacement Samaje Perrine is gaining just 3.3 yards per rush and isn’t nearly as good in the pass game (Thompson averaged 9.4 yard on 54 passes thrown to him while Perine averages 7.7 yards per target). I do not expect improvement Perine or Washington’s offense in general against the highest-rated rush defense in my metrics. The Redskins will be without Trent Williams and it will be interesting to see if Von Miller switches from his normal side to avoid facing Morgan Moses. Miller only rushes from the right side on 15% on snaps but he’d have a huge advantage if he faced Williams’ backup.

Brock Osweiler will be under center for this game after putting up really good numbers in last week’s win against a horrible Colts’ secondary that was without their best cornerback. Osweiler can’t be counted on to produce better than average numbers against a pretty good Washington secondary and the Broncos would be wise to keep the ball on the ground against a porous Redskins’ rush defense that has allowed 4.3 yards per rush. I don’t see any value in this game.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Broncos
  • Redskins
DEN
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 38.6 32.1
  • Succ Pass Plays 40.1% 42.9%
  • Sack Rate 8.3% 7.5%
  • Int Rate 3.7% 1.7%
  • Deep Pass Rate 18.3% 17.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 43.0% 40.3%
  • NYPP 5.5 5.9



Rush


  • Rush Plays 29.3 27.5
  • RB YPR 3.6 2.9
  • Stuff Rate 22.1% 31.5%
  • Succ Rush Plays 38.6% 33.3%
  • Big Rush Yards 28.2% 28.9%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.8 3.1




Game

  • All Snaps 67.9 59.6
  • Early Down Succ 39.9% 42.4%
  • Succ Rate 39.2% 38.4%
  • Big Yards Rate 39.4% 38.7%
  • Yards Per Play 4.7 4.6
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.9% 0.6%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.0 28.7
  • Run Ratio 42.7% 46.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 26.7 33.1
  • Game Control -4.1 4.1
 
  • Points 18.1 23.4
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