Dallas Cowboys
@ 
Washington Redskins
Game Analysis
Everyone is wondering why the new $70 million dollar man, Josh Norman did not stick the all-world WR, AB. Our hot-take? It wouldn’t have mattered. The Washington D was roasted well-done by Pittsburgh big plays. While the perception is that Dak did not push the ball with a 5.3 NYPP, he actually pushed the ball deep a more than respectable 23.3% of the time. A few non-catch calls (Dez knows these all too well now) called catches and the stories of Dak not throwing deep would be written differently. The early season Totals model favors the Over, so we will make the Over (45.5) a 1* Best Bet.
Some Dr. Bob Trends: teams that allowed more than 35 points in their opening game are just 16-33 ATS at home in week 2 and in general home favorites that greater than 35 points in their previous game are only 93-139-2 ATS as a home favorite against an opponent coming off a loss the previous week, including 49-86-1 ATS if both teams are .500 or worse for the season – which is the case here. In addition the week 2 model favors the Cowboys, so Dallas +3 is a 1* Best Bet.
- Team Stats
- Game Log
- Cowboys
- Redskins
Pass
- Pass Plays 43.0 30.0
- Succ Pass Plays 46.5% 50.0%
- Sack Rate 0.0% 6.7%
- Int Rate 0.0% 3.6%
- Deep Pass Rate 23.3% 10.7%
- Big Pass Yards 9.3% 43.3%
- NYPP 5.3 6.8
Rush
- Rush Plays 30.0 24.0
- RB YPR 3.2 4.7
- Stuff Rate 23.3% 16.7%
- Succ Rush Plays 50.0% 50.0%
- Big Rush Yards 23.8% 44.2%
- Yards Per Rush 3.4 4.7
Game
- All Snaps 73.0 54.0
- Early Down Succ 44.6% 50.0%
- Succ Rate 47.9% 50.0%
- Big Yards Rate 13.7% 43.7%
- Yards Per Play 4.5 5.9
- Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Time Per Play (sec) 30.0 26.1
- Run Ratio 41.1% 44.4%
- Starting Field Pos 28.3 24.3
- Dominance Rating 1.8 -1.8
- Points 19.0 20.0