Game Analysis
The Cowboys have had the third most efficient offense (as measured by success rate and adjusted for strength of schedule), however they have pushed the ball deep with limited success, gaining only 26% of their pass yards from chunk yardage even with the Dak Attack airing it deep 18% of the time. The Niners defense has been more than respectable, however they are susceptible to the big plays giving up 50% of yardage through chunk pass plays. While the 49ers have had under a 40% offensive success rate (which is terrible), it has been against the likes of LA, CAR and SEA (teams in the top 12 of success rate allowed), and they have still found a way to put up an average of over 24 points a contest. The Cowboys defense continues its annual tradition of having a giving defense, allowing 6.3 yards per play, look for the fast paced Niners to have offensive success. The advanced stats model likes points to be scored, so the OVER (45) Cowboys at 49ers is a 1-Star Best Bet. In addition the model leans to Dallas laying the points on the road.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
33.7
41.3
-
Succ Pass Plays
54.0%
51.4%
-
Sack Rate
3.9%
3.6%
-
Int Rate
0.0%
1.9%
-
Deep Pass Rate
18.3%
17.0%
-
Big Pass Yards
26.0%
42.5%
-
NYPP
7.9
7.0
Rush
-
Rush Plays
33.7
18.7
-
RB YPR
3.6
5.4
-
Stuff Rate
20.7%
27.0%
-
Succ Rush Plays
57.7%
45.2%
-
Big Rush Yards
27.3%
61.9%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.9
4.8
Game
-
All Snaps
67.3
60.0
-
Early Down Succ
56.4%
52.6%
-
Succ Rate
56.2%
50.0%
-
Big Yards Rate
27.0%
46.2%
-
Yards Per Play
5.8
6.3
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.0%
1.1%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
31.2
25.0
-
Run Ratio
50.3%
31.7%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.9
27.2
-
Game Control
5.7
-5.7
Pass
-
Pass Plays
32.7
37.0
-
Succ Pass Plays
37.7%
41.5%
-
Sack Rate
1.8%
4.6%
-
Int Rate
3.2%
3.8%
-
Deep Pass Rate
15.4%
20.5%
-
Big Pass Yards
29.8%
49.4%
-
NYPP
5.3
6.9
Rush
-
Rush Plays
33.3
31.3
-
RB YPR
3.3
3.7
-
Stuff Rate
25.2%
24.1%
-
Succ Rush Plays
36.8%
38.1%
-
Big Rush Yards
37.3%
35.9%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.5
3.8
Game
-
All Snaps
66.0
68.3
-
Early Down Succ
39.0%
39.8%
-
Succ Rate
37.5%
39.5%
-
Big Yards Rate
35.7%
44.8%
-
Yards Per Play
4.5
5.4
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.9%
1.8%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
24.3
29.3
-
Run Ratio
50.4%
45.5%
-
Starting Field Pos
30.6
32.7
-
Game Control
-4.9
4.9
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
NYG |
19 – 20 L |
1.8 |
46.5% / 50.0% |
0.0% / 6.7% |
0.0% / 3.6% |
5.3 / 6.8 |
50.0% / 50.0% |
23.3% / 16.7% |
3.4 / 4.7 |
73 / 54 |
44.6% / 50.0% |
47.9% / 50.0% |
13.7% / 43.7% |
4.5 / 5.9 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
41.1% / 44.4% |
28.3 / 24.3 |
2 |
@WAS |
27 – 23 W |
1.7 |
52.9% / 51.1% |
11.8% / 4.3% |
0.0% / 2.2% |
8.2 / 7.4 |
50.0% / 58.8% |
26.7% / 17.6% |
3.4 / 4.8 |
64 / 64 |
51.0% / 56.9% |
51.6% / 53.1% |
33.4% / 49.5% |
5.9 / 6.8 |
1.6% / 0.0% |
46.9% / 26.6% |
27.7 / 31.0 |
3 |
CHI |
31 – 17 W |
13.6 |
62.5% / 53.2% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
10.3 / 6.7 |
73.2% / 26.7% |
12.2% / 46.7% |
4.9 / 4.9 |
65 / 62 |
73.6% / 51.0% |
69.2% / 46.8% |
33.8% / 45.4% |
6.9 / 6.3 |
1.5% / 3.2% |
63.1% / 24.2% |
30.7 / 26.3 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
LA |
28 – 0 W |
12.6 |
45.7% / 27.0% |
0.0% / 5.4% |
0.0% / 5.7% |
4.9 / 3.2 |
37.2% / 37.5% |
32.6% / 20.8% |
3.5 / 2.8 |
78 / 61 |
40.4% / 35.7% |
41.0% / 31.1% |
35.2% / 29.0% |
4.1 / 3.0 |
1.3% / 0.0% |
55.1% / 39.3% |
24.4 / 31.4 |
2 |
@CAR |
27 – 46 L |
-7.8 |
39.5% / 47.5% |
5.3% / 2.5% |
5.6% / 2.6% |
6.2 / 8.8 |
34.6% / 40.5% |
26.9% / 24.3% |
2.5 / 4.8 |
64 / 77 |
41.7% / 43.5% |
37.5% / 44.2% |
46.7% / 55.6% |
4.7 / 6.9 |
1.6% / 3.9% |
40.6% / 48.1% |
33.9 / 31.8 |
3 |
@SEA |
18 – 37 L |
-19.7 |
28.0% / 50.0% |
0.0% / 5.9% |
4.0% / 3.1% |
4.8 / 8.6 |
38.7% / 36.4% |
16.1% / 27.3% |
4.4 / 3.9 |
56 / 67 |
35.0% / 40.0% |
33.9% / 43.3% |
25.2% / 49.9% |
4.5 / 6.3 |
0.0% / 1.5% |
55.4% / 49.3% |
33.6 / 35.1 |