Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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The Cowboys have had the third most efficient offense (as measured by success rate and adjusted for strength of schedule), however they have pushed the ball deep with limited success, gaining only 26% of their pass yards from chunk yardage even with the Dak Attack airing it deep 18% of the time. The Niners defense has been more than respectable, however they are susceptible to the big plays giving up 50% of yardage through chunk pass plays. While the 49ers have had under a 40% offensive success rate (which is terrible), it has been against the likes of LA, CAR and SEA (teams in the top 12 of success rate allowed), and they have still found a way to put up an average of over 24 points a contest. The Cowboys defense continues its annual tradition of having a giving defense, allowing 6.3 yards per play, look for the fast paced Niners to have offensive success. The advanced stats model likes points to be scored, so the OVER (45) Cowboys at 49ers is a 1-Star Best Bet. In addition the model leans to Dallas laying the points on the road.

Team Stats
Game Log

Cowboys
49ers

DAL

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 33.7 41.3
Succ Pass Plays 54.0% 51.4%
Sack Rate 3.9% 3.6%
Int Rate 0.0% 1.9%
Deep Pass Rate 18.3% 17.0%
Big Pass Yards 26.0% 42.5%
NYPP 7.9 7.0

Rush

Rush Plays 33.7 18.7
RB YPR 3.6 5.4
Stuff Rate 20.7% 27.0%
Succ Rush Plays 57.7% 45.2%
Big Rush Yards 27.3% 61.9%
Yards Per Rush 3.9 4.8

Game

All Snaps 67.3 60.0
Early Down Succ 56.4% 52.6%
Succ Rate 56.2% 50.0%
Big Yards Rate 27.0% 46.2%
Yards Per Play 5.8 6.3
Fumble Lost Rate 1.0% 1.1%
Time Per Play (sec) 31.2 25.0
Run Ratio 50.3% 31.7%
Starting Field Pos 28.9 27.2
Game Control 5.7 -5.7

Points 25.7 20.0

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	NYG	19 – 20 L	1.8	46.5% / 50.0%	0.0% / 6.7%	0.0% / 3.6%	5.3 / 6.8	50.0% / 50.0%	23.3% / 16.7%	3.4 / 4.7	73 / 54	44.6% / 50.0%	47.9% / 50.0%	13.7% / 43.7%	4.5 / 5.9	0.0% / 0.0%	41.1% / 44.4%	28.3 / 24.3
2	@WAS	27 – 23 W	1.7	52.9% / 51.1%	11.8% / 4.3%	0.0% / 2.2%	8.2 / 7.4	50.0% / 58.8%	26.7% / 17.6%	3.4 / 4.8	64 / 64	51.0% / 56.9%	51.6% / 53.1%	33.4% / 49.5%	5.9 / 6.8	1.6% / 0.0%	46.9% / 26.6%	27.7 / 31.0
3	CHI	31 – 17 W	13.6	62.5% / 53.2%	0.0% / 0.0%	0.0% / 0.0%	10.3 / 6.7	73.2% / 26.7%	12.2% / 46.7%	4.9 / 4.9	65 / 62	73.6% / 51.0%	69.2% / 46.8%	33.8% / 45.4%	6.9 / 6.3	1.5% / 3.2%	63.1% / 24.2%	30.7 / 26.3

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	LA	28 – 0 W	12.6	45.7% / 27.0%	0.0% / 5.4%	0.0% / 5.7%	4.9 / 3.2	37.2% / 37.5%	32.6% / 20.8%	3.5 / 2.8	78 / 61	40.4% / 35.7%	41.0% / 31.1%	35.2% / 29.0%	4.1 / 3.0	1.3% / 0.0%	55.1% / 39.3%	24.4 / 31.4
2	@CAR	27 – 46 L	-7.8	39.5% / 47.5%	5.3% / 2.5%	5.6% / 2.6%	6.2 / 8.8	34.6% / 40.5%	26.9% / 24.3%	2.5 / 4.8	64 / 77	41.7% / 43.5%	37.5% / 44.2%	46.7% / 55.6%	4.7 / 6.9	1.6% / 3.9%	40.6% / 48.1%	33.9 / 31.8
3	@SEA	18 – 37 L	-19.7	28.0% / 50.0%	0.0% / 5.9%	4.0% / 3.1%	4.8 / 8.6	38.7% / 36.4%	16.1% / 27.3%	4.4 / 3.9	56 / 67	35.0% / 40.0%	33.9% / 43.3%	25.2% / 49.9%	4.5 / 6.3	0.0% / 1.5%	55.4% / 49.3%	33.6 / 35.1

Dallas Cowboys @

San Francisco 49ers

Sun, Oct 2

1:25 PM Pacific

Game Analysis