Game Analysis

NY GIANTS (-1) vs Dallas

· The Cowboys offense and the Giants defense have suffered among the most injuries in the NFL. Dallas is without QB Dak Prescott, LT Tyron Smith, LG Connor McGovern, and now TE Dalton Schultz will likely be sidelined. New York will not have CB Aaron Robinson (appendix surgery), DT Leonard Williams due to a sprained MCL, and starting edge duo Kayvon Thibodeaux/Azeez Ojulari did not suit up in the first two games.

· Backup quarterback Cooper Rush went for 7.2 yppp last Sunday but struggled outside of scripted snaps. Dallas scored just 3 points in the second half.

· Rush could benefit from an improved wide receiver group on Monday night. Cowboys WR Michael Gallup (knee) is getting a full slate of reps this week in practice and has a chance to make his season debut.

· Wide Receiver CeeDee Lamb is off to a slow start with only 103 yards in the first two weeks, but he will have a favorable matchup across from backup third round rookie cornerback Cordale Flott with starting CB Robinson not in uniform.

· Giants DT Leonard Williams had 4 pressures before being sidelined last week and fellow interior defender Dexter Lawrence ranks 19th in pass rushing efficiency. However, it is unlikely Lawrence will be able to sustain his efficiency due to the extra attention he will receive without Williams on the field.

· The Giants are 2-0 despite being outgained by a half yard per play. New York’s offense has no explosiveness, registering a league-low 3% of the plays going for 20+ yards.

· Daniel Jones will be in trouble throughout this game. Dallas edge rusher Micah Parsons ranks 2nd in pass rushing efficiency and the All-Pro will go against rookie RT Evan Neal.

· Jones will not be able to dump it off to Saquon Barkley when he faces pressure. The Cowboys allowed only 5.1 yards per target to running backs last season (6th). 

· Our model has the Giants by 1.3 with a predicted total of 38.9.