Chicago Bears
@ 
New York Giants
Game Analysis
Lean – Chicago (+3) over NY GIANTS
Lean Over (39.5)
· Chicago has only 235 TOTAL net passing yards in the first three weeks while half the NFL is averaging more than that per game. Chicago is gaining just 2.5 yppl on early down passes and the Bears lead the league with a three and out on 35% of its drives.
· However, this might be the one matchup all season I could see the Bears not be abysmal in the passing game. Wink Martindale’s defense is extremely aggressive with a 44% blitz rate (2nd-highest) making them vulnerable to RB screens. The Giants are surrendering 8.1 yards per target to opposing running backs (31st). Justin Fields leads the NFL with a 20% screen rate and that tendency should work for him today.
· Chicago has the 9th-rated ground game and New York’s rush defense ranks 26th according to our metrics.
· The Giants did not have a single snap in the Redzone last Monday night and I could see this offense being contained again this week. Daniel Jones has a 38% play action rate (6th) but Matt Eberflus coaches his linebackers to not bite on run fakes.
· Our model has the Giants by 1.6 points with a predicted total of 41.9 points.
- Team Stats
- Game Log
- Bears
- Giants
Pass
- Pass Plays 0.00 0.00
- Succ Pass Plays 0.0% 0.0%
- Sack Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Deep Pass Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Big Pass Yards 0.0% 0.0%
- NYPP 0.00 0.00
Rush
- Rush Plays 0.00 0.00
- RB YPR 0.00 0.00
- Stuff Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Succ Rush Plays 0.0% 0.0%
- Big Rush Yards 0.0% 0.0%
- Yards Per Rush 0.00 0.00
Game
- All Snaps 0.00 0.00
- Early Down Succ 0.0% 0.0%
- Succ Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Big Yards Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Yards Per Play 0.00 0.00
- Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Time Per Play (sec) 0.00 0.00
- Run Ratio 0.0% 0.0%
- Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
- Game Control 0.00 0.00
- Points 0.00 0.00