Game Analysis
Two teams and quarterbacks with arrows going in the opposite directions. While the Cardinals have one of the best defenses in the NFL, allowing only 5.6 NYPP and 4.7 yards per play, the once-explosive Arians’ offense has been in the ruts all season long as Carson Palmer seems to be in the twilight of his career, averaging only 5.9 NYPP ranking 23rd in the NFL. Kirk ‘You-like-that’ Cousins, is having a tremendous season under his franchise-tag, ranking as the #4 ranked passer in the league, with a 68% completion percentage and 20 TDs to only 7 INTs. The advanced stats model sees small value on the team from DC so it is a lean to Washington (+2.5) and OVER (49), both below model thresholds.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
40.8
38.2
-
Succ Pass Plays
53.6%
50.7%
-
Sack Rate
3.4%
7.1%
-
Int Rate
1.6%
1.6%
-
Deep Pass Rate
17.1%
15.5%
-
Big Pass Yards
42.2%
39.4%
-
NYPP
7.7
6.7
Rush
-
Rush Plays
25.7
25.5
-
RB YPR
4.3
4.4
-
Stuff Rate
19.1%
21.0%
-
Succ Rush Plays
49.7%
53.7%
-
Big Rush Yards
41.0%
43.7%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.3
4.6
Game
-
All Snaps
66.5
63.7
-
Early Down Succ
54.3%
54.1%
-
Succ Rate
51.8%
51.7%
-
Big Yards Rate
44.0%
42.4%
-
Yards Per Play
6.4
5.8
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.7%
0.9%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.7
28.1
-
Run Ratio
38.6%
40.2%
-
Starting Field Pos
27.8
26.9
-
Game Control
-0.5
0.5
Pass
-
Pass Plays
44.5
35.7
-
Succ Pass Plays
45.9%
42.2%
-
Sack Rate
6.3%
7.5%
-
Int Rate
2.6%
2.4%
-
Deep Pass Rate
19.2%
17.1%
-
Big Pass Yards
32.9%
41.6%
-
NYPP
5.9
5.6
Rush
-
Rush Plays
25.7
27.5
-
RB YPR
4.1
2.9
-
Stuff Rate
26.4%
25.6%
-
Succ Rush Plays
45.4%
40.6%
-
Big Rush Yards
42.3%
36.2%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.1
3.4
Game
-
All Snaps
70.3
63.3
-
Early Down Succ
47.7%
44.3%
-
Succ Rate
46.0%
42.1%
-
Big Yards Rate
35.7%
42.2%
-
Yards Per Play
5.3
4.7
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.8%
1.1%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.3
28.0
-
Run Ratio
36.3%
43.3%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.9
28.1
-
Game Control
-0.3
0.3
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
PIT |
16 – 38 L |
-6.2 |
48.8% / 60.5% |
0.0% / 2.6% |
4.7% / 2.7% |
7.7 / 7.6 |
58.3% / 65.6% |
25.0% / 12.5% |
4.6 / 4.6 |
55 / 70 |
58.1% / 64.7% |
50.9% / 62.9% |
25.0% / 59.2% |
7.0 / 6.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
21.8% / 45.7% |
30.1 / 27.3 |
2 |
DAL |
23 – 27 L |
-1.7 |
51.1% / 52.9% |
4.3% / 11.8% |
2.2% / 0.0% |
7.4 / 8.2 |
58.8% / 50.0% |
17.6% / 26.7% |
4.8 / 3.4 |
64 / 64 |
56.9% / 51.0% |
53.1% / 51.6% |
49.5% / 33.4% |
6.8 / 5.9 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
26.6% / 46.9% |
31.0 / 27.7 |
3 |
@NYG |
29 – 27 W |
-3.7 |
45.9% / 52.5% |
5.4% / 5.0% |
0.0% / 5.3% |
8.5 / 8.4 |
37.5% / 47.6% |
15.6% / 19.0% |
2.9 / 5.7 |
69 / 61 |
43.8% / 51.9% |
42.0% / 50.8% |
56.0% / 47.3% |
5.9 / 7.5 |
1.4% / 1.6% |
46.4% / 34.4% |
35.9 / 28.5 |
4 |
CLE |
31 – 20 W |
3.5 |
56.7% / 55.0% |
10.0% / 2.5% |
3.7% / 2.6% |
5.2 / 5.4 |
61.5% / 57.1% |
23.1% / 21.4% |
5.6 / 5.8 |
56 / 68 |
60.4% / 54.5% |
58.9% / 55.9% |
45.2% / 27.6% |
5.4 / 5.6 |
0.0% / 2.9% |
46.4% / 41.2% |
31.9 / 27.6 |
5 |
@BAL |
16 – 10 W |
-0.1 |
61.0% / 36.0% |
2.4% / 6.0% |
2.5% / 0.0% |
6.1 / 3.8 |
33.3% / 57.9% |
23.8% / 31.6% |
2.9 / 6.2 |
62 / 69 |
60.9% / 49.0% |
51.6% / 42.0% |
31.8% / 24.2% |
5.0 / 4.4 |
1.6% / 1.4% |
33.9% / 27.5% |
24.5 / 26.2 |
6 |
PHI |
27 – 20 W |
5.8 |
41.2% / 29.6% |
0.0% / 18.5% |
2.9% / 0.0% |
7.7 / 5.4 |
47.1% / 50.0% |
26.5% / 22.7% |
6.8 / 4.3 |
68 / 49 |
43.4% / 42.9% |
44.1% / 38.8% |
63.4% / 59.2% |
7.3 / 4.9 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
50.0% / 44.9% |
20.5 / 24.0 |
7 |
@DET |
17 – 20 L |
-2.7 |
56.1% / 50.0% |
4.9% / 9.4% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
6.9 / 7.8 |
55.2% / 52.6% |
10.3% / 15.8% |
4.6 / 4.9 |
70 / 51 |
54.5% / 54.8% |
55.7% / 51.0% |
33.3% / 51.2% |
6.0 / 6.7 |
2.9% / 0.0% |
41.4% / 37.3% |
25.8 / 25.3 |
8 |
@CIN |
27 – 27 T |
-0.1 |
50.9% / 48.9% |
1.8% / 6.7% |
1.8% / 2.4% |
7.8 / 5.8 |
50.0% / 63.9% |
18.8% / 8.3% |
3.2 / 4.2 |
89 / 81 |
54.4% / 54.5% |
50.6% / 55.6% |
40.8% / 24.1% |
6.1 / 5.1 |
0.0% / 1.2% |
36.0% / 44.4% |
25.0 / 26.3 |
10 |
MIN |
26 – 20 W |
3.4 |
58.8% / 60.5% |
2.9% / 7.0% |
0.0% / 2.5% |
7.6 / 6.6 |
51.7% / 42.9% |
6.9% / 42.9% |
4.4 / 2.2 |
63 / 64 |
59.2% / 57.7% |
55.6% / 54.7% |
28.3% / 45.6% |
6.2 / 5.2 |
1.6% / 0.0% |
46.0% / 32.8% |
28.2 / 28.5 |
11 |
GB |
42 – 24 W |
5.0 |
62.5% / 47.8% |
6.3% / 4.3% |
0.0% / 2.3% |
11.4 / 7.4 |
40.6% / 52.6% |
15.6% / 21.1% |
4.8 / 4.4 |
64 / 65 |
51.1% / 50.0% |
51.6% / 49.2% |
60.9% / 54.2% |
8.1 / 6.5 |
0.0% / 1.5% |
50.0% / 29.2% |
30.5 / 22.1 |
12 |
@DAL |
26 – 31 L |
-8.1 |
56.6% / 64.0% |
0.0% / 4.0% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
8.5 / 7.6 |
52.6% / 50.0% |
26.3% / 8.8% |
2.9 / 4.9 |
72 / 59 |
54.5% / 64.4% |
55.6% / 55.9% |
49.5% / 40.7% |
7.0 / 6.0 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
26.4% / 57.6% |
22.4 / 32.7 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
NE |
21 – 23 L |
-5.0 |
50.0% / 51.4% |
7.5% / 5.7% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
6.3 / 7.3 |
57.9% / 31.3% |
15.8% / 34.4% |
4.8 / 3.3 |
59 / 67 |
53.2% / 36.7% |
52.5% / 41.8% |
38.1% / 45.9% |
5.8 / 5.4 |
0.0% / 3.0% |
32.2% / 47.8% |
29.2 / 24.7 |
2 |
TB |
40 – 7 W |
16.6 |
50.0% / 40.0% |
2.8% / 5.5% |
0.0% / 7.7% |
8.8 / 4.0 |
34.5% / 40.9% |
20.7% / 22.7% |
3.5 / 3.9 |
65 / 77 |
43.1% / 42.6% |
43.1% / 40.3% |
55.0% / 19.5% |
6.4 / 4.0 |
0.0% / 1.3% |
44.6% / 28.6% |
28.8 / 25.7 |
3 |
@BUF |
18 – 34 L |
-12.1 |
40.0% / 27.6% |
9.1% / 13.8% |
8.0% / 4.0% |
4.7 / 3.0 |
40.9% / 51.4% |
31.8% / 25.7% |
4.0 / 6.0 |
77 / 64 |
42.6% / 47.8% |
40.3% / 40.6% |
27.0% / 80.9% |
4.5 / 4.7 |
1.3% / 0.0% |
28.6% / 54.7% |
32.3 / 33.8 |
4 |
LA |
13 – 17 L |
-1.3 |
44.9% / 40.6% |
6.1% / 6.3% |
6.5% / 0.0% |
6.2 / 7.7 |
40.0% / 12.5% |
24.0% / 29.2% |
4.7 / 1.8 |
74 / 56 |
42.6% / 25.6% |
43.2% / 28.6% |
44.5% / 68.9% |
5.7 / 5.2 |
2.7% / 1.8% |
33.8% / 42.9% |
27.2 / 30.3 |
5 |
@SF |
33 – 21 W |
4.9 |
34.5% / 42.1% |
3.4% / 18.4% |
0.0% / 6.5% |
4.0 / 3.6 |
53.8% / 66.7% |
15.4% / 19.4% |
4.5 / 4.2 |
68 / 74 |
54.2% / 59.3% |
45.6% / 54.1% |
52.4% / 24.1% |
4.3 / 3.9 |
0.0% / 1.4% |
57.4% / 48.6% |
39.9 / 18.3 |
6 |
NYJ |
28 – 3 W |
12.2 |
60.0% / 39.5% |
0.0% / 2.6% |
0.0% / 5.4% |
6.4 / 5.2 |
40.5% / 21.4% |
29.7% / 21.4% |
4.7 / 2.4 |
72 / 52 |
52.6% / 40.5% |
50.0% / 34.6% |
27.9% / 25.7% |
5.5 / 4.4 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
51.4% / 26.9% |
25.7 / 20.9 |
7 |
SEA |
6 – 6 T |
1.7 |
43.4% / 34.2% |
7.5% / 2.6% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
5.9 / 5.4 |
54.1% / 36.8% |
24.3% / 31.6% |
3.6 / 2.7 |
90 / 57 |
47.8% / 39.5% |
47.8% / 35.1% |
33.4% / 26.5% |
4.9 / 4.5 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
41.1% / 33.3% |
28.5 / 25.1 |
8 |
@CAR |
20 – 30 L |
-15.7 |
51.9% / 42.9% |
14.8% / 3.6% |
2.2% / 0.0% |
5.9 / 7.4 |
50.0% / 52.8% |
40.0% / 22.2% |
2.4 / 3.9 |
64 / 64 |
54.9% / 50.0% |
51.6% / 48.4% |
12.4% / 48.1% |
5.3 / 5.5 |
1.6% / 1.6% |
15.6% / 56.3% |
24.0 / 34.1 |
10 |
SF |
23 – 20 W |
6.5 |
52.0% / 45.5% |
4.0% / 9.1% |
4.2% / 0.0% |
7.3 / 6.0 |
34.8% / 39.3% |
39.1% / 28.6% |
3.5 / 3.0 |
73 / 61 |
44.1% / 41.9% |
46.6% / 42.6% |
40.6% / 53.7% |
6.1 / 4.6 |
2.7% / 1.6% |
31.5% / 45.9% |
23.2 / 30.5 |
11 |
@MIN |
24 – 30 L |
-6.4 |
35.7% / 43.3% |
9.5% / 6.7% |
5.3% / 0.0% |
3.7 / 4.8 |
57.1% / 40.0% |
14.3% / 24.0% |
4.8 / 2.9 |
70 / 55 |
48.2% / 43.6% |
44.3% / 41.8% |
35.5% / 29.4% |
4.1 / 4.0 |
0.0% / 1.8% |
40.0% / 45.5% |
32.6 / 30.1 |
12 |
@ATL |
19 – 38 L |
-4.4 |
42.6% / 56.8% |
4.3% / 8.1% |
2.2% / 2.9% |
5.8 / 6.6 |
35.7% / 53.1% |
35.7% / 21.9% |
4.1 / 3.7 |
61 / 69 |
41.7% / 60.0% |
41.0% / 55.1% |
26.2% / 42.0% |
5.4 / 5.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
23.0% / 46.4% |
26.8 / 36.1 |