Washington Commanders @

Detroit Lions

Sun, Sep 18
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 267
Odds: Detroit Lions -2, Total: 48.5

Game Analysis

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3-Star Best Bet Teaser – Washington +8.5 with Carolina +8.5

Washington (+2.5) over DETROIT

· This game has flipped favorites after the week 1 games despite the Commanders looking more impressive than the Lions last Sunday.

· Our game grades had Washington rated 0.9 points worse than average and Detroit graded 2.1 points worse than average.

· The Lions have followed a similar script under head coach Dan Campbell, making games closer in garbage time. Detroit was down by 17 against Philadelphia heading into the 4th quarter but managed to make the final score look respectable by scoring two TDs down the stretch. The Eagles had a win probability above 80% from the second snap of the 2nd half onwards.

· Jared Goff is going to face a ton of interior pressure this week. Lions starting guard Halapoulivaati Vaitai was deemed out at least four games in the preseason and early returns from backup RG Logan Stenberg were not promising. Stenberg surrendered 4 pressures last week and it could get worse for him on Sunday. Washington’s interior pass rushing trio Jonathan Allen, Montez Sweat and Daron Payne wreaked havoc on Jacksonville’s offensive line to the tune of 15 pressures, including three sacks.

· Commanders nickelback Benjamin St-Juste conceded just 28 yards from 5 targets against the Jaguars, and he will limit Amon-Ra St. Brown, who ranked 9th in yards per route run from the slot last week.

· Carson Wentz is good for one boneheaded play per game but overall he looked impressive in Scott Turner’s offense with 7.3 yppp.

· Washington WR Terry McLaurin averaged 1.81 yards per route run in 2021 (20th) and he has a mismatch across from CB Amani Oruwariye, who surrendered 69 receiving yards last week (14th-most).

· Our model has the Commanders by 0.9 with a predicted total of 49.2.

Washington is part of a 3-Star Best Bet 6-point teaser with Carolina (both at +7.5 or more).

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Commanders
  • Lions
WAS
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 0.00 0.00
  • Succ Pass Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Sack Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • NYPP 0.00 0.00



Rush


  • Rush Plays 0.00 0.00
  • RB YPR 0.00 0.00
  • Stuff Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rush Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Rush 0.00 0.00




Game

  • All Snaps 0.00 0.00
  • Early Down Succ 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Play 0.00 0.00
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 0.00 0.00
  • Run Ratio 0.0% 0.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control 0.00 0.00
 
  • Points 0.00 0.00
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