Game Analysis
Strong Opinion – PHILADELPHIA (-4.5) over Tennessee
· Tennessee is 1-4 versus teams with a winning record and 6-0 in the other games.
· The Titans cannot play from behind as the offensive line ranks 28th in pass blocking efficiency.
· Ryan Tannehill will be under pressure if the Eagles jump out to a lead. Philadelphia’s defense has an impressive 8.7% sack rate (4th).
· Tennessee’s offensive line is also blocking for only 0.8 yards before contact on running plays this season.
· Titans’ rookie WR Treylon Burks is averaging 9.3 yards per target but he will be limited by CB James Bradberry, who ranks 9th in coverage grade by PFF.
· The Eagles had 11 explosive runs of 10+ yards on their way to 363 rushing yards last Sunday night. Jalen Hurts set career-highs with 88 rushing yards on scrambles and 70 rushing yards on designed runs against the Packers.
· Tennessee’s defense is conceding a league-low 32.1% rush success rate and will force Hurts to be them through the air.
· Hurts is gaining just 5.3 yppp in two games without tight end Dallas Goedert, who is 2nd in the league averaging 0.74 EPA/target.
· This is a better matchup for Philadelphia’s wide receivers than the Packers and Colts though. AJ Brown is averaging 0.40 EPA/target (16th) and he will want to have a massive game after the Titans didn’t re-sign him this offseason.
· Tennessee interior defender Jeffery Simmons has 36 pressures (9th), but only two pressures in two games since coming back from a left ankle sprain and he will likely be contained again on Sunday. Eagles C Jason Kelce ranks 3rd in pass blocking efficiency and did not allow a single pressure last week.
· Our model makes Philadelphia an 8.7-point favorite with a predicted total of 46.3.
Philadelphia is a Strong Opinion at -5 or less.
- Team Stats
- Game Log
- Titans
- Eagles
Pass
- Pass Plays 0.00 0.00
- Succ Pass Plays 0.0% 0.0%
- Sack Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Deep Pass Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Big Pass Yards 0.0% 0.0%
- NYPP 0.00 0.00
Rush
- Rush Plays 0.00 0.00
- RB YPR 0.00 0.00
- Stuff Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Succ Rush Plays 0.0% 0.0%
- Big Rush Yards 0.0% 0.0%
- Yards Per Rush 0.00 0.00
Game
- All Snaps 0.00 0.00
- Early Down Succ 0.0% 0.0%
- Succ Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Big Yards Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Yards Per Play 0.00 0.00
- Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
- Time Per Play (sec) 0.00 0.00
- Run Ratio 0.0% 0.0%
- Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
- Game Control 0.00 0.00
- Points 0.00 0.00