Game Analysis
The Titans have shown the ability to put up points on anybody, as the past six games have seen Marcus Mariota & Co. put up an average of 34 points per game while going 4-2 in the process. The Polynesian Pride is quietly having a breakthrough sophomore year, ranking 5th in Net Yards per Pass with a 21/8 TD-INT ratio. The Titans are also buoyed by an elite rushing attack as Demarco Murray has regained his bulldozing form as the Titans rank 9th in yards per rush. The Colts have been the 30th ranked defense in terms of points given up, allowing 28 points a game and 6.2 yards per play, so even with the bye week there figures to be little resistance. On the other side of the ball Andrew Luck’s squad has managed to continue to find ways to score, averaging 27 points a contest going against a Titans defense that is ranked 25th by our numbers. The advanced stats model sees value on the Over, so OVER (52.5) is a Strong Opinion. Lean to Titans.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
33.1
41.4
-
Succ Pass Plays
48.1%
45.9%
-
Sack Rate
4.2%
7.2%
-
Int Rate
2.4%
2.6%
-
Deep Pass Rate
22.2%
20.0%
-
Big Pass Yards
44.1%
44.2%
-
NYPP
7.6
6.6
Rush
-
Rush Plays
30.5
22.6
-
RB YPR
4.4
3.8
-
Stuff Rate
20.1%
22.5%
-
Succ Rush Plays
48.8%
42.0%
-
Big Rush Yards
45.7%
40.0%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.7
4.1
Game
-
All Snaps
63.6
64.0
-
Early Down Succ
49.3%
46.8%
-
Succ Rate
48.1%
44.2%
-
Big Yards Rate
45.0%
44.4%
-
Yards Per Play
6.1
5.6
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.8%
0.3%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.9
27.8
-
Run Ratio
47.8%
35.5%
-
Starting Field Pos
27.7
27.0
-
Game Control
1.7
-1.7
Pass
-
Pass Plays
42.1
40.3
-
Succ Pass Plays
46.3%
51.2%
-
Sack Rate
8.6%
4.7%
-
Int Rate
2.1%
0.9%
-
Deep Pass Rate
20.7%
16.2%
-
Big Pass Yards
43.8%
33.7%
-
NYPP
6.3
7.1
Rush
-
Rush Plays
25.1
25.2
-
RB YPR
3.4
4.4
-
Stuff Rate
15.5%
18.5%
-
Succ Rush Plays
49.7%
49.2%
-
Big Rush Yards
28.7%
43.3%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.0
4.6
Game
-
All Snaps
67.2
65.6
-
Early Down Succ
49.9%
53.9%
-
Succ Rate
46.9%
50.9%
-
Big Yards Rate
40.4%
38.2%
-
Yards Per Play
5.4
6.2
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.5%
0.9%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.7
27.2
-
Run Ratio
37.4%
38.3%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.7
26.5
-
Game Control
-0.2
0.2
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
MIN |
16 – 25 L |
0.0 |
58.1% / 42.4% |
4.7% / 0.0% |
2.4% / 0.0% |
5.9 / 7.2 |
50.0% / 31.0% |
31.8% / 27.6% |
2.9 / 2.3 |
65 / 62 |
54.9% / 37.0% |
55.4% / 37.1% |
24.4% / 24.8% |
4.9 / 4.9 |
3.1% / 0.0% |
33.8% / 46.8% |
26.4 / 35.1 |
2 |
@DET |
16 – 15 W |
-6.0 |
47.2% / 36.4% |
8.3% / 9.1% |
3.0% / 2.5% |
6.2 / 5.4 |
48.0% / 43.5% |
20.0% / 21.7% |
5.6 / 6.0 |
61 / 67 |
50.0% / 37.3% |
47.5% / 38.8% |
49.7% / 57.6% |
6.0 / 5.6 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
41.0% / 34.3% |
17.2 / 26.3 |
3 |
OAK |
10 – 17 L |
-6.7 |
32.4% / 44.4% |
2.9% / 2.8% |
6.1% / 2.9% |
6.2 / 6.8 |
58.6% / 26.9% |
13.8% / 19.2% |
6.2 / 4.8 |
63 / 62 |
52.0% / 38.3% |
44.4% / 37.1% |
35.6% / 49.3% |
6.2 / 6.0 |
1.6% / 0.0% |
46.0% / 41.9% |
19.6 / 26.3 |
4 |
@HOU |
20 – 27 L |
-6.1 |
36.7% / 50.0% |
3.3% / 2.6% |
3.4% / 5.4% |
6.5 / 6.4 |
56.3% / 54.2% |
9.4% / 25.0% |
3.9 / 4.8 |
62 / 62 |
47.8% / 55.1% |
46.8% / 51.6% |
50.0% / 45.1% |
5.2 / 5.8 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
51.6% / 38.7% |
30.7 / 28.0 |
5 |
@MIA |
30 – 17 W |
5.7 |
37.9% / 37.5% |
0.0% / 25.0% |
0.0% / 11.1% |
5.6 / 6.2 |
59.1% / 47.1% |
18.2% / 11.8% |
5.4 / 3.0 |
73 / 41 |
58.2% / 43.3% |
50.7% / 41.5% |
42.5% / 64.0% |
5.5 / 4.9 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
60.3% / 41.5% |
34.9 / 21.2 |
6 |
CLE |
28 – 26 W |
6.2 |
57.7% / 43.8% |
7.7% / 12.5% |
4.2% / 0.0% |
10.4 / 6.3 |
37.5% / 33.3% |
25.0% / 40.0% |
4.3 / 2.7 |
58 / 63 |
46.5% / 44.7% |
46.6% / 41.3% |
47.8% / 42.8% |
7.0 / 5.4 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
55.2% / 23.8% |
32.7 / 20.8 |
7 |
IND |
26 – 34 L |
-3.1 |
48.7% / 53.7% |
7.7% / 4.9% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
5.3 / 8.3 |
67.9% / 53.8% |
10.7% / 11.5% |
4.4 / 3.2 |
67 / 67 |
55.8% / 60.4% |
56.7% / 53.7% |
32.0% / 50.0% |
4.9 / 6.3 |
1.5% / 0.0% |
41.8% / 38.8% |
23.1 / 27.0 |
8 |
JAC |
36 – 22 W |
17.5 |
60.9% / 53.6% |
0.0% / 3.6% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
12.2 / 5.8 |
37.2% / 45.5% |
23.3% / 36.4% |
5.0 / 4.4 |
66 / 67 |
41.2% / 54.7% |
45.5% / 52.2% |
56.1% / 35.1% |
7.5 / 5.5 |
0.0% / 1.5% |
65.2% / 16.4% |
31.4 / 24.2 |
9 |
@SD |
35 – 43 L |
-7.5 |
50.0% / 55.9% |
0.0% / 2.9% |
4.8% / 0.0% |
7.5 / 7.9 |
47.4% / 38.1% |
26.3% / 16.7% |
4.2 / 5.0 |
61 / 76 |
49.0% / 50.8% |
49.2% / 46.1% |
47.1% / 33.2% |
6.4 / 6.3 |
1.6% / 0.0% |
31.1% / 55.3% |
24.0 / 30.2 |
10 |
GB |
47 – 25 W |
17.4 |
51.7% / 41.7% |
6.9% / 8.3% |
0.0% / 3.6% |
9.8 / 5.6 |
25.8% / 46.2% |
22.6% / 15.4% |
5.3 / 5.3 |
60 / 73 |
37.2% / 46.3% |
38.3% / 42.5% |
64.4% / 42.3% |
7.5 / 5.5 |
0.0% / 1.4% |
51.7% / 17.8% |
36.9 / 30.8 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
1 |
DET |
35 – 39 L |
-6.8 |
46.9% / 62.5% |
4.1% / 2.5% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
7.5 / 8.3 |
73.7% / 56.0% |
10.5% / 16.0% |
4.3 / 4.7 |
68 / 65 |
53.8% / 63.0% |
54.4% / 60.0% |
35.3% / 30.5% |
6.6 / 6.9 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
27.9% / 38.5% |
22.8 / 23.3 |
2 |
@DEN |
20 – 34 L |
-4.5 |
37.8% / 58.8% |
11.1% / 2.9% |
2.5% / 3.0% |
3.8 / 7.8 |
50.0% / 54.8% |
4.5% / 22.6% |
3.8 / 4.3 |
67 / 65 |
42.0% / 59.3% |
41.8% / 56.9% |
28.7% / 30.3% |
3.8 / 6.2 |
1.5% / 0.0% |
32.8% / 47.7% |
26.7 / 24.8 |
3 |
SD |
26 – 22 W |
1.8 |
53.8% / 56.1% |
5.1% / 4.9% |
2.7% / 0.0% |
8.1 / 7.8 |
38.5% / 35.3% |
34.6% / 17.6% |
3.6 / 2.2 |
65 / 58 |
50.9% / 53.2% |
47.7% / 50.0% |
36.8% / 40.2% |
6.3 / 6.1 |
1.5% / 5.2% |
40.0% / 29.3% |
28.1 / 28.6 |
4 |
@JAC |
27 – 30 L |
-7.8 |
34.0% / 36.1% |
12.8% / 8.3% |
2.4% / 0.0% |
4.0 / 5.4 |
64.0% / 55.2% |
12.0% / 20.7% |
3.8 / 4.7 |
72 / 65 |
42.6% / 47.2% |
44.4% / 44.6% |
36.6% / 28.1% |
3.9 / 5.1 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
34.7% / 44.6% |
25.0 / 29.7 |
5 |
CHI |
29 – 23 W |
2.7 |
52.3% / 53.5% |
11.4% / 0.0% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
6.8 / 9.2 |
34.8% / 40.0% |
13.0% / 20.0% |
4.3 / 6.3 |
67 / 63 |
54.0% / 56.9% |
46.3% / 49.2% |
61.3% / 38.6% |
5.9 / 8.3 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
34.3% / 31.7% |
30.9 / 21.5 |
6 |
@HOU |
23 – 26 L |
8.0 |
51.4% / 50.0% |
8.6% / 2.5% |
3.1% / 2.6% |
6.6 / 6.4 |
46.9% / 48.3% |
18.8% / 27.6% |
5.0 / 5.5 |
67 / 69 |
53.8% / 51.8% |
49.3% / 49.3% |
49.5% / 49.2% |
5.9 / 6.0 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
47.8% / 42.0% |
32.5 / 22.4 |
7 |
@TEN |
34 – 26 W |
3.1 |
53.7% / 48.7% |
4.9% / 7.7% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
8.3 / 5.3 |
53.8% / 67.9% |
11.5% / 10.7% |
3.2 / 4.4 |
67 / 67 |
60.4% / 55.8% |
53.7% / 56.7% |
50.0% / 32.0% |
6.3 / 4.9 |
0.0% / 1.5% |
38.8% / 41.8% |
27.0 / 23.1 |
8 |
KC |
14 – 30 L |
-8.3 |
36.6% / 45.5% |
14.6% / 6.8% |
2.9% / 0.0% |
4.2 / 7.6 |
50.0% / 35.7% |
18.2% / 21.4% |
4.8 / 3.2 |
63 / 72 |
45.7% / 42.6% |
41.3% / 41.7% |
32.7% / 48.7% |
4.4 / 5.9 |
1.6% / 0.0% |
34.9% / 38.9% |
22.8 / 34.8 |
9 |
@GB |
31 – 26 W |
9.7 |
50.0% / 50.0% |
5.3% / 6.5% |
5.6% / 2.3% |
7.1 / 6.3 |
35.5% / 50.0% |
16.1% / 10.0% |
2.8 / 5.9 |
69 / 66 |
46.0% / 55.8% |
43.5% / 50.0% |
32.7% / 46.1% |
5.2 / 6.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
44.9% / 30.3% |
24.5 / 30.4 |