Game Analysis
The Bucs are coming off a bye and look to fix a team that has the 26th ranked offense in the NFL averaging a measly 4.6 YPP and 18.8 points per game. Defensively they have been just as terrible, giving up 5.9 YPP, ranking 24th in the league. San Francisco has lost five straight and Colin Kaepernick did not look like the answer last week against a soft Bills secondary, averaging only 5.2 NYPP. However, the Niners defense is better than the 31 points per game they are allowing, giving up only 5.4 Yards per play. The advanced stats model sees inefficient offenses as the value is with SF and the Under, so both Niners (+2.5) and UNDER (46.5) are leans.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
44.0
33.6
-
Succ Pass Plays
46.1%
51.3%
-
Sack Rate
5.5%
5.0%
-
Int Rate
3.6%
2.2%
-
Deep Pass Rate
22.4%
21.6%
-
Big Pass Yards
28.6%
47.9%
-
NYPP
5.8
7.9
Rush
-
Rush Plays
28.4
29.2
-
RB YPR
3.1
3.6
-
Stuff Rate
22.6%
21.9%
-
Succ Rush Plays
40.1%
44.2%
-
Big Rush Yards
32.0%
32.4%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.2
3.6
Game
-
All Snaps
72.4
62.8
-
Early Down Succ
45.7%
53.4%
-
Succ Rate
42.3%
48.6%
-
Big Yards Rate
29.4%
44.4%
-
Yards Per Play
4.6
5.9
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.8%
1.1%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
25.7
27.9
-
Run Ratio
40.0%
46.6%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.4
29.9
-
Game Control
-4.2
4.2
Pass
-
Pass Plays
32.0
34.2
-
Succ Pass Plays
39.8%
43.3%
-
Sack Rate
6.2%
5.5%
-
Int Rate
3.4%
1.9%
-
Deep Pass Rate
17.7%
17.0%
-
Big Pass Yards
32.6%
46.4%
-
NYPP
5.4
6.2
Rush
-
Rush Plays
32.5
37.3
-
RB YPR
3.4
4.4
-
Stuff Rate
26.0%
17.9%
-
Succ Rush Plays
45.3%
47.5%
-
Big Rush Yards
38.1%
43.4%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.8
4.5
Game
-
All Snaps
64.5
71.5
-
Early Down Succ
45.8%
49.3%
-
Succ Rate
42.6%
45.7%
-
Big Yards Rate
36.8%
46.3%
-
Yards Per Play
4.6
5.4
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.0%
1.3%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
24.4
28.4
-
Run Ratio
50.5%
51.8%
-
Starting Field Pos
27.7
32.7
-
Game Control
-3.9
3.9
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@ATL |
31 – 24 W |
4.7 |
57.6% /
50.0% |
0.0% /
7.1% |
3.0% /
0.0% |
8.5 /
7.7 |
28.1% /
30.4% |
21.9% /
30.4% |
2.9 /
2.3 |
65 /
65 |
51.0% /
50.0% |
43.1% /
43.1% |
48.3% /
43.2% |
5.7 /
5.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
49.2% /
35.4% |
23.8 /
30.8 |
| 2 |
@ARI |
7 – 40 L |
-16.6 |
40.0% /
50.0% |
5.5% /
2.8% |
7.7% /
0.0% |
4.0 /
8.8 |
40.9% /
34.5% |
22.7% /
20.7% |
3.9 /
3.5 |
77 /
65 |
42.6% /
43.1% |
40.3% /
43.1% |
19.5% /
55.0% |
4.0 /
6.4 |
1.3% /
0.0% |
28.6% /
44.6% |
25.7 /
28.8 |
| 3 |
LA |
32 – 37 L |
-0.7 |
50.0% /
40.7% |
3.3% /
3.7% |
1.7% /
3.8% |
6.5 /
6.8 |
65.2% /
57.6% |
17.4% /
21.2% |
3.7 /
4.2 |
83 /
60 |
55.6% /
51.1% |
54.2% /
50.0% |
30.9% /
43.4% |
5.7 /
5.3 |
1.2% /
1.7% |
27.7% /
55.0% |
28.5 /
28.9 |
| 4 |
DEN |
7 – 27 L |
-9.7 |
30.0% /
51.4% |
12.5% /
11.4% |
5.7% /
0.0% |
3.6 /
6.2 |
29.6% /
30.6% |
22.2% /
25.0% |
2.7 /
2.6 |
67 /
71 |
31.9% /
50.0% |
29.9% /
40.8% |
17.1% /
27.4% |
3.2 /
4.4 |
1.5% /
0.0% |
40.3% /
50.7% |
22.8 /
37.0 |
| 5 |
@CAR |
17 – 14 W |
1.6 |
53.1% /
64.3% |
6.3% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
7.1% |
6.3 /
9.9 |
36.8% /
68.0% |
28.9% /
12.0% |
3.0 /
5.4 |
70 /
53 |
47.2% /
72.7% |
44.3% /
66.0% |
31.3% /
52.9% |
4.5 /
7.8 |
0.0% /
3.8% |
54.3% /
47.2% |
31.1 /
23.9 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
LA |
28 – 0 W |
12.6 |
45.7% /
27.0% |
0.0% /
5.4% |
0.0% /
5.7% |
4.9 /
3.2 |
37.2% /
37.5% |
32.6% /
20.8% |
3.5 /
2.8 |
78 /
61 |
40.4% /
35.7% |
41.0% /
31.1% |
35.2% /
29.0% |
4.1 /
3.0 |
1.3% /
0.0% |
55.1% /
39.3% |
24.4 /
31.4 |
| 2 |
@CAR |
27 – 46 L |
-7.8 |
39.5% /
47.5% |
5.3% /
2.5% |
5.6% /
2.6% |
6.2 /
8.8 |
34.6% /
40.5% |
26.9% /
24.3% |
2.5 /
4.8 |
64 /
77 |
41.7% /
43.5% |
37.5% /
44.2% |
46.7% /
55.6% |
4.7 /
6.9 |
1.6% /
3.9% |
40.6% /
48.1% |
33.9 /
31.8 |
| 3 |
@SEA |
18 – 37 L |
-19.7 |
28.0% /
50.0% |
0.0% /
5.9% |
4.0% /
3.1% |
4.8 /
8.6 |
38.7% /
36.4% |
16.1% /
27.3% |
4.4 /
3.9 |
56 /
67 |
35.0% /
40.0% |
33.9% /
43.3% |
25.2% /
49.9% |
4.5 /
6.3 |
0.0% /
1.5% |
55.4% /
49.3% |
33.6 /
35.1 |
| 4 |
DAL |
17 – 24 L |
3.0 |
45.8% /
58.8% |
4.2% /
5.9% |
4.3% /
0.0% |
7.9 /
6.9 |
50.0% /
54.3% |
33.3% /
6.5% |
3.6 /
4.3 |
54 /
80 |
48.6% /
68.4% |
48.1% /
56.3% |
47.0% /
33.2% |
5.5 /
5.4 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
55.6% /
57.5% |
25.4 /
28.0 |
| 5 |
ARI |
21 – 33 L |
-4.9 |
42.1% /
34.5% |
18.4% /
3.4% |
6.5% /
0.0% |
3.6 /
4.0 |
66.7% /
53.8% |
19.4% /
15.4% |
4.2 /
4.5 |
74 /
68 |
59.3% /
54.2% |
54.1% /
45.6% |
24.1% /
52.4% |
3.9 /
4.3 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
48.6% /
57.4% |
18.3 /
39.9 |
| 6 |
@BUF |
16 – 45 L |
-6.8 |
37.5% /
41.9% |
9.4% /
9.7% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.2 /
5.8 |
44.8% /
62.2% |
27.6% /
13.3% |
4.6 /
7.0 |
61 /
76 |
50.0% /
54.1% |
41.0% /
53.9% |
42.9% /
57.7% |
4.9 /
6.5 |
1.6% /
2.6% |
47.5% /
59.2% |
30.7 /
30.2 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
@ 
San Francisco 49ers