Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Minnesota Vikings Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

Create an account to get analysis and updates sent to your inbox.

MINNESOTA (+1) vs Tampa Bay

The Buccaneers beat the Bears by 22 points but the game should’ve been much closer – Tampa Bay benefitted from 4 Chicago turnovers (one returned for a TD) and were actually outgained in yards per play. The Bears had to abandon the run early but the Buccaneers rush defense looked stout only allowing 1.3 yards/rush on 20 attempts. However, Tampa’s rush ranked 28th last season in my metrics and I doubt they’ll be able to sustain that kind of success. The Vikings will rely on rookie running back Dalvin Cook this week as quarterback Sam Bradford is expected to be inactive again.

Without Bradford against Pittsburgh, Minnesota’s offense turned in the second-worst offensive performance of week 2 in my numbers. Case Keenum couldn’t even manage 4 yppp – after Bradford put up 10.3 yppp in week 1. Keenum as a career yppp of 5.8 and I expect him to play better in week 3 than he faired against the Steelers.

The Vikings defense has been unlucky to be one of only 3 units without a takeaway thus far, but this might be the week to turn it around with Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston’s propensity for turnovers. Winston was 2nd in interceptions last year and also has a tendency to hold onto the ball too long which led to 10 fumbles (3rd most in NFL).

Team Stats
Game Log

Buccaneers
Vikings

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 33.0 46.0
Succ Pass Plays 48.5% 56.5%
Sack Rate 6.1% 2.2%
Int Rate 0.0% 4.4%
Deep Pass Rate 22.6% 8.9%
Big Pass Yards 10.8% 6.9%
NYPP 5.9 6.3

Rush

Rush Plays 36.0 16.0
RB YPR 3.3 1.3
Stuff Rate 11.1% 43.8%
Succ Rush Plays 36.1% 25.0%
Big Rush Yards 20.2% 0.0%
Yards Per Rush 3.3 1.3

Game

All Snaps 69.0 62.0
Early Down Succ 41.2% 50.0%
Succ Rate 42.0% 48.4%
Big Yards Rate 14.4% 6.5%
Yards Per Play 4.5 5.0
Fumble Lost Rate 1.4% 3.2%
Time Per Play (sec) 28.7 26.1
Run Ratio 52.2% 25.8%
Starting Field Pos 31.1 27.0
Game Control 18.1 -18.1

Points 29.0 7.0

MIN

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 36.5 37.5
Succ Pass Plays 48.1% 50.5%
Sack Rate 4.0% 4.0%
Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
Deep Pass Rate 26.6% 18.2%
Big Pass Yards 57.8% 40.5%
NYPP 7.0 6.9

Rush

Rush Plays 26.5 27.5
RB YPR 4.3 3.0
Stuff Rate 29.2% 17.4%
Succ Rush Plays 38.6% 34.9%
Big Rush Yards 55.5% 5.3%
Yards Per Rush 4.3 3.0

Game

All Snaps 63.0 65.0
Early Down Succ 43.8% 50.1%
Succ Rate 41.9% 45.0%
Big Yards Rate 56.6% 32.0%
Yards Per Play 5.6 5.3
Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 0.0%
Time Per Play (sec) 27.1 29.1
Run Ratio 41.7% 41.7%
Starting Field Pos 24.4 27.1
Game Control -1.4 1.4

Points 19.0 22.5

2017 Game Log	PASS	RUSH	GAMES
2	CHI	29 – 7 W	18.1	48.5% / 56.5%	6.1% / 2.2%	0.0% / 4.4%	5.9 / 6.3	36.1% / 25.0%	11.1% / 43.8%	3.3 / 1.3	69 / 62	41.2% / 50.0%	42.0% / 48.4%	14.4% / 6.5%	4.5 / 5.0	1.4% / 3.2%	52.2% / 25.8%	31.1 / 27.0

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2017 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	NO	29 – 19 W	6.6	63.6% / 60.5%	3.0% / 2.6%	0.0% / 0.0%	10.3 / 7.5	27.3% / 28.6%	33.3% / 14.3%	4.0 / 2.9	66 / 59	44.7% / 52.1%	45.5% / 49.2%	68.0% / 29.9%	7.2 / 5.8	0.0% / 0.0%	50.0% / 35.6%	24.9 / 22.4
2	@PIT	9 – 26 L	-9.3	32.5% / 40.5%	5.0% / 5.4%	0.0% / 0.0%	3.7 / 6.3	50.0% / 41.2%	25.0% / 20.6%	4.6 / 3.1	60 / 71	42.9% / 48.1%	38.3% / 40.8%	45.1% / 34.1%	4.0 / 4.7	1.7% / 0.0%	33.3% / 47.9%	23.9 / 31.8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @

Minnesota Vikings

Sun, Sep 24

10:00 AM Pacific

Game Analysis