Tampa Bay Buccaneers @

Cleveland Browns

Sun, Nov 27
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 257
Odds: Cleveland Browns +3.5, Total: 43

Game Analysis

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Strong Opinion – Under (43) – Tampa Bay (-3) vs CLEVELAND

· It looks like we’re going to get a wet and windy game in Cleveland this week with conditions between 2.5 and 3.5 points worse than average.

· This will be Jacoby Brissett’s last start and I doubt it will go well before Deshaun Watson takes over next week.

· Browns center Ethan Pocic (6th in pass blocking efficiency) is out and lack of communication could cause screw ups across Cleveland’s offense versus Todd Bowles creative blitzing scheme. Tampa Bay’s defense has a 29% blitz rate (8th).

· Brown backup center Hjalte Froholdt surrendered three pressures and a penalty along with some wayward snaps in relief of Pocic last Sunday. Froholdt will be under duress from Buccaneers DT Via Vea, whose 7 sacks rank 3rd among interior defenders.

· WR Amari Cooper caught eight passes for 113 yards and two touchdowns last week but he will be shut down in this game by Tampa Bay cornerback Jamel Dean, who ranks 8th in coverage grade by PFF.

· Tom Brady won’t be able to hit those deep sideline shots due to the weather and Chris Godwin will be blanketed underneath out of the slot. Cleveland nickelback Greg Newsome is allowing just 0.80 yards per cover snap in the slot (2nd) and should be cleared from concussion protocol this week.

· Our model favors the Buccaneers by 4.1 with a predicted total of 40.0 points and the matchups favor the under.

The Under is a Strong Opinion at 43 points or higher.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Buccaneers
  • Browns
TB
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 0.00 0.00
  • Succ Pass Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Sack Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • NYPP 0.00 0.00



Rush


  • Rush Plays 0.00 0.00
  • RB YPR 0.00 0.00
  • Stuff Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rush Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Rush 0.00 0.00




Game

  • All Snaps 0.00 0.00
  • Early Down Succ 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Play 0.00 0.00
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 0.00 0.00
  • Run Ratio 0.0% 0.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control 0.00 0.00
 
  • Points 0.00 0.00
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