Game Analysis
Lean – NEW YORK GIANTS (+5.5) over Seattle
Lean – Under (40)
The Giants won outright as a 13-point underdog in Denver last week as we cashed a Best Bet in a very contrary play. With new play-caller, Mike Sullivan, New York gained 4.6 yards per rush against the best run stopping unit in the league. The Giants will need a successful ground game moving forward without their best wide receivers and they have a good matchup this week against a Seattle defense surrendering nearly 5 yards per carry. The Seahawks defense has been quite fortunate to hold opponents to touchdowns on just 23% of redzone opportunities thus far, that’s 10% lower than any team in the last decade and I certainly expect Seattle to allow more redzone touchdowns moving forward. In other words, the Seahawks’ defense is not as good as it appears.
The Seahawks offense ranks 19th in yppl despite facing a soft schedule of defenses with no opponent in the top 10. The New York defense has faced two other below average offenses this season and held Detroit and Denver to 4.6 yppl and 5.5 yppl respectively. I expect the Seahawks to struggle to score in this game and I see value with the Giants again this week.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.2
37.2
-
Succ Pass Plays
46.8%
39.0%
-
Sack Rate
7.4%
5.8%
-
Int Rate
2.6%
2.8%
-
Deep Pass Rate
24.8%
20.6%
-
Big Pass Yards
35.7%
28.3%
-
NYPP
6.1
5.3
Rush
-
Rush Plays
28.4
26.6
-
RB YPR
3.2
4.6
-
Stuff Rate
30.0%
23.2%
-
Succ Rush Plays
35.7%
45.1%
-
Big Rush Yards
40.7%
49.5%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.9
5.0
Game
-
All Snaps
66.6
63.8
-
Early Down Succ
42.6%
43.2%
-
Succ Rate
42.0%
41.3%
-
Big Yards Rate
39.5%
41.2%
-
Yards Per Play
5.2
5.2
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.4%
1.2%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.0
28.4
-
Run Ratio
42.3%
41.8%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.0
27.5
-
Game Control
0.2
-0.2
Pass
-
Pass Plays
39.5
39.5
-
Succ Pass Plays
45.0%
40.6%
-
Sack Rate
7.8%
5.6%
-
Int Rate
2.1%
1.0%
-
Deep Pass Rate
10.3%
15.6%
-
Big Pass Yards
29.9%
34.3%
-
NYPP
5.7
6.2
Rush
-
Rush Plays
22.2
29.7
-
RB YPR
3.8
3.8
-
Stuff Rate
23.4%
21.5%
-
Succ Rush Plays
35.3%
44.2%
-
Big Rush Yards
45.3%
41.1%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.8
4.1
Game
-
All Snaps
61.7
69.2
-
Early Down Succ
44.8%
44.3%
-
Succ Rate
41.9%
42.3%
-
Big Yards Rate
34.7%
41.7%
-
Yards Per Play
5.1
5.4
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.3%
0.7%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.5
28.0
-
Run Ratio
36.1%
43.5%
-
Starting Field Pos
27.0
29.0
-
Game Control
-2.2
2.2
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@GB |
9 – 17 L |
-2.5 |
40.0% /
50.0% |
10.0% /
8.7% |
0.0% /
2.4% |
4.5 /
6.2 |
38.9% /
35.5% |
50.0% /
19.4% |
5.0 /
2.8 |
48 /
77 |
44.4% /
44.6% |
39.6% /
44.2% |
58.7% /
37.8% |
4.7 /
4.8 |
2.1% /
0.0% |
37.5% /
40.3% |
27.5 /
25.9 |
| 2 |
SF |
12 – 9 W |
2.0 |
33.3% /
20.7% |
7.1% /
6.9% |
0.0% /
3.7% |
4.3 /
3.1 |
37.2% /
52.6% |
20.9% /
21.1% |
3.1 /
8.4 |
85 /
48 |
37.5% /
38.9% |
35.3% /
33.3% |
23.7% /
49.2% |
3.7 /
5.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
50.6% /
39.6% |
23.9 /
24.5 |
| 3 |
@TEN |
27 – 33 L |
-4.9 |
50.0% /
51.6% |
2.0% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
7.3 /
7.3 |
40.9% /
44.4% |
31.8% /
22.2% |
3.1 /
5.4 |
72 /
67 |
51.8% /
54.9% |
47.2% /
47.8% |
38.8% /
44.9% |
6.0 /
6.3 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
30.6% /
53.7% |
23.3 /
29.6 |
| 4 |
IND |
46 – 18 W |
7.0 |
65.5% /
37.5% |
10.3% /
9.4% |
7.7% /
3.4% |
9.8 /
4.3 |
42.4% /
52.0% |
24.2% /
8.0% |
5.9 /
3.9 |
62 /
57 |
47.8% /
44.2% |
53.2% /
43.9% |
67.7% /
30.0% |
7.7 /
4.2 |
0.0% /
1.8% |
53.2% /
43.9% |
20.2 /
28.3 |
| 5 |
@LA |
16 – 10 W |
-0.8 |
45.0% /
35.4% |
7.5% /
4.2% |
5.4% /
4.3% |
4.5 /
5.7 |
19.2% /
40.9% |
23.1% /
45.5% |
2.4 /
4.5 |
66 /
70 |
31.3% /
33.3% |
34.8% /
37.1% |
8.7% /
44.3% |
3.7 /
5.4 |
0.0% /
4.3% |
39.4% /
31.4% |
35.2 /
29.2 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@DAL |
3 – 19 L |
-9.1 |
48.8% /
48.7% |
7.3% /
2.6% |
2.6% /
0.0% |
4.8 /
6.7 |
23.1% /
54.8% |
7.7% /
19.4% |
2.8 /
4.2 |
54 /
70 |
46.2% /
50.9% |
42.6% /
51.4% |
27.8% /
37.0% |
4.3 /
5.6 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
24.1% /
44.3% |
16.0 /
29.4 |
| 2 |
DET |
10 – 24 L |
-7.5 |
37.8% /
33.3% |
13.5% /
12.5% |
3.1% /
0.0% |
5.6 /
5.0 |
38.9% /
43.8% |
27.8% /
34.4% |
3.4 /
4.3 |
55 /
56 |
41.5% /
37.5% |
38.2% /
39.3% |
30.0% /
42.4% |
4.9 /
4.6 |
0.0% /
1.8% |
32.7% /
57.1% |
24.3 /
37.4 |
| 3 |
@PHI |
24 – 27 L |
-4.0 |
59.6% /
41.2% |
0.0% /
8.8% |
4.3% /
0.0% |
7.8 /
4.7 |
23.5% /
48.7% |
23.5% /
23.1% |
2.9 /
5.0 |
64 /
73 |
55.8% /
47.3% |
50.0% /
45.2% |
23.4% /
30.4% |
6.5 /
4.9 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
26.6% /
53.4% |
34.6 /
21.5 |
| 4 |
@TB |
23 – 25 L |
-5.2 |
49.0% /
48.7% |
0.0% /
2.6% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.9 /
8.3 |
35.7% /
42.3% |
28.6% /
19.2% |
3.3 /
4.3 |
77 /
65 |
44.1% /
56.3% |
44.2% /
46.2% |
27.4% /
57.3% |
4.9 /
6.7 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
36.4% /
40.0% |
27.7 /
29.9 |
| 5 |
LAC |
22 – 27 L |
2.4 |
34.1% /
36.4% |
12.2% /
0.0% |
2.8% /
2.3% |
4.5 /
5.9 |
72.0% /
31.3% |
12.0% /
21.9% |
6.1 /
3.9 |
66 /
76 |
54.0% /
34.0% |
48.5% /
34.2% |
46.3% /
36.2% |
5.1 /
5.1 |
1.5% /
0.0% |
37.9% /
42.1% |
28.2 /
29.0 |
| 6 |
@DEN |
23 – 10 W |
10.4 |
40.9% /
35.1% |
13.6% /
7.0% |
0.0% /
3.8% |
5.4 /
6.4 |
18.8% /
44.4% |
40.6% /
11.1% |
4.6 /
2.6 |
54 /
75 |
27.5% /
40.0% |
27.8% /
37.3% |
53.4% /
47.0% |
4.9 /
5.5 |
0.0% /
1.3% |
59.3% /
24.0% |
31.2 /
27.0 |
Seattle Seahawks
@ 
New York Giants