Game Analysis
LA RAMS (-7) vs Seattle
Matthew Stafford averaged 8.1 yards per pass play and had a 9.0-yard average depth of target in last Monday night’s win over the Cardinals, but the Los Angeles vertical game could be limited as the Seahawks have conceded just 11 completions on passes with at least 20 air yards this season (2nd). Odell Beckham averaged 2.57 yards per route run on Monday, and it looks like he’ll be able to play tonight. Having Beckham available helps but Stafford will still work the underneath routes to Cooper Kupp, who is averaging 3.29 yards per route run in the slot (2nd).
Seattle’s offensive line ranks 30th in pass blocking efficiency and Russell Wilson will be running for his life against this Rams defensive front just like Kyler Murray, who was pressured on half of his dropbacks last week. Tyler Lockett is averaging 2.46 yards per route run (5th) but he is out this week after being put on the Covid list.
Our model favors the Rams by 5.9 points, with a predicted total of 48.2 points.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
32.38
41.46
-
Succ Pass Plays
44.7%
53.2%
-
Sack Rate
9.3%
3.9%
-
Int Rate
1.3%
1.4%
-
Deep Pass Rate
21.8%
14.1%
-
Big Pass Yards
48.7%
29.6%
-
NYPP
6.36
6.73
Rush
-
Rush Plays
23.00
30.77
-
RB YPR
4.43
3.62
-
Stuff Rate
23.7%
22.8%
-
Succ Rush Plays
49.8%
51.5%
-
Big Rush Yards
46.9%
28.2%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.54
3.77
Game
-
All Snaps
55.38
72.23
-
Early Down Succ
52.0%
57.4%
-
Succ Rate
46.8%
52.5%
-
Big Yards Rate
48.1%
29.2%
-
Yards Per Play
5.60
5.47
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.7%
0.4%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.48
29.96
-
Run Ratio
41.5%
42.6%
-
Starting Field Pos
0.00
0.00
-
Game Control
1.21
-1.21
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.08
39.50
-
Succ Pass Plays
53.1%
47.7%
-
Sack Rate
4.2%
6.8%
-
Int Rate
2.1%
2.7%
-
Deep Pass Rate
21.5%
13.9%
-
Big Pass Yards
46.6%
33.6%
-
NYPP
7.55
6.03
Rush
-
Rush Plays
23.85
26.42
-
RB YPR
4.11
3.69
-
Stuff Rate
23.9%
25.9%
-
Succ Rush Plays
51.9%
49.8%
-
Big Rush Yards
35.8%
38.3%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.08
3.80
Game
-
All Snaps
61.92
65.92
-
Early Down Succ
56.4%
51.6%
-
Succ Rate
52.7%
48.5%
-
Big Yards Rate
44.0%
34.9%
-
Yards Per Play
6.21
5.14
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.4%
0.8%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.62
28.60
-
Run Ratio
38.5%
40.1%
-
Starting Field Pos
0.00
0.00
-
Game Control
2.92
-2.92
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2021 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@IND |
28 – 16 W |
7.55 |
57.7% /
48.8% |
11.5% /
7.3% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
9.27 /
5.44 |
66.7% /
60.0% |
14.8% /
13.3% |
5.19 /
3.77 |
53 /
71 |
69.0% /
60.0% |
62.3% /
53.5% |
51.0% /
9.9% |
7.19 /
4.73 |
1.9% /
1.4% |
50.9% /
42.3% |
32.70 /
23.18 |
| 2 |
TEN |
30 – 33 L |
5.49 |
41.2% /
53.5% |
8.8% /
7.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
9.41 /
7.44 |
55.6% /
52.5% |
22.2% /
22.5% |
4.28 /
5.30 |
52 /
83 |
51.3% /
57.6% |
46.2% /
53.0% |
58.6% /
31.3% |
7.63 /
6.41 |
0.0% /
1.2% |
34.6% /
48.2% |
29.75 /
23.92 |
| 3 |
@MIN |
17 – 30 L |
-2.14 |
55.9% /
69.2% |
5.9% /
2.6% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
8.32 /
8.03 |
55.6% /
47.1% |
11.1% /
23.5% |
5.89 /
4.12 |
52 /
73 |
63.4% /
57.6% |
55.8% /
58.9% |
39.6% /
36.1% |
7.48 /
6.21 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
34.6% /
46.6% |
21.78 /
24.63 |
| 4 |
@SF |
28 – 21 W |
1.52 |
30.8% /
46.5% |
11.5% /
4.7% |
0.0% /
2.4% |
4.96 /
7.30 |
46.4% /
62.1% |
28.6% /
10.3% |
3.75 /
4.93 |
54 /
72 |
43.2% /
62.3% |
38.9% /
52.8% |
38.6% /
32.5% |
4.33 /
6.35 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
51.9% /
40.3% |
34.93 /
21.17 |
| 5 |
LA |
17 – 26 L |
-1.13 |
51.4% /
55.3% |
5.7% /
2.6% |
6.1% /
2.7% |
7.49 /
9.42 |
56.0% /
44.8% |
12.0% /
37.9% |
3.68 /
4.07 |
60 /
67 |
58.3% /
56.4% |
53.3% /
50.7% |
44.8% /
57.8% |
5.90 /
7.10 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
41.7% /
43.3% |
23.58 /
25.42 |
| 6 |
@PIT |
20 – 23 L |
-3.85 |
45.9% /
43.9% |
13.5% /
2.4% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
4.46 /
5.51 |
63.0% /
53.3% |
25.9% /
23.3% |
5.33 /
3.97 |
64 /
71 |
62.0% /
51.8% |
53.1% /
47.9% |
48.4% /
22.7% |
4.83 /
4.86 |
1.6% /
1.4% |
42.2% /
42.3% |
27.14 /
31.23 |
| 7 |
NO |
10 – 13 L |
1.81 |
29.6% /
48.6% |
18.5% /
5.4% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
4.78 /
5.68 |
35.7% /
41.9% |
28.6% /
25.8% |
3.21 /
3.03 |
55 /
68 |
38.5% /
50.9% |
32.7% /
45.6% |
58.4% /
26.6% |
3.98 /
4.47 |
0.0% /
1.5% |
50.9% /
45.6% |
24.18 /
30.36 |
| 8 |
JAX |
31 – 7 W |
14.52 |
51.9% /
52.7% |
11.1% /
1.8% |
0.0% /
1.9% |
5.93 /
4.13 |
44.0% /
47.4% |
32.0% /
10.5% |
2.76 /
4.32 |
52 /
74 |
53.8% /
57.1% |
48.1% /
51.4% |
36.0% /
4.4% |
4.40 /
4.18 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
48.1% /
25.7% |
34.11 /
22.09 |
| 10 |
@GB |
0 – 17 L |
-3.45 |
34.9% /
47.4% |
7.0% /
2.6% |
5.0% /
2.7% |
3.09 /
7.55 |
62.5% /
59.4% |
12.5% /
15.6% |
4.69 /
3.31 |
59 /
70 |
42.9% /
55.6% |
42.4% /
52.9% |
21.2% /
46.0% |
3.53 /
5.61 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
27.1% /
45.7% |
29.20 /
20.22 |
| 11 |
ARZ |
13 – 23 L |
-6.14 |
43.3% /
58.7% |
13.3% /
4.3% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.00 /
6.91 |
57.9% /
51.5% |
26.3% /
30.3% |
4.53 /
2.88 |
49 /
79 |
61.1% /
58.1% |
49.0% /
55.7% |
52.2% /
30.3% |
5.43 /
5.23 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
38.8% /
41.8% |
27.30 /
25.30 |
| 12 |
@WAS |
15 – 17 L |
-2.28 |
42.4% /
63.9% |
6.1% /
2.8% |
0.0% /
2.9% |
7.06 /
6.08 |
16.7% /
48.8% |
33.3% /
20.9% |
2.83 /
3.53 |
45 /
79 |
37.5% /
60.3% |
35.6% /
55.7% |
49.1% /
15.2% |
5.93 /
4.70 |
2.2% /
0.0% |
26.7% /
54.4% |
19.00 /
26.83 |
| 13 |
SF |
30 – 23 W |
0.29 |
43.9% /
51.6% |
9.8% /
3.2% |
2.7% /
6.7% |
4.41 /
9.48 |
29.6% /
56.0% |
29.6% /
28.0% |
5.41 /
2.84 |
68 /
56 |
39.6% /
59.1% |
38.2% /
53.6% |
44.0% /
40.5% |
4.81 /
6.52 |
2.9% /
0.0% |
39.7% /
44.6% |
36.62 /
24.83 |
| 14 |
@HST |
33 – 13 W |
3.60 |
53.6% /
52.9% |
0.0% /
3.9% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
9.29 /
6.22 |
51.7% /
44.0% |
27.6% /
32.0% |
6.66 /
2.52 |
57 /
76 |
52.3% /
59.3% |
52.6% /
50.0% |
66.7% /
10.2% |
7.95 /
5.00 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
50.9% /
32.9% |
0.00 /
0.00 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2021 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
CHI |
34 – 14 W |
10.93 |
55.6% /
55.8% |
3.7% /
7.0% |
0.0% /
2.5% |
11.56 /
4.37 |
47.8% /
61.5% |
34.8% /
26.9% |
3.22 /
5.15 |
50 /
69 |
51.4% /
66.0% |
52.0% /
58.0% |
44.3% /
18.6% |
7.72 /
4.67 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
46.0% /
37.7% |
32.44 /
28.38 |
| 2 |
@IND |
27 – 24 W |
3.60 |
58.1% /
46.2% |
3.2% /
7.7% |
3.3% /
5.6% |
8.71 /
6.28 |
50.0% /
53.8% |
21.4% /
23.1% |
3.61 /
4.19 |
59 /
65 |
59.2% /
51.9% |
54.2% /
49.2% |
40.6% /
36.2% |
6.29 /
5.45 |
1.7% /
0.0% |
47.5% /
40.0% |
24.40 /
29.70 |
| 3 |
TB |
34 – 24 W |
8.05 |
56.4% /
55.2% |
2.6% /
5.2% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
8.49 /
7.09 |
45.8% /
46.2% |
29.2% /
23.1% |
3.17 /
2.69 |
63 /
71 |
48.9% /
58.5% |
52.4% /
53.5% |
53.9% /
32.8% |
6.46 /
6.28 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
38.1% /
18.3% |
33.80 /
21.00 |
| 4 |
ARZ |
20 – 37 L |
-10.09 |
56.1% /
62.9% |
0.0% /
8.6% |
2.4% /
0.0% |
6.83 /
7.11 |
69.6% /
57.5% |
17.4% /
27.5% |
5.26 /
5.40 |
64 /
75 |
63.5% /
60.7% |
60.9% /
60.0% |
29.4% /
49.4% |
6.27 /
6.20 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
35.9% /
53.3% |
28.50 /
25.50 |
| 5 |
@SEA |
26 – 17 W |
1.13 |
55.3% /
51.4% |
2.6% /
5.7% |
2.7% /
6.1% |
9.42 /
7.49 |
44.8% /
56.0% |
37.9% /
12.0% |
4.07 /
3.68 |
67 /
60 |
56.4% /
58.3% |
50.7% /
53.3% |
57.8% /
44.8% |
7.10 /
5.90 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
43.3% /
41.7% |
25.42 /
23.58 |
| 6 |
@NYG |
38 – 11 W |
15.52 |
62.5% /
36.4% |
6.3% /
7.3% |
6.7% /
5.9% |
7.31 /
3.65 |
52.9% /
38.9% |
20.6% /
27.8% |
3.85 /
3.33 |
66 /
73 |
64.2% /
41.2% |
57.6% /
37.0% |
34.8% /
4.6% |
5.53 /
3.58 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
51.5% /
24.7% |
40.23 /
22.83 |
| 7 |
DET |
28 – 19 W |
-1.35 |
54.8% /
46.2% |
2.4% /
5.1% |
0.0% /
5.4% |
7.79 /
7.13 |
36.8% /
42.9% |
31.6% /
25.0% |
2.47 /
4.89 |
61 /
67 |
44.7% /
45.8% |
49.2% /
44.8% |
44.4% /
52.1% |
6.13 /
6.19 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
31.1% /
41.8% |
23.22 /
29.89 |
| 8 |
@HST |
38 – 22 W |
18.65 |
54.3% /
45.5% |
2.9% /
11.4% |
0.0% /
2.6% |
8.63 /
6.34 |
61.3% /
50.0% |
12.9% /
35.7% |
5.32 /
3.14 |
66 /
58 |
64.2% /
52.3% |
57.6% /
46.6% |
54.3% /
46.0% |
7.08 /
5.57 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
47.0% /
24.1% |
30.55 /
26.69 |
| 9 |
TEN |
16 – 28 L |
-9.58 |
43.4% /
40.0% |
9.4% /
10.0% |
4.2% /
3.7% |
4.77 /
4.17 |
52.4% /
53.8% |
19.0% /
19.2% |
4.48 /
2.65 |
74 /
56 |
52.8% /
51.3% |
45.9% /
46.4% |
27.1% /
11.8% |
4.69 /
3.46 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
28.4% /
46.4% |
20.91 /
36.55 |
| 10 |
@SF |
7 – 31 L |
-12.03 |
43.2% /
55.0% |
4.5% /
5.0% |
4.8% /
0.0% |
5.14 /
8.95 |
60.0% /
50.0% |
10.0% /
29.5% |
5.20 /
3.55 |
54 /
64 |
53.7% /
50.0% |
46.3% /
51.6% |
36.4% /
32.8% |
5.15 /
5.23 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
18.5% /
68.8% |
24.40 /
25.56 |
| 12 |
@GB |
28 – 36 L |
-6.32 |
46.3% /
41.3% |
4.9% /
2.2% |
2.6% /
0.0% |
6.95 /
6.67 |
50.0% /
50.0% |
20.0% /
21.9% |
3.40 /
2.88 |
61 /
78 |
54.3% /
45.6% |
47.5% /
44.9% |
41.9% /
38.1% |
5.79 /
5.12 |
1.6% /
2.6% |
32.8% /
41.0% |
24.71 /
39.54 |
| 13 |
JAX |
37 – 7 W |
14.25 |
59.0% /
40.0% |
2.6% /
6.7% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
7.44 /
4.53 |
59.3% /
28.0% |
18.5% /
40.0% |
4.74 /
2.44 |
66 /
55 |
63.5% /
31.7% |
59.1% /
34.5% |
42.8% /
24.8% |
6.33 /
3.58 |
0.0% /
3.6% |
40.9% /
45.5% |
28.40 /
27.09 |
| 14 |
@ARZ |
30 – 23 W |
5.20 |
54.5% /
0.0% |
9.1% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
8.09 /
0.00 |
42.9% /
0.0% |
33.3% /
0.0% |
4.24 /
0.00 |
54 /
0 |
51.2% /
0.0% |
50.0% /
0.0% |
56.1% /
0.0% |
6.59 /
0.00 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
38.9% /
0.0% |
0.00 /
0.00 |
Seattle Seahawks
@ 
Los Angeles Rams