Game Analysis
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Opinion – GREEN BAY (-3) over Seattle
These are two of my highest rated NFC teams and this game is a possible preview of the NFC Championship game, I think the line is fair, but week 1 teams with the worse win percentage the previous year are 150-96-10 ATS since 1999 and this game applies to a 35-13-2 ATS subset of that trend so I’ll lean Packers -3.
- Team Stats
- Game Log
- Seahawks
- Packers
SEA
Offense
Defense
Pass
- Pass Plays 37.4 36.2
- Succ Pass Plays 48.7% 43.3%
- Sack Rate 7.1% 7.0%
- Int Rate 2.2% 1.7%
- Deep Pass Rate 19.8% 21.6%
- Big Pass Yards 39.9% 42.7%
- NYPP 6.9 6.5
Rush
- Rush Plays 26.9 27.8
- RB YPR 3.7 3.2
- Stuff Rate 25.6% 24.5%
- Succ Rush Plays 42.9% 42.2%
- Big Rush Yards 42.3% 36.7%
- Yards Per Rush 3.9 3.3
Game
- All Snaps 64.3 64.0
- Early Down Succ 49.3% 45.7%
- Succ Rate 45.8% 42.6%
- Big Yards Rate 41.8% 41.5%
- Yards Per Play 5.6 5.0
- Fumble Lost Rate 0.6% 0.7%
- Time Per Play (sec) 28.2 28.6
- Run Ratio 41.5% 43.3%
- Starting Field Pos 29.0 28.0
- Game Control 2.0 -2.0
- Points 22.2 18.6
GB
Offense
Defense
Pass
- Pass Plays 41.6 38.7
- Succ Pass Plays 49.5% 49.9%
- Sack Rate 5.7% 6.1%
- Int Rate 1.2% 2.7%
- Deep Pass Rate 22.5% 20.5%
- Big Pass Yards 43.1% 40.1%
- NYPP 6.6 7.2
Rush
- Rush Plays 23.8 24.1
- RB YPR 3.9 3.9
- Stuff Rate 20.4% 23.1%
- Succ Rush Plays 45.1% 44.4%
- Big Rush Yards 44.7% 38.1%
- Yards Per Rush 4.5 4.0
Game
- All Snaps 65.5 62.8
- Early Down Succ 49.7% 48.8%
- Succ Rate 47.5% 47.4%
- Big Yards Rate 45.0% 40.7%
- Yards Per Play 5.7 5.9
- Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 0.7%
- Time Per Play (sec) 28.6 27.6
- Run Ratio 36.7% 38.4%
- Starting Field Pos 29.0 28.0
- Game Control 1.7 -1.7
- Points 27.6 25.2
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log | PASS | RUSH | GAMES | |||||||||||||||
Wk | Opp | Score | Game Control | Succ Pass Plays | Sack Rate | Int Rate | NYPP | Succ Rush Plays | Stuff Rate | Yds per Rush | All Snaps | Early Down Succ | Succ Rate | Big Yards Rate | Yds per Play | Fum Lost Rate | Run Ratio | Starting Field Pos |
1 | MIA | 12 – 10 W | 1.6 | 50.0% / 21.2% |
6.5% / 12.1% |
2.3% / 0.0% |
5.2 / 4.8 |
50.0% / 35.0% |
21.9% / 30.0% |
3.5 / 3.2 |
78 / 53 |
54.2% / 28.2% |
50.0% / 26.4% |
19.6% / 53.2% |
4.5 / 4.2 |
1.3% / 0.0% |
41.0% / 37.7% |
22.5 / 32.1 |
2 | @LA | 3 – 9 L | -2.9 | 37.8% / 39.4% |
5.4% / 9.1% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
6.5 / 6.6 |
33.3% / 29.6% |
45.8% / 25.9% |
2.8 / 2.4 |
61 / 60 |
37.5% / 40.9% |
36.1% / 35.0% |
44.8% / 41.4% |
5.0 / 4.8 |
3.3% / 0.0% |
39.3% / 45.0% |
17.0 / 23.7 |
3 | SF | 37 – 18 W | 19.7 | 50.0% / 28.0% |
5.9% / 0.0% |
3.1% / 4.0% |
8.6 / 4.8 |
36.4% / 38.7% |
27.3% / 16.1% |
3.9 / 4.4 |
67 / 56 |
40.0% / 35.0% |
43.3% / 33.9% |
49.9% / 25.2% |
6.3 / 4.5 |
1.5% / 0.0% |
49.3% / 55.4% |
35.1 / 33.6 |
4 | @NYJ | 27 – 17 W | 5.2 | 61.8% / 40.0% |
5.9% / 8.9% |
0.0% / 7.3% |
8.5 / 5.5 |
31.0% / 30.0% |
31.0% / 25.0% |
2.4 / 2.9 |
63 / 65 |
57.4% / 32.7% |
47.6% / 36.9% |
56.3% / 16.7% |
5.7 / 4.7 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
46.0% / 30.8% |
32.8 / 20.3 |
6 | ATL | 26 – 24 W | 2.4 | 60.5% / 45.7% |
2.6% / 8.7% |
0.0% / 2.4% |
6.9 / 6.7 |
41.9% / 44.4% |
16.1% / 22.2% |
2.4 / 2.9 |
69 / 64 |
63.3% / 49.0% |
52.2% / 45.3% |
20.8% / 40.9% |
4.9 / 5.7 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
44.9% / 28.1% |
37.4 / 21.0 |
7 | @ARI | 6 – 6 T | -1.7 | 34.2% / 43.4% |
2.6% / 7.5% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
5.4 / 5.9 |
36.8% / 54.1% |
31.6% / 24.3% |
2.7 / 3.6 |
57 / 90 |
39.5% / 47.8% |
35.1% / 47.8% |
26.5% / 33.4% |
4.5 / 4.9 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
33.3% / 41.1% |
25.1 / 28.5 |
8 | @NO | 20 – 25 L | 2.7 | 48.6% / 62.2% |
2.9% / 5.4% |
2.9% / 0.0% |
8.1 / 6.8 |
76.5% / 40.0% |
17.6% / 14.3% |
4.4 / 3.5 |
52 / 72 |
61.0% / 49.1% |
57.7% / 51.4% |
35.1% / 28.8% |
6.9 / 5.2 |
0.0% / 1.4% |
32.7% / 48.6% |
27.1 / 26.9 |
9 | BUF | 31 – 25 W | 4.1 | 63.3% / 55.8% |
13.3% / 11.6% |
0.0% / 2.6% |
8.2 / 6.1 |
38.5% / 57.9% |
38.5% / 15.8% |
2.6 / 4.3 |
43 / 81 |
64.7% / 54.0% |
55.8% / 56.8% |
29.7% / 30.6% |
6.5 / 5.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
30.2% / 46.9% |
30.6 / 31.4 |
10 | @NE | 31 – 24 W | 1.0 | 57.5% / 55.9% |
7.5% / 5.9% |
0.0% / 3.1% |
8.1 / 8.9 |
46.2% / 53.6% |
19.2% / 28.6% |
3.7 / 2.9 |
66 / 62 |
53.7% / 54.9% |
53.0% / 54.8% |
39.8% / 44.2% |
6.4 / 6.2 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
39.4% / 45.2% |
28.5 / 26.1 |
11 | PHI | 26 – 15 W | 9.7 | 45.5% / 46.8% |
3.0% / 4.3% |
0.0% / 4.4% |
8.7 / 4.1 |
29.4% / 61.5% |
20.6% / 23.1% |
4.6 / 4.3 |
67 / 73 |
43.5% / 57.4% |
37.3% / 52.1% |
57.2% / 30.5% |
6.6 / 4.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
50.7% / 35.6% |
32.4 / 23.4 |
12 | @TB | 5 – 14 L | -10.5 | 30.8% / 53.6% |
15.4% / 0.0% |
6.1% / 3.6% |
3.0 / 7.9 |
54.5% / 41.0% |
13.6% / 17.9% |
5.8 / 3.1 |
61 / 67 |
44.9% / 54.0% |
39.3% / 46.3% |
30.6% / 31.4% |
4.0 / 5.1 |
1.6% / 1.5% |
36.1% / 58.2% |
21.5 / 33.2 |
13 | CAR | 40 – 7 W | 17.3 | 52.4% / 30.3% |
7.1% / 0.0% |
2.6% / 3.0% |
7.0 / 5.5 |
44.8% / 42.9% |
27.6% / 33.3% |
8.3 / 4.2 |
71 / 54 |
50.0% / 34.1% |
49.3% / 35.2% |
62.5% / 51.3% |
7.5 / 5.0 |
0.0% / 1.9% |
40.8% / 38.9% |
29.5 / 30.5 |
14 | @GB | 10 – 38 L | -16.0 | 47.6% / 53.8% |
7.1% / 3.8% |
12.8% / 0.0% |
5.2 / 9.1 |
57.7% / 36.4% |
11.5% / 27.3% |
5.2 / 2.9 |
68 / 59 |
52.7% / 53.7% |
51.5% / 44.1% |
32.5% / 56.2% |
5.2 / 5.6 |
1.5% / 0.0% |
38.2% / 55.9% |
26.2 / 39.6 |
15 | LA | 24 – 3 W | 9.4 | 46.4% / 30.8% |
7.1% / 10.3% |
3.8% / 0.0% |
8.1 / 3.5 |
27.3% / 29.4% |
36.4% / 47.1% |
2.3 / 2.8 |
61 / 56 |
35.0% / 35.0% |
36.1% / 30.4% |
51.3% / 50.3% |
5.0 / 3.3 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
54.1% / 30.4% |
33.8 / 21.1 |
16 | ARI | 31 – 34 L | -7.1 | 45.1% / 39.3% |
11.8% / 3.6% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
6.1 / 9.9 |
44.4% / 43.3% |
37.0% / 33.3% |
2.9 / 3.2 |
78 / 58 |
45.8% / 48.9% |
44.9% / 41.4% |
50.4% / 70.9% |
5.0 / 6.4 |
1.3% / 1.7% |
34.6% / 51.7% |
34.9 / 30.1 |
17 | @SF | 25 – 23 W | 1.5 | 45.0% / 40.7% |
5.0% / 18.5% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
7.2 / 7.1 |
28.6% / 45.5% |
28.6% / 27.3% |
3.2 / 1.9 |
68 / 60 |
46.0% / 50.0% |
38.2% / 43.3% |
51.1% / 59.4% |
5.6 / 4.2 |
0.0% / 3.3% |
41.2% / 55.0% |
33.8 / 27.6 |
18 | DET | 26 – 6 W | 5.7 | 54.5% / 40.0% |
9.1% / 8.6% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
6.4 / 5.2 |
46.3% / 33.3% |
17.1% / 13.3% |
4.4 / 3.3 |
74 / 50 |
52.0% / 45.9% |
50.0% / 38.0% |
41.8% / 45.0% |
5.3 / 4.6 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
55.4% / 30.0% |
27.0 / 19.9 |
19 | @ATL | 20 – 36 L | -6.7 | 45.5% / 52.5% |
9.1% / 7.5% |
6.7% / 0.0% |
6.3 / 8.1 |
47.6% / 43.8% |
19.0% / 15.6% |
4.8 / 3.2 |
54 / 72 |
46.5% / 52.7% |
46.3% / 48.6% |
52.1% / 37.6% |
5.7 / 5.9 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
38.9% / 44.4% |
26.0 / 35.4 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log | PASS | RUSH | GAMES | |||||||||||||||
Wk | Opp | Score | Game Control | Succ Pass Plays | Sack Rate | Int Rate | NYPP | Succ Rush Plays | Stuff Rate | Yds per Rush | All Snaps | Early Down Succ | Succ Rate | Big Yards Rate | Yds per Play | Fum Lost Rate | Run Ratio | Starting Field Pos |
1 | @JAC | 27 – 23 W | 3.3 | 44.1% / 42.9% |
2.9% / 7.1% |
0.0% / 2.6% |
5.9 / 7.1 |
42.3% / 40.7% |
19.2% / 33.3% |
3.7 / 1.8 |
60 / 69 |
41.9% / 45.8% |
43.3% / 42.0% |
37.6% / 49.0% |
4.9 / 5.1 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
43.3% / 39.1% |
23.5 / 30.6 |
2 | @MIN | 14 – 17 L | -1.0 | 39.0% / 37.1% |
12.2% / 11.4% |
2.8% / 0.0% |
4.4 / 7.3 |
39.1% / 28.0% |
21.7% / 48.0% |
3.6 / 1.2 |
64 / 60 |
38.0% / 36.6% |
39.1% / 33.3% |
39.9% / 44.6% |
4.1 / 4.8 |
3.1% / 1.7% |
35.9% / 41.7% |
20.8 / 32.5 |
3 | DET | 34 – 27 W | 14.3 | 50.0% / 56.8% |
7.7% / 6.8% |
0.0% / 2.4% |
7.7 / 8.4 |
33.3% / 39.1% |
14.8% / 30.4% |
4.7 / 2.2 |
53 / 67 |
44.7% / 48.1% |
41.5% / 50.7% |
44.6% / 50.2% |
6.2 / 6.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
50.9% / 34.3% |
33.5 / 22.3 |
5 | NYG | 23 – 16 W | 8.1 | 42.2% / 35.9% |
0.0% / 10.3% |
4.4% / 0.0% |
5.8 / 4.5 |
45.7% / 40.0% |
14.3% / 26.7% |
4.3 / 2.9 |
80 / 54 |
46.4% / 39.0% |
43.8% / 37.0% |
38.6% / 18.7% |
5.1 / 4.1 |
0.0% / 1.9% |
43.8% / 27.8% |
25.8 / 37.8 |
6 | DAL | 16 – 30 L | -8.6 | 53.5% / 55.2% |
2.3% / 6.9% |
2.4% / 3.7% |
6.8 / 8.0 |
37.5% / 54.5% |
37.5% / 15.2% |
3.3 / 5.8 |
67 / 62 |
45.3% / 59.2% |
47.8% / 54.8% |
22.0% / 50.5% |
5.6 / 6.8 |
4.5% / 1.6% |
35.8% / 53.2% |
33.1 / 31.4 |
7 | CHI | 26 – 10 W | 4.5 | 53.4% / 33.3% |
3.4% / 3.7% |
0.0% / 7.7% |
5.2 / 4.4 |
41.7% / 31.6% |
20.8% / 36.8% |
4.3 / 3.7 |
82 / 46 |
50.0% / 36.1% |
50.0% / 32.6% |
25.6% / 45.3% |
5.0 / 4.1 |
1.2% / 0.0% |
29.3% / 41.3% |
24.5 / 20.6 |
8 | @ATL | 32 – 33 L | 1.2 | 48.8% / 59.5% |
7.3% / 5.4% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
5.4 / 7.5 |
47.4% / 40.0% |
21.1% / 25.0% |
5.7 / 4.6 |
60 / 57 |
46.9% / 55.6% |
48.3% / 52.6% |
48.3% / 29.9% |
5.5 / 6.5 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
31.7% / 35.1% |
30.4 / 30.9 |
9 | IND | 26 – 31 L | -9.7 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
6.5% / 5.3% |
2.3% / 5.6% |
6.3 / 7.1 |
50.0% / 35.5% |
10.0% / 16.1% |
5.9 / 2.8 |
66 / 69 |
55.8% / 46.0% |
50.0% / 43.5% |
46.1% / 32.7% |
6.2 / 5.2 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
30.3% / 44.9% |
30.4 / 24.5 |
10 | @TEN | 25 – 47 L | -17.4 | 41.7% / 51.7% |
8.3% / 6.9% |
3.6% / 0.0% |
5.6 / 9.8 |
46.2% / 25.8% |
15.4% / 22.6% |
5.3 / 5.3 |
73 / 60 |
46.3% / 37.2% |
42.5% / 38.3% |
42.3% / 64.4% |
5.5 / 7.5 |
1.4% / 0.0% |
17.8% / 51.7% |
30.8 / 36.9 |
11 | @WAS | 24 – 42 L | -5.0 | 47.8% / 62.5% |
4.3% / 6.3% |
2.3% / 0.0% |
7.4 / 11.4 |
52.6% / 40.6% |
21.1% / 15.6% |
4.4 / 4.8 |
65 / 64 |
50.0% / 51.1% |
49.2% / 51.6% |
54.2% / 60.9% |
6.5 / 8.1 |
1.5% / 0.0% |
29.2% / 50.0% |
22.1 / 30.5 |
12 | @PHI | 27 – 13 W | 6.7 | 61.5% / 42.5% |
0.0% / 10.0% |
0.0% / 2.8% |
8.0 / 5.3 |
38.7% / 61.1% |
32.3% / 5.6% |
2.5 / 4.5 |
70 / 58 |
51.0% / 50.0% |
51.4% / 48.3% |
39.0% / 29.1% |
5.6 / 5.0 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
44.3% / 31.0% |
26.1 / 17.4 |
13 | HOU | 21 – 13 W | 3.7 | 51.6% / 40.5% |
3.2% / 5.4% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
6.5 / 5.0 |
50.0% / 40.7% |
30.8% / 25.9% |
4.2 / 4.6 |
57 / 64 |
55.8% / 40.4% |
50.9% / 40.6% |
46.9% / 38.1% |
5.4 / 4.8 |
1.8% / 1.6% |
45.6% / 42.2% |
38.0 / 21.8 |
14 | SEA | 38 – 10 W | 16.0 | 53.8% / 47.6% |
3.8% / 7.1% |
0.0% / 12.8% |
9.1 / 5.2 |
36.4% / 57.7% |
27.3% / 11.5% |
2.9 / 5.2 |
59 / 68 |
53.7% / 52.7% |
44.1% / 51.5% |
56.2% / 32.5% |
5.6 / 5.2 |
0.0% / 1.5% |
55.9% / 38.2% |
39.6 / 26.2 |
15 | @CHI | 30 – 27 W | 5.5 | 44.1% / 63.6% |
11.8% / 2.3% |
0.0% / 7.0% |
6.6 / 8.0 |
47.8% / 57.9% |
17.4% / 5.3% |
9.8 / 5.0 |
57 / 63 |
50.0% / 65.5% |
45.6% / 61.9% |
67.8% / 31.4% |
7.9 / 7.1 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
40.4% / 30.2% |
30.7 / 27.1 |
16 | MIN | 38 – 26 W | 12.9 | 53.5% / 48.1% |
9.3% / 7.4% |
0.0% / 0.0% |
7.2 / 6.5 |
40.0% / 60.0% |
26.7% / 20.0% |
2.7 / 4.7 |
58 / 74 |
51.1% / 53.6% |
50.0% / 51.4% |
52.9% / 42.6% |
6.0 / 6.0 |
0.0% / 2.7% |
25.9% / 27.0% |
36.4 / 29.1 |
17 | @DET | 31 – 24 W | 2.4 | 57.5% / 55.8% |
2.5% / 4.7% |
0.0% / 2.4% |
7.4 / 7.7 |
60.0% / 52.4% |
5.7% / 28.6% |
4.5 / 3.6 |
75 / 64 |
66.1% / 57.7% |
58.7% / 54.7% |
38.8% / 42.9% |
6.0 / 6.4 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
46.7% / 32.8% |
26.3 / 25.5 |
18 | NYG | 38 – 13 W | 4.9 | 51.1% / 43.5% |
11.1% / 4.3% |
0.0% / 2.3% |
7.4 / 6.4 |
42.3% / 23.5% |
23.1% / 29.4% |
2.9 / 4.1 |
71 / 63 |
52.8% / 39.1% |
47.9% / 38.1% |
46.7% / 44.9% |
5.7 / 5.8 |
0.0% / 1.6% |
36.6% / 27.0% |
35.5 / 25.3 |
19 | @DAL | 34 – 31 W | 8.6 | 47.8% / 56.4% |
6.5% / 5.1% |
2.3% / 2.7% |
7.1 / 7.5 |
58.8% / 70.8% |
11.8% / 12.5% |
5.1 / 5.8 |
63 / 63 |
50.0% / 63.5% |
50.8% / 61.9% |
54.3% / 27.7% |
6.6 / 6.8 |
0.0% / 0.0% |
27.0% / 38.1% |
22.0 / 28.9 |
20 | @ATL | 21 – 45 L | -18.5 | 48.9% / 65.8% |
4.3% / 0.0% |
2.2% / 0.0% |
5.7 / 10.3 |
47.1% / 43.3% |
17.6% / 30.0% |
5.8 / 3.4 |
64 / 68 |
49.0% / 50.9% |
48.4% / 55.9% |
52.6% / 37.5% |
5.7 / 7.3 |
1.6% / 0.0% |
26.6% / 44.1% |
21.1 / 32.6 |