Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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Seattle (-3.5/-3) at ARIZONA

The Cardinals will start rookie quarterback Josh Rosen after scoring just 20 points in their first 3 games. Arizona’s offense ranks last in my metrics mostly due to a terrible offensive line that ranks last in pass blocking efficiency after finishing 31st a season ago in that category and it will likely only get worse with Rosen at the helm. Sam Bradford is known for getting the ball out quickly averaging 2.31 seconds to throw while young quarterbacks typically hold on to the ball too long. Rosen is averaging 3.07 seconds to throw so far (in a small sample size), which is longer than any qualifying quarterback in 2017, and I don’t see him finding much success behind this putrid offensive line. Seattle’s Frank Clark already has 3 sacks after recording 9 last season and he will be salivating with the rookie under center.

On the other side of the ball, Russell Wilson will look to avoid Cardinals’ star CB Patrick Peterson by focusing on the middle of the field, where he’s found success this year. Wilson has completed 27 of 33 passes between the numbers with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions. The line on this game is between 3 and 3 ½ points, which is what our model is projecting (3.2 points). I’ll pass on the side and I don’t see enough value in the total either (39.7 points projected).

Team Stats
Game Log

Seahawks
Cardinals

SEA

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 35.3 38.3
Succ Pass Plays 40.8% 46.2%
Sack Rate 12.6% 7.0%
Int Rate 3.0% 6.5%
Deep Pass Rate 20.6% 10.5%
Big Pass Yards 45.6% 24.7%
NYPP 6.0 5.6

Rush

Rush Plays 26.0 26.7
RB YPR 3.4 5.2
Stuff Rate 22.9% 17.2%
Succ Rush Plays 31.4% 50.3%
Big Rush Yards 29.2% 46.6%
Yards Per Rush 3.4 5.4

Game

All Snaps 61.3 65.0
Early Down Succ 37.9% 51.0%
Succ Rate 36.8% 47.0%
Big Yards Rate 40.6% 36.9%
Yards Per Play 4.8 5.3
Fumble Lost Rate 1.2% 0.6%
Time Per Play (sec) 27.0 29.8
Run Ratio 41.3% 40.6%
Starting Field Pos 26.4 28.7
Game Control -0.4 0.4

Points 21.7 21.3

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 20.0 25.0
Succ Pass Plays 253.8% 235.6%
Sack Rate 39.0% 37.9%
Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
Deep Pass Rate 15.4% 16.0%
Big Pass Yards 35.8% 43.0%
NYPP 27.0 32.5

Rush

Rush Plays 16.3 35.7
RB YPR 3.4 3.8
Stuff Rate 17.9% 24.1%
Succ Rush Plays 41.0% 49.9%
Big Rush Yards 17.7% 45.3%
Yards Per Rush 3.6 3.6

Game

All Snaps 36.3 60.7
Early Down Succ 39.2% 53.1%
Succ Rate 63.6% 62.4%
Big Yards Rate 31.3% 45.5%
Yards Per Play 6.6 6.8
Fumble Lost Rate 2.5% 1.2%
Time Per Play (sec) 46.3 37.3
Run Ratio 53.8% 62.6%
Starting Field Pos 27.0 28.3
Game Control -7.1 7.1

Points 6.7 24.7

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2018 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	@DEN	24 – 27 L	-1.9	35.9% / 57.5%	15.4% / 2.5%	6.1% / 7.7%	6.2 / 8.1	18.8% / 50.0%	25.0% / 21.9%	4.0 / 4.6	55 / 72	34.9% / 58.3%	30.9% / 54.2%	63.7% / 53.2%	5.6 / 6.5	1.8% / 0.0%	29.1% / 44.4%	27.4 / 26.6
2	@CHI	17 – 24 L	-7.4	43.6% / 52.8%	15.4% / 5.6%	3.0% / 5.9%	5.2 / 5.1	45.5% / 48.3%	13.6% / 13.8%	3.4 / 3.0	61 / 65	44.9% / 55.1%	44.3% / 50.8%	23.2% / 6.3%	4.5 / 4.2	1.6% / 0.0%	36.1% / 44.6%	24.5 / 33.6
3	DAL	24 – 13 W	8.3	42.9% / 28.2%	7.1% / 12.8%	0.0% / 5.9%	6.5 / 3.5	30.0% / 52.6%	30.0% / 15.8%	2.9 / 8.7	68 / 58	34.0% / 39.5%	35.3% / 36.2%	34.8% / 51.2%	4.4 / 5.2	0.0% / 1.7%	58.8% / 32.8%	27.2 / 25.9

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2018 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	WAS	6 – 24 L	-13.7	700.0% / 600.0%	100.0% / 100.0%	0.0% / 0.0%	72.5 / 82.3	56.3% / 46.5%	12.5% / 25.6%	4.3 / 4.3	18 / 46	53.7% / 50.0%	127.8% / 82.6%	35.0% / 47.0%	11.9 / 9.3	5.6% / 2.2%	88.9% / 93.5%	29.3 / 18.0
2	@LA	0 – 34 L	-14.9	21.4% / 64.7%	3.6% / 5.9%	3.7% / 3.1%	3.0 / 10.1	33.3% / 48.5%	13.3% / 24.2%	3.6 / 2.7	43 / 67	23.3% / 59.2%	25.6% / 56.7%	0.0% / 51.9%	3.2 / 6.4	0.0% / 0.0%	34.9% / 49.3%	19.0 / 39.1
3	CHI	14 – 16 L	7.2	40.0% / 42.1%	13.3% / 7.9%	11.5% / 2.9%	5.6 / 5.1	33.3% / 54.8%	27.8% / 22.6%	2.9 / 3.9	48 / 69	40.5% / 50.0%	37.5% / 47.8%	58.8% / 37.7%	4.6 / 4.6	2.1% / 1.4%	37.5% / 44.9%	32.8 / 27.8

Seattle Seahawks @

Arizona Cardinals

Sun, Sep 30

1:05 PM Pacific

Game Analysis