Game Analysis
In a game that has serious draft positioning implications, two of the worst teams in football will square off in an NFC West sparring session. All indications are that No. 1 selection, Jared Goff, will give it a go this week as the 5 games he has started have all resulted in losses with an average margin of loss of -20. Goff has an atrocious 4.2 NYPP and 2015 offensive Rookie of the Year, Todd Gurley, has not provided any ground support at 3.2 yards per rush. The Niners are riding a 13 game losing streak, with their last win coming against the LA Rams in week 1. While Kaepernick has not been getting it done through the air at 5.3 NYPP, the Niners have actually been quite effective on the ground, averaging the 4.8 yards per rush. The advanced stats model sees value on the road dog with a bit more offense getting it done on the road, so it is a Strong Opinion at 49ers (+5). Lean to Under (39.5).
Pass
-
Pass Plays
33.5
34.6
-
Succ Pass Plays
39.5%
48.9%
-
Sack Rate
8.5%
5.6%
-
Int Rate
2.0%
1.6%
-
Deep Pass Rate
19.3%
21.7%
-
Big Pass Yards
32.8%
46.7%
-
NYPP
5.1
7.4
Rush
-
Rush Plays
28.7
36.7
-
RB YPR
4.2
4.6
-
Stuff Rate
25.4%
20.7%
-
Succ Rush Plays
48.7%
46.3%
-
Big Rush Yards
46.0%
48.0%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.8
4.7
Game
-
All Snaps
62.2
71.3
-
Early Down Succ
47.0%
49.5%
-
Succ Rate
44.1%
47.5%
-
Big Yards Rate
40.8%
47.3%
-
Yards Per Play
5.0
5.9
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.4%
1.0%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
25.5
28.8
-
Run Ratio
46.2%
51.5%
-
Starting Field Pos
27.1
30.6
-
Game Control
-4.6
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Plays
37.2
37.6
-
Succ Pass Plays
37.4%
45.7%
-
Sack Rate
7.2%
5.1%
-
Int Rate
3.1%
1.3%
-
Deep Pass Rate
15.0%
11.1%
-
Big Pass Yards
44.3%
33.3%
-
NYPP
5.5
6.1
Rush
-
Rush Plays
23.8
27.4
-
RB YPR
3.3
3.8
-
Stuff Rate
24.6%
30.7%
-
Succ Rush Plays
40.3%
40.1%
-
Big Rush Yards
31.7%
49.2%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.3
3.9
Game
-
All Snaps
61.0
65.1
-
Early Down Succ
41.1%
45.5%
-
Succ Rate
38.4%
43.0%
-
Big Yards Rate
41.2%
40.5%
-
Yards Per Play
4.6
5.2
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.9%
0.8%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.8
28.5
-
Run Ratio
39.0%
42.5%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.1
26.6
-
Game Control
-4.8
4.8
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
LA |
28 – 0 W |
12.6 |
45.7% /
27.0% |
0.0% /
5.4% |
0.0% /
5.7% |
4.9 /
3.2 |
37.2% /
37.5% |
32.6% /
20.8% |
3.5 /
2.8 |
78 /
61 |
40.4% /
35.7% |
41.0% /
31.1% |
35.2% /
29.0% |
4.1 /
3.0 |
1.3% /
0.0% |
55.1% /
39.3% |
24.4 /
31.4 |
| 2 |
@CAR |
27 – 46 L |
-7.8 |
39.5% /
47.5% |
5.3% /
2.5% |
5.6% /
2.6% |
6.2 /
8.8 |
34.6% /
40.5% |
26.9% /
24.3% |
2.5 /
4.8 |
64 /
77 |
41.7% /
43.5% |
37.5% /
44.2% |
46.7% /
55.6% |
4.7 /
6.9 |
1.6% /
3.9% |
40.6% /
48.1% |
33.9 /
31.8 |
| 3 |
@SEA |
18 – 37 L |
-19.7 |
28.0% /
50.0% |
0.0% /
5.9% |
4.0% /
3.1% |
4.8 /
8.6 |
38.7% /
36.4% |
16.1% /
27.3% |
4.4 /
3.9 |
56 /
67 |
35.0% /
40.0% |
33.9% /
43.3% |
25.2% /
49.9% |
4.5 /
6.3 |
0.0% /
1.5% |
55.4% /
49.3% |
33.6 /
35.1 |
| 4 |
DAL |
17 – 24 L |
3.0 |
45.8% /
58.8% |
4.2% /
5.9% |
4.3% /
0.0% |
7.9 /
6.9 |
50.0% /
54.3% |
33.3% /
6.5% |
3.6 /
4.3 |
54 /
80 |
48.6% /
68.4% |
48.1% /
56.3% |
47.0% /
33.2% |
5.5 /
5.4 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
55.6% /
57.5% |
25.4 /
28.0 |
| 5 |
ARI |
21 – 33 L |
-4.9 |
42.1% /
34.5% |
18.4% /
3.4% |
6.5% /
0.0% |
3.6 /
4.0 |
66.7% /
53.8% |
19.4% /
15.4% |
4.2 /
4.5 |
74 /
68 |
59.3% /
54.2% |
54.1% /
45.6% |
24.1% /
52.4% |
3.9 /
4.3 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
48.6% /
57.4% |
18.3 /
39.9 |
| 6 |
@BUF |
16 – 45 L |
-6.8 |
37.5% /
41.9% |
9.4% /
9.7% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.2 /
5.8 |
44.8% /
62.2% |
27.6% /
13.3% |
4.6 /
7.0 |
61 /
76 |
50.0% /
54.1% |
41.0% /
53.9% |
42.9% /
57.7% |
4.9 /
6.5 |
1.6% /
2.6% |
47.5% /
59.2% |
30.7 /
30.2 |
| 7 |
TB |
17 – 34 L |
-2.0 |
34.2% /
53.1% |
10.5% /
6.3% |
2.9% /
3.3% |
3.0 /
8.3 |
64.3% /
52.4% |
21.4% /
16.7% |
5.7 /
6.0 |
66 /
74 |
48.0% /
57.9% |
47.0% /
52.7% |
38.1% /
47.3% |
4.1 /
6.9 |
3.0% /
0.0% |
42.4% /
56.8% |
30.7 /
26.4 |
| 9 |
NO |
23 – 41 L |
-10.2 |
52.5% /
55.0% |
2.5% /
2.5% |
2.6% /
0.0% |
9.8 /
8.1 |
47.1% /
52.3% |
23.5% /
13.6% |
5.5 /
5.7 |
57 /
84 |
58.7% /
54.0% |
50.9% /
53.6% |
56.0% /
45.4% |
8.5 /
6.8 |
5.3% /
0.0% |
29.8% /
52.4% |
29.0 /
28.5 |
| 10 |
@ARI |
20 – 23 L |
-6.5 |
45.5% /
52.0% |
9.1% /
4.0% |
0.0% /
4.2% |
6.0 /
7.3 |
39.3% /
34.8% |
28.6% /
39.1% |
3.0 /
3.5 |
61 /
73 |
41.9% /
44.1% |
42.6% /
46.6% |
53.7% /
40.6% |
4.6 /
6.1 |
1.6% /
2.7% |
45.9% /
31.5% |
30.5 /
23.2 |
| 11 |
NE |
17 – 30 L |
-7.6 |
40.0% /
47.5% |
14.3% /
2.5% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.1 /
6.8 |
51.9% /
51.6% |
29.6% /
12.9% |
4.5 /
5.5 |
62 /
71 |
47.9% /
48.1% |
45.2% /
49.3% |
39.1% /
51.2% |
4.8 /
6.3 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
43.5% /
43.7% |
23.5 /
32.8 |
| 12 |
@MIA |
24 – 31 L |
-3.5 |
42.6% /
50.0% |
4.3% /
6.3% |
2.2% /
0.0% |
6.0 /
8.2 |
56.0% /
34.6% |
20.0% /
34.6% |
7.7 /
3.7 |
72 /
58 |
44.6% /
41.3% |
47.2% /
43.1% |
38.1% /
46.6% |
6.6 /
6.2 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
34.7% /
44.8% |
23.8 /
31.6 |
| 13 |
@CHI |
6 – 26 L |
-6.3 |
19.0% /
57.9% |
28.6% /
5.3% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
0.3 /
9.7 |
48.6% /
35.7% |
20.0% /
19.0% |
4.1 /
3.4 |
56 /
61 |
42.5% /
45.5% |
37.5% /
42.6% |
17.6% /
55.2% |
2.6 /
5.4 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
62.5% /
68.9% |
26.6 /
31.5 |
| 14 |
NYJ |
17 – 23 L |
11.9 |
32.1% /
41.5% |
7.1% /
14.6% |
0.0% /
2.9% |
4.1 /
5.3 |
48.1% /
55.0% |
25.9% /
15.0% |
9.2 /
4.7 |
55 /
81 |
47.6% /
48.4% |
40.0% /
48.1% |
70.3% /
38.4% |
6.6 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
49.1% /
49.4% |
28.8 /
27.8 |
| 15 |
@ATL |
13 – 41 L |
-17.2 |
48.6% /
68.0% |
5.7% /
4.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
4.7 /
12.1 |
55.0% /
47.6% |
30.0% /
31.0% |
5.4 /
5.9 |
55 /
67 |
52.4% /
57.1% |
50.9% /
55.2% |
37.9% /
59.9% |
4.9 /
8.2 |
1.8% /
1.5% |
36.4% /
62.7% |
20.3 /
29.6 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@SF |
0 – 28 L |
-12.6 |
27.0% /
45.7% |
5.4% /
0.0% |
5.7% /
0.0% |
3.2 /
4.9 |
37.5% /
37.2% |
20.8% /
32.6% |
2.8 /
3.5 |
61 /
78 |
35.7% /
40.4% |
31.1% /
41.0% |
29.0% /
35.2% |
3.0 /
4.1 |
0.0% /
1.3% |
39.3% /
55.1% |
31.4 /
24.4 |
| 2 |
SEA |
9 – 3 W |
2.9 |
39.4% /
37.8% |
9.1% /
5.4% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.6 /
6.5 |
29.6% /
33.3% |
25.9% /
45.8% |
2.4 /
2.8 |
60 /
61 |
40.9% /
37.5% |
35.0% /
36.1% |
41.4% /
44.8% |
4.8 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
3.3% |
45.0% /
39.3% |
23.7 /
17.0 |
| 3 |
@TB |
37 – 32 W |
0.7 |
40.7% /
50.0% |
3.7% /
3.3% |
3.8% /
1.7% |
6.8 /
6.5 |
57.6% /
65.2% |
21.2% /
17.4% |
4.2 /
3.7 |
60 /
83 |
51.1% /
55.6% |
50.0% /
54.2% |
43.4% /
30.9% |
5.3 /
5.7 |
1.7% /
1.2% |
55.0% /
27.7% |
28.9 /
28.5 |
| 4 |
@ARI |
17 – 13 W |
1.3 |
40.6% /
44.9% |
6.3% /
6.1% |
0.0% /
6.5% |
7.7 /
6.2 |
12.5% /
40.0% |
29.2% /
24.0% |
1.8 /
4.7 |
56 /
74 |
25.6% /
42.6% |
28.6% /
43.2% |
68.9% /
44.5% |
5.2 /
5.7 |
1.8% /
2.7% |
42.9% /
33.8% |
30.3 /
27.2 |
| 5 |
BUF |
19 – 30 L |
-4.3 |
42.9% /
36.0% |
11.4% /
8.0% |
6.5% /
0.0% |
6.9 /
4.5 |
55.2% /
46.4% |
13.8% /
28.6% |
3.5 /
6.9 |
64 /
53 |
54.0% /
45.0% |
48.4% /
41.5% |
54.8% /
56.5% |
5.4 /
5.8 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
45.3% /
52.8% |
21.2 /
34.0 |
| 6 |
@DET |
28 – 31 L |
0.9 |
66.7% /
56.3% |
3.0% /
3.1% |
3.1% /
0.0% |
9.4 /
8.3 |
54.5% /
39.3% |
31.8% /
28.6% |
3.5 /
3.0 |
55 /
60 |
62.2% /
48.8% |
61.8% /
48.3% |
32.3% /
43.4% |
7.0 /
5.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
40.0% /
46.7% |
20.5 /
30.4 |
| 7 |
NYG |
10 – 17 L |
1.8 |
33.9% /
40.5% |
5.4% /
0.0% |
7.5% /
0.0% |
4.8 /
5.3 |
55.0% /
36.4% |
10.0% /
18.2% |
3.7 /
1.7 |
76 /
59 |
35.7% /
45.2% |
39.5% /
39.0% |
36.8% /
34.6% |
4.5 /
4.0 |
0.0% /
1.7% |
26.3% /
37.3% |
26.8 /
21.5 |
| 9 |
CAR |
10 – 13 L |
-6.2 |
44.0% /
43.2% |
8.0% /
13.5% |
2.2% /
0.0% |
5.6 /
5.0 |
35.3% /
23.1% |
17.6% /
34.6% |
3.5 /
2.3 |
67 /
63 |
44.0% /
34.8% |
41.8% /
34.9% |
32.7% /
28.2% |
5.1 /
3.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
25.4% /
41.3% |
23.4 /
28.5 |
| 10 |
@NYJ |
9 – 6 W |
-0.5 |
36.4% /
39.4% |
9.1% /
3.0% |
0.0% /
3.1% |
4.7 /
4.8 |
40.5% /
48.0% |
27.0% /
32.0% |
3.5 /
5.6 |
70 /
58 |
43.8% /
47.8% |
38.6% /
43.1% |
49.1% /
50.3% |
4.0 /
5.1 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
52.9% /
43.1% |
27.6 /
17.7 |
| 11 |
MIA |
10 – 14 L |
6.9 |
28.1% /
44.7% |
3.1% /
10.5% |
0.0% /
2.9% |
3.9 /
3.7 |
27.6% /
36.8% |
34.5% /
42.1% |
3.6 /
5.2 |
61 /
57 |
31.8% /
50.0% |
27.9% /
42.1% |
36.4% /
23.8% |
3.7 /
4.2 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
47.5% /
33.3% |
29.1 /
23.1 |
| 12 |
@NO |
21 – 49 L |
-9.8 |
38.2% /
65.8% |
8.8% /
5.3% |
3.2% /
0.0% |
5.2 /
9.1 |
35.3% /
50.0% |
23.5% /
28.1% |
4.1 /
6.5 |
51 /
70 |
43.6% /
60.0% |
37.3% /
58.6% |
41.3% /
65.4% |
4.8 /
7.9 |
2.0% /
1.4% |
33.3% /
45.7% |
30.2 /
31.8 |
| 13 |
@NE |
10 – 26 L |
-15.0 |
16.7% /
45.7% |
11.1% /
0.0% |
6.3% /
0.0% |
3.5 /
5.8 |
28.6% /
41.9% |
28.6% /
25.8% |
2.6 /
4.4 |
50 /
77 |
22.9% /
50.9% |
20.0% /
44.2% |
40.5% /
23.5% |
3.3 /
5.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
28.0% /
40.3% |
25.1 /
27.6 |
| 14 |
ATL |
14 – 42 L |
-23.1 |
38.6% /
43.8% |
6.8% /
6.3% |
4.9% /
0.0% |
4.7 /
6.9 |
65.2% /
36.0% |
13.0% /
36.0% |
4.5 /
2.6 |
67 /
57 |
49.1% /
43.2% |
47.8% /
40.4% |
19.6% /
34.6% |
4.7 /
5.0 |
4.5% /
0.0% |
34.3% /
43.9% |
26.0 /
26.7 |
| 15 |
@SEA |
3 – 24 L |
-9.4 |
30.8% /
46.4% |
10.3% /
7.1% |
0.0% /
3.8% |
3.5 /
8.1 |
29.4% /
27.3% |
47.1% /
36.4% |
2.8 /
2.3 |
56 /
61 |
35.0% /
35.0% |
30.4% /
36.1% |
50.3% /
51.3% |
3.3 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
30.4% /
54.1% |
21.1 /
33.8 |
San Francisco 49ers
@ 
Los Angeles Rams