Game Analysis
Last time these NFC West teams battled in the Bay the Cardinals won 33-21, despite averaging only 4.0 net yards per pass. The Bruce Arians led team now is coming off a bye eager to face a defense that is giving up a league-worst 32.5 points per game. The most explosive part of the Cardinals offense has been the ground game this year, where David Johnson has averaged 4.5 yards per carry with 8 touchdowns through 8 games. Lucky for him he gets to go against the 31st ranked rush defense in the league with the Niners giving up 4.8 YPR. The Chip Kelly tempo offense will provide plenty of opportunities for points for both teams, as the last four games have averaged 58 points per game in blowout Niner losses. The advanced stats model sees value on the Over, so OVER (48) SF/ARI is a Strong Opinion. Lean to Cardinals (-13.5).
Pass
-
Pass Plays
33.7
36.3
-
Succ Pass Plays
41.2%
46.7%
-
Sack Rate
6.6%
5.1%
-
Int Rate
2.9%
2.1%
-
Deep Pass Rate
19.2%
18.7%
-
Big Pass Yards
37.0%
44.2%
-
NYPP
5.7
6.8
Rush
-
Rush Plays
29.8
37.0
-
RB YPR
3.5
4.5
-
Stuff Rate
25.5%
19.7%
-
Succ Rush Plays
47.0%
47.1%
-
Big Rush Yards
41.5%
46.6%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.1
4.7
Game
-
All Snaps
63.4
73.3
-
Early Down Succ
47.1%
50.2%
-
Succ Rate
44.0%
47.5%
-
Big Yards Rate
41.0%
45.7%
-
Yards Per Play
5.0
5.8
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.8%
1.2%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
24.4
28.1
-
Run Ratio
46.8%
50.2%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.5
30.5
-
Game Control
-4.7
4.7
Pass
-
Pass Plays
44.6
36.2
-
Succ Pass Plays
47.4%
40.4%
-
Sack Rate
6.1%
7.5%
-
Int Rate
2.3%
2.6%
-
Deep Pass Rate
20.3%
19.4%
-
Big Pass Yards
34.7%
42.9%
-
NYPP
6.1
5.5
Rush
-
Rush Plays
26.8
27.3
-
RB YPR
4.0
2.8
-
Stuff Rate
26.8%
26.1%
-
Succ Rush Plays
45.2%
39.2%
-
Big Rush Yards
39.6%
36.3%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.0
3.5
Game
-
All Snaps
71.3
63.6
-
Early Down Succ
48.3%
42.7%
-
Succ Rate
46.7%
40.7%
-
Big Yards Rate
36.8%
43.7%
-
Yards Per Play
5.4
4.7
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.9%
1.2%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.6
27.3
-
Run Ratio
37.4%
42.8%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.7
27.0
-
Game Control
0.9
-0.9
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
LA |
28 – 0 W |
12.6 |
45.7% /
27.0% |
0.0% /
5.4% |
0.0% /
5.7% |
4.9 /
3.2 |
37.2% /
37.5% |
32.6% /
20.8% |
3.5 /
2.8 |
78 /
61 |
40.4% /
35.7% |
41.0% /
31.1% |
35.2% /
29.0% |
4.1 /
3.0 |
1.3% /
0.0% |
55.1% /
39.3% |
24.4 /
31.4 |
| 2 |
@CAR |
27 – 46 L |
-7.8 |
39.5% /
47.5% |
5.3% /
2.5% |
5.6% /
2.6% |
6.2 /
8.8 |
34.6% /
40.5% |
26.9% /
24.3% |
2.5 /
4.8 |
64 /
77 |
41.7% /
43.5% |
37.5% /
44.2% |
46.7% /
55.6% |
4.7 /
6.9 |
1.6% /
3.9% |
40.6% /
48.1% |
33.9 /
31.8 |
| 3 |
@SEA |
18 – 37 L |
-19.7 |
28.0% /
50.0% |
0.0% /
5.9% |
4.0% /
3.1% |
4.8 /
8.6 |
38.7% /
36.4% |
16.1% /
27.3% |
4.4 /
3.9 |
56 /
67 |
35.0% /
40.0% |
33.9% /
43.3% |
25.2% /
49.9% |
4.5 /
6.3 |
0.0% /
1.5% |
55.4% /
49.3% |
33.6 /
35.1 |
| 4 |
DAL |
17 – 24 L |
3.0 |
45.8% /
58.8% |
4.2% /
5.9% |
4.3% /
0.0% |
7.9 /
6.9 |
50.0% /
54.3% |
33.3% /
6.5% |
3.6 /
4.3 |
54 /
80 |
48.6% /
68.4% |
48.1% /
56.3% |
47.0% /
33.2% |
5.5 /
5.4 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
55.6% /
57.5% |
25.4 /
28.0 |
| 5 |
ARI |
21 – 33 L |
-4.9 |
42.1% /
34.5% |
18.4% /
3.4% |
6.5% /
0.0% |
3.6 /
4.0 |
66.7% /
53.8% |
19.4% /
15.4% |
4.2 /
4.5 |
74 /
68 |
59.3% /
54.2% |
54.1% /
45.6% |
24.1% /
52.4% |
3.9 /
4.3 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
48.6% /
57.4% |
18.3 /
39.9 |
| 6 |
@BUF |
16 – 45 L |
-6.8 |
37.5% /
41.9% |
9.4% /
9.7% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.2 /
5.8 |
44.8% /
62.2% |
27.6% /
13.3% |
4.6 /
7.0 |
61 /
76 |
50.0% /
54.1% |
41.0% /
53.9% |
42.9% /
57.7% |
4.9 /
6.5 |
1.6% /
2.6% |
47.5% /
59.2% |
30.7 /
30.2 |
| 7 |
TB |
17 – 34 L |
-2.0 |
34.2% /
53.1% |
10.5% /
6.3% |
2.9% /
3.3% |
3.0 /
8.3 |
64.3% /
52.4% |
21.4% /
16.7% |
5.7 /
6.0 |
66 /
74 |
48.0% /
57.9% |
47.0% /
52.7% |
38.1% /
47.3% |
4.1 /
6.9 |
3.0% /
0.0% |
42.4% /
56.8% |
30.7 /
26.4 |
| 9 |
NO |
23 – 41 L |
-10.2 |
52.5% /
55.0% |
2.5% /
2.5% |
2.6% /
0.0% |
9.8 /
8.1 |
47.1% /
52.3% |
23.5% /
13.6% |
5.5 /
5.7 |
57 /
84 |
58.7% /
54.0% |
50.9% /
53.6% |
56.0% /
45.4% |
8.5 /
6.8 |
5.3% /
0.0% |
29.8% /
52.4% |
29.0 /
28.5 |
| 10 |
@ARI |
20 – 23 L |
-6.5 |
45.5% /
52.0% |
9.1% /
4.0% |
0.0% /
4.2% |
6.0 /
7.3 |
39.3% /
34.8% |
28.6% /
39.1% |
3.0 /
3.5 |
61 /
73 |
41.9% /
44.1% |
42.6% /
46.6% |
53.7% /
40.6% |
4.6 /
6.1 |
1.6% /
2.7% |
45.9% /
31.5% |
30.5 /
23.2 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
NE |
21 – 23 L |
-5.0 |
50.0% /
51.4% |
7.5% /
5.7% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.3 /
7.3 |
57.9% /
31.3% |
15.8% /
34.4% |
4.8 /
3.3 |
59 /
67 |
53.2% /
36.7% |
52.5% /
41.8% |
38.1% /
45.9% |
5.8 /
5.4 |
0.0% /
3.0% |
32.2% /
47.8% |
29.2 /
24.7 |
| 2 |
TB |
40 – 7 W |
16.6 |
50.0% /
40.0% |
2.8% /
5.5% |
0.0% /
7.7% |
8.8 /
4.0 |
34.5% /
40.9% |
20.7% /
22.7% |
3.5 /
3.9 |
65 /
77 |
43.1% /
42.6% |
43.1% /
40.3% |
55.0% /
19.5% |
6.4 /
4.0 |
0.0% /
1.3% |
44.6% /
28.6% |
28.8 /
25.7 |
| 3 |
@BUF |
18 – 34 L |
-12.1 |
40.0% /
27.6% |
9.1% /
13.8% |
8.0% /
4.0% |
4.7 /
3.0 |
40.9% /
51.4% |
31.8% /
25.7% |
4.0 /
6.0 |
77 /
64 |
42.6% /
47.8% |
40.3% /
40.6% |
27.0% /
80.9% |
4.5 /
4.7 |
1.3% /
0.0% |
28.6% /
54.7% |
32.3 /
33.8 |
| 4 |
LA |
13 – 17 L |
-1.3 |
44.9% /
40.6% |
6.1% /
6.3% |
6.5% /
0.0% |
6.2 /
7.7 |
40.0% /
12.5% |
24.0% /
29.2% |
4.7 /
1.8 |
74 /
56 |
42.6% /
25.6% |
43.2% /
28.6% |
44.5% /
68.9% |
5.7 /
5.2 |
2.7% /
1.8% |
33.8% /
42.9% |
27.2 /
30.3 |
| 5 |
@SF |
33 – 21 W |
4.9 |
34.5% /
42.1% |
3.4% /
18.4% |
0.0% /
6.5% |
4.0 /
3.6 |
53.8% /
66.7% |
15.4% /
19.4% |
4.5 /
4.2 |
68 /
74 |
54.2% /
59.3% |
45.6% /
54.1% |
52.4% /
24.1% |
4.3 /
3.9 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
57.4% /
48.6% |
39.9 /
18.3 |
| 6 |
NYJ |
28 – 3 W |
12.2 |
60.0% /
39.5% |
0.0% /
2.6% |
0.0% /
5.4% |
6.4 /
5.2 |
40.5% /
21.4% |
29.7% /
21.4% |
4.7 /
2.4 |
72 /
52 |
52.6% /
40.5% |
50.0% /
34.6% |
27.9% /
25.7% |
5.5 /
4.4 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
51.4% /
26.9% |
25.7 /
20.9 |
| 7 |
SEA |
6 – 6 T |
1.7 |
43.4% /
34.2% |
7.5% /
2.6% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.9 /
5.4 |
54.1% /
36.8% |
24.3% /
31.6% |
3.6 /
2.7 |
90 /
57 |
47.8% /
39.5% |
47.8% /
35.1% |
33.4% /
26.5% |
4.9 /
4.5 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
41.1% /
33.3% |
28.5 /
25.1 |
| 8 |
@CAR |
20 – 30 L |
-15.7 |
51.9% /
42.9% |
14.8% /
3.6% |
2.2% /
0.0% |
5.9 /
7.4 |
50.0% /
52.8% |
40.0% /
22.2% |
2.4 /
3.9 |
64 /
64 |
54.9% /
50.0% |
51.6% /
48.4% |
12.4% /
48.1% |
5.3 /
5.5 |
1.6% /
1.6% |
15.6% /
56.3% |
24.0 /
34.1 |
| 10 |
SF |
23 – 20 W |
6.5 |
52.0% /
45.5% |
4.0% /
9.1% |
4.2% /
0.0% |
7.3 /
6.0 |
34.8% /
39.3% |
39.1% /
28.6% |
3.5 /
3.0 |
73 /
61 |
44.1% /
41.9% |
46.6% /
42.6% |
40.6% /
53.7% |
6.1 /
4.6 |
2.7% /
1.6% |
31.5% /
45.9% |
23.2 /
30.5 |
San Francisco 49ers
@ 
Arizona Cardinals