Game Analysis
The Chargers are 1-3 despite a positive 8.3 Game Control rating, blowing leads in all three of their losses. Unfortunately, it does not get any easier as they face a Raiders offense that is top-10 in both Rushing and Passing success rate. In addition, Oakland has shown continued defensive improvement (positive regression), as after they played the high-flying Saints and Falcons, they have held offenses to an under 45% success rate.
Our advanced stats model sees value in the Raiders, so Oakland (-3.5) is a Strong Opinion.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.0
45.0
-
Succ Pass Plays
50.7%
49.8%
-
Sack Rate
6.2%
5.0%
-
Int Rate
0.6%
3.6%
-
Deep Pass Rate
14.2%
14.8%
-
Big Pass Yards
47.0%
35.3%
-
NYPP
7.0
6.4
Rush
-
Rush Plays
26.8
23.5
-
RB YPR
3.2
3.7
-
Stuff Rate
22.6%
21.1%
-
Succ Rush Plays
42.7%
49.2%
-
Big Rush Yards
30.0%
39.8%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.2
4.1
Game
-
All Snaps
64.8
68.5
-
Early Down Succ
50.2%
50.6%
-
Succ Rate
48.2%
47.9%
-
Big Yards Rate
44.5%
35.7%
-
Yards Per Play
5.6
5.5
-
Fumble Lost Rate
2.4%
0.8%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.8
26.5
-
Run Ratio
41.0%
33.7%
-
Starting Field Pos
32.7
28.8
-
Game Control
8.3
-8.3
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.5
40.8
-
Succ Pass Plays
48.7%
49.1%
-
Sack Rate
1.2%
3.0%
-
Int Rate
0.7%
2.3%
-
Deep Pass Rate
15.7%
16.8%
-
Big Pass Yards
32.3%
43.9%
-
NYPP
6.9
8.2
Rush
-
Rush Plays
24.3
26.5
-
RB YPR
5.2
5.1
-
Stuff Rate
18.8%
13.4%
-
Succ Rush Plays
41.2%
54.7%
-
Big Rush Yards
54.2%
42.7%
-
Yards Per Rush
5.1
5.0
Game
-
All Snaps
62.8
67.3
-
Early Down Succ
49.3%
55.6%
-
Succ Rate
45.8%
51.3%
-
Big Yards Rate
39.0%
44.4%
-
Yards Per Play
6.2
6.9
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.5%
1.1%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.2
27.3
-
Run Ratio
38.7%
39.8%
-
Starting Field Pos
27.9
23.9
-
Game Control
1.1
-1.1
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@KC |
27 – 33 L |
11.5 |
56.8% /
52.9% |
2.7% /
5.9% |
0.0% /
2.1% |
6.3 /
6.5 |
57.6% /
57.9% |
15.2% /
21.1% |
4.7 /
4.4 |
70 /
70 |
62.3% /
57.4% |
57.1% /
54.3% |
38.8% /
44.3% |
5.6 /
5.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
47.1% /
27.1% |
30.4 /
28.4 |
| 2 |
JAC |
38 – 14 W |
21.2 |
46.4% /
42.3% |
10.7% /
3.8% |
0.0% /
4.0% |
7.4 /
6.1 |
44.4% /
63.6% |
19.4% /
18.2% |
4.2 /
6.3 |
64 /
63 |
45.8% /
52.0% |
45.3% /
46.0% |
60.2% /
42.8% |
5.6 /
6.2 |
1.6% /
1.6% |
56.3% /
17.5% |
40.3 /
22.0 |
| 3 |
@IND |
22 – 26 L |
-1.8 |
56.1% /
53.8% |
4.9% /
5.1% |
0.0% /
2.7% |
7.8 /
8.1 |
35.3% /
38.5% |
17.6% /
34.6% |
2.2 /
3.6 |
58 /
65 |
53.2% /
50.9% |
50.0% /
47.7% |
40.2% /
36.8% |
6.1 /
6.3 |
5.2% /
1.5% |
29.3% /
40.0% |
28.6 /
28.1 |
| 4 |
NO |
34 – 35 L |
2.3 |
43.5% /
50.0% |
6.5% /
5.3% |
2.3% /
5.6% |
6.7 /
5.0 |
33.3% /
36.8% |
38.1% /
10.5% |
1.8 /
2.3 |
67 /
76 |
39.6% /
42.0% |
40.3% /
43.4% |
38.7% /
19.0% |
5.2 /
3.7 |
3.0% /
0.0% |
31.3% /
50.0% |
31.4 /
36.9 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@NO |
35 – 34 W |
-4.0 |
48.6% /
58.5% |
0.0% /
2.4% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
8.6 /
10.2 |
57.7% /
54.5% |
23.1% /
18.2% |
6.4 /
4.0 |
63 /
63 |
55.8% /
60.8% |
52.4% /
57.1% |
56.4% /
58.4% |
7.7 /
8.0 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
41.3% /
34.9% |
28.6 /
19.7 |
| 2 |
ATL |
28 – 35 L |
-2.8 |
58.7% /
65.7% |
2.2% /
2.9% |
0.0% /
2.9% |
6.5 /
11.1 |
60.0% /
51.7% |
8.0% /
13.8% |
6.2 /
4.8 |
71 /
64 |
63.2% /
61.1% |
59.2% /
59.4% |
30.8% /
50.2% |
6.4 /
8.3 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
35.2% /
45.3% |
19.3 /
28.2 |
| 3 |
@TEN |
17 – 10 W |
6.7 |
44.4% /
32.4% |
2.8% /
2.9% |
2.9% /
6.1% |
6.8 /
6.2 |
26.9% /
58.6% |
19.2% /
13.8% |
4.8 /
6.2 |
62 /
63 |
38.3% /
52.0% |
37.1% /
44.4% |
49.3% /
35.6% |
6.0 /
6.2 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
41.9% /
46.0% |
26.3 /
19.6 |
| 4 |
@BAL |
28 – 27 W |
4.6 |
42.9% /
39.6% |
0.0% /
3.8% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.7 /
5.3 |
20.0% /
53.8% |
25.0% /
7.7% |
3.2 /
5.0 |
55 /
79 |
40.0% /
48.3% |
34.5% /
44.3% |
19.4% /
33.3% |
4.8 /
5.2 |
1.8% /
1.3% |
36.4% /
32.9% |
37.2 /
28.0 |
San Diego Chargers
@ 
Oakland Raiders