Pittsburgh Steelers @

Kansas City Chiefs

Sun, Oct 15
1:25 PM Pacific
Rotation: 269
Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -4.5, Total: 46

Game Analysis

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KANSAS CITY (-4.5) vs Pittsburgh

Kansas City’s offense has been special so far this season but the Chiefss defense has surrendered 6.8 yards per play the last two weeks and now rank 20th in my season ratings heading into a game against a Pittsburgh attack that is due to bounce-back after a horrendous performance in last week’s 9-30 upset loss to the Jags. The Steelers play calling was puzzling last week, as offensive coordinator Todd Haley called 57 pass plays and only gave Le’Veon Bell 15 carries against a Jaguars defense ranked 3rd against the pass and last against the run in my metrics.  The Kansas City defense pass/run splits aren’t as drastic, but the Chiefs are allowing the 6th most yards per rush to opponents this season and since losing Eric Berry, one of the league’s best run-stopping safeties, to a season-ending Achilles injury the Chiefs’ defense has allowed 5.1 yards per carry. I would be surprised if we don’t see more Le’Veon Bell this week.

The Steelers apply to a 132-50-8 ATS situation that is based on last week’s upset loss so I do expect them to come to play today. However, I also have an indicator that favors Kansas City in this game so I’ll just sit back and watch.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Steelers
  • Chiefs
PIT
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 40.6 33.6
  • Succ Pass Plays 43.8% 39.9%
  • Sack Rate 4.4% 10.5%
  • Int Rate 3.1% 3.9%
  • Deep Pass Rate 21.8% 19.6%
  • Big Pass Yards 32.3% 28.1%
  • NYPP 6.1 4.2



Rush


  • Rush Plays 27.8 27.0
  • RB YPR 3.3 4.9
  • Stuff Rate 20.1% 28.2%
  • Succ Rush Plays 41.7% 43.6%
  • Big Rush Yards 37.1% 58.2%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.2 4.9




Game

  • All Snaps 68.4 60.6
  • Early Down Succ 46.4% 44.0%
  • Succ Rate 42.8% 42.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 33.9% 46.2%
  • Yards Per Play 4.9 4.6
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.7% 1.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 27.7 28.7
  • Run Ratio 40.3% 45.5%
  • Starting Field Pos 28.4 28.0
  • Game Control 3.0 -3.0
 
  • Points 19.8 17.8
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