Game Analysis
In a game that could see inclement weather, the Total has crashed from an opening number of 50 to 46. The Browns have been the 30th ranked defense, giving up 7.8 NYPP and 4.5 YPR. However, the Steelers have been surprisingly almost as bad on defense as their AFC North counterparts, ranking 28th. The difficulty with backing winless teams is that it is tough to gauge when you will get effort, as they Brownies completely gave up last week against the Ravens after leading 7-6 at halftime. The advanced stats model leans to the Browns (+7.5), though it is below the threshold of a play. No opinion on the Total.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
42.0
38.8
-
Succ Pass Plays
47.2%
49.5%
-
Sack Rate
3.8%
3.5%
-
Int Rate
2.3%
1.1%
-
Deep Pass Rate
22.8%
12.5%
-
Big Pass Yards
45.6%
34.4%
-
NYPP
6.7
7.4
Rush
-
Rush Plays
23.1
24.2
-
RB YPR
3.9
4.1
-
Stuff Rate
23.9%
25.1%
-
Succ Rush Plays
39.5%
42.4%
-
Big Rush Yards
40.6%
42.2%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.9
4.2
Game
-
All Snaps
65.1
63.0
-
Early Down Succ
47.1%
49.9%
-
Succ Rate
44.6%
47.0%
-
Big Yards Rate
44.9%
37.7%
-
Yards Per Play
5.7
6.1
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.3%
1.0%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.3
29.1
-
Run Ratio
35.2%
38.7%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.4
27.5
-
Game Control
0.9
-0.9
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.7
35.8
-
Succ Pass Plays
42.4%
51.3%
-
Sack Rate
8.0%
4.8%
-
Int Rate
3.1%
2.3%
-
Deep Pass Rate
17.6%
18.6%
-
Big Pass Yards
37.4%
45.2%
-
NYPP
5.7
7.8
Rush
-
Rush Plays
21.3
32.8
-
RB YPR
4.1
4.4
-
Stuff Rate
30.9%
18.0%
-
Succ Rush Plays
37.1%
47.4%
-
Big Rush Yards
43.8%
40.8%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.4
4.5
Game
-
All Snaps
60.0
68.6
-
Early Down Succ
42.4%
50.2%
-
Succ Rate
40.9%
49.2%
-
Big Yards Rate
43.2%
45.1%
-
Yards Per Play
5.3
6.2
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.6%
0.3%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.1
29.5
-
Run Ratio
35.2%
47.8%
-
Starting Field Pos
23.1
30.7
-
Game Control
-5.3
5.3
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@WAS |
38 – 16 W |
6.2 |
60.5% /
48.8% |
2.6% /
0.0% |
2.7% /
4.7% |
7.6 /
7.7 |
65.6% /
58.3% |
12.5% /
25.0% |
4.6 /
4.6 |
70 /
55 |
64.7% /
58.1% |
62.9% /
50.9% |
59.2% /
25.0% |
6.2 /
7.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
45.7% /
21.8% |
27.3 /
30.1 |
| 2 |
CIN |
24 – 16 W |
6.0 |
42.1% /
50.9% |
2.6% /
1.8% |
5.4% /
0.0% |
6.6 /
6.7 |
41.7% /
22.2% |
30.6% /
27.8% |
3.4 /
2.6 |
74 /
73 |
42.9% /
48.2% |
41.9% /
43.8% |
43.3% /
42.5% |
5.1 /
5.6 |
0.0% /
2.7% |
48.6% /
24.7% |
30.8 /
18.9 |
| 3 |
@PHI |
3 – 34 L |
-15.2 |
33.3% /
54.8% |
8.3% /
0.0% |
2.3% /
0.0% |
4.6 /
9.7 |
30.0% /
40.0% |
30.0% /
33.3% |
2.9 /
4.2 |
58 /
61 |
33.3% /
49.0% |
32.8% /
47.5% |
50.2% /
57.7% |
4.3 /
7.0 |
1.7% /
0.0% |
17.2% /
49.2% |
22.5 /
27.1 |
| 4 |
KC |
43 – 14 W |
25.5 |
55.2% /
44.4% |
6.9% /
7.4% |
0.0% /
2.0% |
9.9 /
5.0 |
40.7% /
22.2% |
22.2% /
22.2% |
5.6 /
4.8 |
56 /
72 |
50.0% /
34.6% |
48.2% /
38.9% |
59.4% /
18.5% |
7.8 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
48.2% /
25.0% |
31.4 /
24.5 |
| 5 |
NYJ |
31 – 13 W |
4.6 |
60.4% /
46.3% |
2.1% /
7.3% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
7.8 /
6.0 |
26.9% /
47.1% |
23.1% /
29.4% |
2.4 /
4.2 |
74 /
58 |
52.5% /
54.3% |
48.6% /
46.6% |
23.9% /
8.9% |
5.9 /
5.4 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
35.1% /
29.3% |
32.3 /
21.1 |
| 6 |
@MIA |
15 – 30 L |
-5.2 |
40.5% /
56.3% |
5.4% /
0.0% |
5.7% /
0.0% |
4.6 /
7.9 |
41.2% /
51.4% |
5.9% /
24.3% |
7.6 /
6.0 |
54 /
69 |
47.5% /
56.6% |
40.7% /
53.6% |
36.2% /
60.6% |
5.5 /
6.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
31.5% /
53.6% |
23.4 /
37.0 |
| 7 |
NE |
16 – 27 L |
-6.2 |
39.1% /
57.7% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
2.2% /
0.0% |
6.1 /
8.5 |
40.9% /
53.3% |
27.3% /
16.7% |
4.3 /
4.7 |
68 /
56 |
42.0% /
57.1% |
39.7% /
55.4% |
35.7% /
33.1% |
5.5 /
6.5 |
0.0% /
3.6% |
32.4% /
53.6% |
32.3 /
29.6 |
| 9 |
@BAL |
14 – 21 L |
-9.0 |
31.9% /
33.3% |
4.3% /
9.1% |
2.2% /
3.3% |
5.1 /
6.8 |
21.1% /
19.4% |
36.8% /
35.5% |
1.9 /
1.7 |
66 /
64 |
30.4% /
30.2% |
28.8% /
26.6% |
51.8% /
50.4% |
4.2 /
4.3 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
28.8% /
48.4% |
24.4 /
30.9 |
| 10 |
DAL |
30 – 35 L |
1.1 |
61.7% /
52.9% |
2.1% /
5.9% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
8.5 /
8.7 |
47.4% /
68.0% |
26.3% /
12.0% |
2.5 /
5.1 |
66 /
59 |
60.7% /
60.9% |
57.6% /
59.3% |
44.4% /
42.4% |
6.8 /
7.2 |
0.0% /
1.7% |
28.8% /
42.4% |
31.1 /
28.1 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@PHI |
10 – 29 L |
-7.9 |
27.6% /
43.6% |
10.3% /
5.1% |
3.8% /
0.0% |
5.8 /
6.9 |
38.1% /
50.0% |
28.6% /
11.8% |
5.7 /
3.9 |
50 /
73 |
36.8% /
49.1% |
32.0% /
46.6% |
71.9% /
30.0% |
5.8 /
5.5 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
42.0% /
46.6% |
20.8 /
38.2 |
| 2 |
BAL |
20 – 25 L |
7.1 |
47.2% /
46.7% |
8.3% /
0.0% |
6.1% /
4.4% |
6.7 /
6.7 |
26.1% /
30.8% |
43.5% /
19.2% |
6.3 /
3.1 |
59 /
71 |
32.6% /
35.2% |
39.0% /
40.8% |
53.2% /
37.2% |
6.6 /
5.4 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
39.0% /
36.6% |
25.7 /
27.5 |
| 3 |
@MIA |
24 – 30 L |
-2.6 |
40.5% /
53.8% |
9.5% /
2.6% |
0.0% /
5.3% |
6.2 /
8.0 |
51.5% /
56.0% |
24.2% /
12.0% |
5.2 /
4.6 |
75 /
64 |
51.7% /
61.1% |
45.3% /
54.7% |
58.7% /
47.2% |
5.7 /
6.7 |
1.3% /
1.6% |
44.0% /
39.1% |
26.8 /
28.7 |
| 4 |
@WAS |
20 – 31 L |
-3.5 |
55.0% /
56.7% |
2.5% /
10.0% |
2.6% /
3.7% |
5.4 /
5.2 |
57.1% /
61.5% |
21.4% /
23.1% |
5.8 /
5.6 |
68 /
56 |
54.5% /
60.4% |
55.9% /
58.9% |
27.6% /
45.2% |
5.6 /
5.4 |
2.9% /
0.0% |
41.2% /
46.4% |
27.6 /
31.9 |
| 5 |
NE |
13 – 33 L |
-15.1 |
45.9% /
47.6% |
5.4% /
2.4% |
2.9% /
0.0% |
6.4 /
9.6 |
13.0% /
42.1% |
39.1% /
15.8% |
1.2 /
2.6 |
60 /
80 |
34.1% /
46.6% |
33.3% /
45.0% |
28.5% /
54.3% |
4.4 /
6.3 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
38.3% /
47.5% |
20.7 /
30.6 |
| 6 |
@TEN |
26 – 28 L |
-6.2 |
43.8% /
57.7% |
12.5% /
7.7% |
0.0% /
4.2% |
6.3 /
10.4 |
33.3% /
37.5% |
40.0% /
25.0% |
2.7 /
4.3 |
63 /
58 |
44.7% /
46.5% |
41.3% /
46.6% |
42.8% /
47.8% |
5.4 /
7.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
23.8% /
55.2% |
20.8 /
32.7 |
| 7 |
@CIN |
17 – 31 L |
-8.9 |
43.2% /
48.4% |
5.4% /
9.7% |
5.7% /
0.0% |
4.6 /
9.3 |
53.8% /
63.3% |
19.2% /
10.0% |
6.9 /
9.0 |
63 /
61 |
49.0% /
56.9% |
47.6% /
55.7% |
44.6% /
57.8% |
5.6 /
9.2 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
41.3% /
49.2% |
26.8 /
20.0 |
| 8 |
NYJ |
28 – 31 L |
3.1 |
38.5% /
36.1% |
1.9% /
5.6% |
3.9% /
0.0% |
6.5 /
6.2 |
44.4% /
45.7% |
38.9% /
28.6% |
3.8 /
4.9 |
70 /
71 |
37.0% /
39.6% |
40.0% /
40.8% |
53.3% /
55.8% |
5.8 /
5.5 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
25.7% /
49.3% |
22.3 /
30.8 |
| 9 |
DAL |
10 – 35 L |
-13.5 |
45.2% /
67.9% |
12.9% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.7 /
9.1 |
30.8% /
48.9% |
23.1% /
13.3% |
3.5 /
3.8 |
44 /
73 |
47.1% /
58.5% |
40.9% /
56.2% |
19.8% /
40.1% |
5.0 /
5.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
29.5% /
61.6% |
21.4 /
28.6 |
| 10 |
@BAL |
7 – 28 L |
-5.3 |
37.1% /
54.8% |
11.4% /
4.8% |
6.5% /
5.0% |
3.2 /
6.6 |
23.1% /
37.8% |
30.8% /
21.6% |
2.5 /
3.3 |
48 /
79 |
36.8% /
48.4% |
33.3% /
46.8% |
31.3% /
35.9% |
3.0 /
5.0 |
2.1% /
0.0% |
27.1% /
46.8% |
18.1 /
38.4 |
Pittsburgh Steelers
@ 
Cleveland Browns