Pittsburgh Steelers @

Chicago Bears

Sun, Sep 24
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 465
Odds: Chicago Bears +7, Total: 44

Game Analysis

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CHICAGO (+7) vs Pittsburgh

There was value on Chicago heading into the season and I won my best bet on them in week 1, as they came within 5 yards from beating Atlanta. However, after playing so well against the Falcons the Bears have been priced like a team expected to win a full game more than their preseason win total in weeks 2 & 3 and the value no longer exists.

 

The Bears rely on their rushing attack led by a strong offensive line but they were forced to move away from the ground game after falling behind by double digits in the first quarter against the Buccaneers in week 2. That game would’ve been much closer if Chicago didn’t turn the ball over four times – one of which was returned for a touchdown and another was an inexplicable fumble on a Tarik Cohen punt return to set up Tampa’s offense in the Redzone.

 

Pittsburgh is coming off a convincing home win against the Bradford-less Vikings where their defense took care of business. Still, the Steelers offense has looked poor through two weeks ranking 25th in the NFL according to my metrics. Pittsburgh’s rush offense ranks last and the Steelers will need improve their rushing attack if they hope to get the offense going this season. I expect both Pittsburgh and Chicago to look to establish the run early in this game and the team that has success doing so is likely to cover. But, I have no opinion at the current line.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Steelers
  • Bears
PIT
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 37.0 38.5
  • Succ Pass Plays 43.2% 37.9%
  • Sack Rate 4.1% 12.0%
  • Int Rate 1.4% 1.7%
  • Deep Pass Rate 17.0% 29.2%
  • Big Pass Yards 39.6% 51.3%
  • NYPP 6.6 4.3



Rush


  • Rush Plays 29.5 22.5
  • RB YPR 2.3 3.3
  • Stuff Rate 18.3% 20.5%
  • Succ Rush Plays 28.6% 43.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 25.0% 28.9%
  • Yards Per Rush 2.3 3.4




Game

  • All Snaps 66.5 61.0
  • Early Down Succ 44.6% 42.3%
  • Succ Rate 37.4% 39.3%
  • Big Yards Rate 34.6% 45.1%
  • Yards Per Play 4.7 3.9
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.8%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.6 27.8
  • Run Ratio 44.1% 36.8%
  • Starting Field Pos 26.3 26.3
  • Game Control 7.6 -7.6
 
  • Points 23.5 13.5
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