Philadelphia Eagles @

New York Giants

Sun, Nov 28
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 255
Odds: New York Giants +3.5, Total: 45.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – NY GIANTS (+3.5) over Philadelphia

The Giants fired offensive coordinator Jason Garrett and former Browns head coach Freddie Kitchens will now be calling the plays for Daniel Jones. New York could catch a huge break if CB Darius Slay is unavailable due to a concussion after Slay conceded only 9 yards while breaking up a pass and taking an interception for a touchdown last week. Slay is allowing just 0.72 yards per cover snap and is worth 0.9 points by our numbers. Giants LG Matt Skura is surrendering a 6.4% pressure rate and has no chance of staying in front of interior defender Javon Hargrave, who ranks 8th in pass rushing efficiency.

Jalen Hurts is also likely to face some collapsing pockets as DT Leonard Williams has 33 pressures (7th) and will line up across from Philadelphia LG Landon Dickerson, who ranks 44th in pass blocking efficiency out of 55 qualifying guards. Rookie WR DeVonta Smith has 8 deep receptions (5th) but he will be contained by cornerback James Bradberry, who has 9 forced incompletions (2nd). The Eagles target tight ends on 27.4% of passes (4th) and Hurts will be looking for Dallas Goedert as New York’s defense could be without both starting safeties for the second-straight week. Rob Gronkowski averaged 2.54 yards per route run last Monday night with Jabrill Peppers and Logan Ryan not on the field.

Our model makes Philadelphia a 3.0-point favorite, with a predicted total of 45.0 points, but the matchup favors the Giants, as does a 34-2-1 ATS contrary angle.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Eagles
  • Giants
PHI
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 31.09 36.36
  • Succ Pass Plays 43.3% 52.0%
  • Sack Rate 5.6% 4.5%
  • Int Rate 1.5% 2.1%
  • Deep Pass Rate 23.0% 14.7%
  • Big Pass Yards 41.0% 29.2%
  • NYPP 6.42 6.37



Rush


  • Rush Plays 30.82 28.36
  • RB YPR 4.53 4.14
  • Stuff Rate 19.5% 21.8%
  • Succ Rush Plays 57.5% 50.6%
  • Big Rush Yards 47.9% 37.1%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.97 4.11




Game

  • All Snaps 61.91 64.73
  • Early Down Succ 52.5% 54.6%
  • Succ Rate 50.4% 51.4%
  • Big Yards Rate 43.9% 31.8%
  • Yards Per Play 5.70 5.38
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.6% 0.6%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 27.85 28.90
  • Run Ratio 49.8% 43.8%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control 0.45 -0.45
 
  • Points 27.00 23.64
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