Philadelphia Eagles @

Los Angeles Chargers

Sun, Oct 1
1:05 PM Pacific
Rotation: 271
Odds: Los Angeles Chargers -1.5, Total: 47.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – Philadelphia (+1.5) over LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

After heart-breaking close losses in each of the first two weeks, the Chargers fell to 0-3 with their two touchdown loss to the Chiefs. However, that game was closer than the score suggests, as a -3 turnover margin was what led to the big margin of defeat. Away fans in Los Angeles have nearly matched Chargers fans in the first two home games and it seems they may have a bit less of a home-field advantage than the rest of the league, which is something that we’ll keep an eye on going forward.

The Eagles won last week on a game-winning 61-yard field goal but were outplayed as the Giants out-gained Philly by 1.7 yards per play. Philadelphia has depended on their 6th ranked rushing attack and they have a favorable matchup this week going against the Chargers 26th ranked rush defense. My model favors Philadelphia by 1 point and the line has moved enough to supply some value on the Eagles.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Eagles
  • Chargers
PHI
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 42.3 41.0
  • Succ Pass Plays 45.5% 49.4%
  • Sack Rate 8.4% 7.2%
  • Int Rate 1.6% 2.3%
  • Deep Pass Rate 18.3% 11.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 26.1% 33.5%
  • NYPP 5.9 6.5



Rush


  • Rush Plays 27.0 17.7
  • RB YPR 3.8 3.9
  • Stuff Rate 22.9% 24.5%
  • Succ Rush Plays 47.8% 43.2%
  • Big Rush Yards 41.3% 41.7%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.5 4.2




Game

  • All Snaps 69.3 58.7
  • Early Down Succ 45.9% 52.0%
  • Succ Rate 46.2% 47.8%
  • Big Yards Rate 36.9% 35.7%
  • Yards Per Play 5.4 5.9
  • Fumble Lost Rate 1.4% 1.6%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 29.7 26.8
  • Run Ratio 38.6% 30.6%
  • Starting Field Pos 26.4 32.1
  • Game Control 2.4 -2.4
 
  • Points 25.7 22.7
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