Game Analysis
J.R. Smith was actually spot on when describing former All-Pro CB Darrelle Revis in week 1, as the solitary isle once known as ‘Revis Island’ has been a real vacation destination for Wide Receivers. The Jets are the worst rated pass Defense on adjusted Net Yards per Pass and adjusted Success rate. Look for the Steelers receiving crew to get their tiny umbrella’s out as Big Ben has thrown the deep ball 24.3% of the time with a league leading 60% of the yardage coming through big play passes.
The Steelers defense has not been much better than the Jets, with the 29th ranked defense measured by adjusted yards per play. The Jets offensively should have some success as Fitzpatrick’s 6.0% INT rate will come down from nosebleed levels facing a defense that is giving up 7.3 NYPP.
Our advanced stats model sees points in a game of two historically defensive teams as we lean to the OVER (48). No opinion on the side.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
40.0
34.0
-
Succ Pass Plays
41.8%
53.1%
-
Sack Rate
3.6%
7.6%
-
Int Rate
6.0%
1.7%
-
Deep Pass Rate
26.3%
18.5%
-
Big Pass Yards
36.2%
53.5%
-
NYPP
6.4
8.4
Rush
-
Rush Plays
27.3
24.3
-
RB YPR
4.1
3.0
-
Stuff Rate
17.9%
33.2%
-
Succ Rush Plays
45.7%
37.6%
-
Big Rush Yards
37.6%
54.4%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.2
3.1
Game
-
All Snaps
67.3
58.3
-
Early Down Succ
41.9%
52.4%
-
Succ Rate
43.3%
46.3%
-
Big Yards Rate
37.7%
54.9%
-
Yards Per Play
5.3
6.3
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.1%
0.4%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
29.1
27.9
-
Run Ratio
40.2%
41.2%
-
Starting Field Pos
27.1
28.1
-
Game Control
-2.7
2.7
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.3
45.8
-
Succ Pass Plays
47.8%
49.8%
-
Sack Rate
5.1%
2.3%
-
Int Rate
2.6%
1.7%
-
Deep Pass Rate
24.7%
13.0%
-
Big Pass Yards
59.9%
32.7%
-
NYPP
7.2
7.3
Rush
-
Rush Plays
26.3
19.5
-
RB YPR
4.0
3.9
-
Stuff Rate
23.8%
27.1%
-
Succ Rush Plays
44.5%
35.7%
-
Big Rush Yards
38.4%
41.5%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.1
4.0
Game
-
All Snaps
64.5
65.3
-
Early Down Succ
47.7%
47.5%
-
Succ Rate
46.4%
45.3%
-
Big Yards Rate
53.0%
35.9%
-
Yards Per Play
5.9
6.1
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.4%
1.0%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.2
27.7
-
Run Ratio
40.0%
30.2%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.0
25.2
-
Game Control
5.6
-5.6
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
CIN |
22 – 23 L |
1.8 |
36.1% /
48.6% |
2.8% /
18.9% |
2.9% /
3.3% |
5.2 /
8.8 |
56.7% /
42.1% |
16.7% /
26.3% |
5.1 /
3.1 |
66 /
56 |
48.1% /
52.3% |
45.5% /
46.4% |
40.6% /
68.6% |
5.2 /
6.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
45.5% /
33.9% |
33.5 /
26.2 |
| 2 |
@BUF |
37 – 31 W |
2.8 |
57.1% /
53.3% |
2.9% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
3.3% |
10.6 /
10.2 |
45.9% /
47.4% |
16.2% /
42.1% |
3.4 /
4.5 |
72 /
49 |
50.9% /
56.8% |
51.4% /
51.0% |
54.5% /
54.5% |
6.9 /
8.0 |
1.4% /
0.0% |
51.4% /
38.8% |
24.6 /
26.1 |
| 3 |
@KC |
3 – 24 L |
-10.3 |
34.1% /
48.6% |
0.0% /
5.7% |
13.6% /
0.0% |
4.3 /
6.3 |
50.0% /
30.0% |
13.6% /
33.3% |
5.3 /
2.5 |
66 /
65 |
36.0% /
43.2% |
39.4% /
40.0% |
39.0% /
40.2% |
4.6 /
4.6 |
3.0% /
1.5% |
33.3% /
46.2% |
30.1 /
27.3 |
| 4 |
SEA |
17 – 27 L |
-5.2 |
40.0% /
61.8% |
8.9% /
5.9% |
7.3% /
0.0% |
5.5 /
8.5 |
30.0% /
31.0% |
25.0% /
31.0% |
2.9 /
2.4 |
65 /
63 |
32.7% /
57.4% |
36.9% /
47.6% |
16.7% /
56.3% |
4.7 /
5.7 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
30.8% /
46.0% |
20.3 /
32.8 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@WAS |
38 – 16 W |
6.2 |
60.5% /
48.8% |
2.6% /
0.0% |
2.7% /
4.7% |
7.6 /
7.7 |
65.6% /
58.3% |
12.5% /
25.0% |
4.6 /
4.6 |
70 /
55 |
64.7% /
58.1% |
62.9% /
50.9% |
59.2% /
25.0% |
6.2 /
7.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
45.7% /
21.8% |
27.3 /
30.1 |
| 2 |
CIN |
24 – 16 W |
6.0 |
42.1% /
50.9% |
2.6% /
1.8% |
5.4% /
0.0% |
6.6 /
6.7 |
41.7% /
22.2% |
30.6% /
27.8% |
3.4 /
2.6 |
74 /
73 |
42.9% /
48.2% |
41.9% /
43.8% |
43.3% /
42.5% |
5.1 /
5.6 |
0.0% /
2.7% |
48.6% /
24.7% |
30.8 /
18.9 |
| 3 |
@PHI |
3 – 34 L |
-15.2 |
33.3% /
54.8% |
8.3% /
0.0% |
2.3% /
0.0% |
4.6 /
9.7 |
30.0% /
40.0% |
30.0% /
33.3% |
2.9 /
4.2 |
58 /
61 |
33.3% /
49.0% |
32.8% /
47.5% |
50.2% /
57.7% |
4.3 /
7.0 |
1.7% /
0.0% |
17.2% /
49.2% |
22.5 /
27.1 |
| 4 |
KC |
43 – 14 W |
25.5 |
55.2% /
44.4% |
6.9% /
7.4% |
0.0% /
2.0% |
9.9 /
5.0 |
40.7% /
22.2% |
22.2% /
22.2% |
5.6 /
4.8 |
56 /
72 |
50.0% /
34.6% |
48.2% /
38.9% |
59.4% /
18.5% |
7.8 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
48.2% /
25.0% |
31.4 /
24.5 |
New York Jets
@ 
Pittsburgh Steelers